← Stats / TOR @ PIT

TOR @ PIT

Sunday, March 2, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
6 – 5
FINAL / OT
Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -185 · PIT +155
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+130) · PIT +1.5 (-165)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · PIT +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 44%
26-33
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
15-13
40%
2-3
47%
26-29-3
PITo6.5 48%
30-32
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
55%
17-14
40%
2-3
53%
31-27-3
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 41%
24-35
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
36%
10-18
40%
2-3
+5.73u
30-28
PIT+1.5 60%
37-25
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
61%
19-12
60%
3-2
-11.00u
29-32
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -185 63%
37-22
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
61%
17-11
60%
3-2
+1.68u
28-16
PIT dog +155 39%
24-38
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
45%
14-17
40%
2-3
-10.88u
16-31
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 TOR 25%
15-44
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
29%
8-20
60%
3-2
49%
29-30
 1.73 0.85 / 0.88
PIT 23%
14-48
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
32%
10-21
60%
3-2
50%
31-31
 1.76 0.76 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 TOR 29%
17-42
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
39%
11-17
20%
1-4
59%
35-24
 2.03 1.22 / 0.81
PIT 34%
21-41
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
19%
6-25
20%
1-4
58%
36-26
 2.19 0.97 / 1.23
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 TOR 36%
21-38
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
29%
8-20
40%
2-3
52%
27-25
 2.12 1.02 / 1.10
PIT 44%
27-35
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
42%
13-18
40%
2-3
44%
24-30
 2.31 1.02 / 1.29
Team Comparison '24-25
TORPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-434-36-12
Points %65.9%48.8%
Goals for / game3.272.96
Goals against / game2.823.57
Shots for / game28.028.3
Shots against / game29.330.1
Power play %24.8%25.8%
Penalty kill %77.9%77.8%
Faceoff %53.7%52.6%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.840.82 / 0.96
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.890.93 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.10 / 1.24
Avg game total6.096.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 34 shots · 5 GA · W
27 saves on 33 shots · 6 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2301330/1
PIT3110341/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 35% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+125
 44% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+260
 28% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+425
 11% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+200
 24% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+325
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+850
 4% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 43% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
David Kampf G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Reaves G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 6% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 67% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+165
 61% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 39% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-220
 43% 20% 60%3/5 1 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 46% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 34% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 62% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 27% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 16% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 60% 60%3/5 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-130 / u+100
 55% 60% 50%2/4 6 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 71% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 30% 100%4/4 5 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 30% 80%4/5 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 36% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 30% 50%1/2 29 O
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+185
 27% 50% 0%0/5 1 O
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+425
 21% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+500
 11% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+180
 38% 30% 100%3/3 2 O
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+650
 15% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+325
 20% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+195
 31% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+475
 10% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+700
 21% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Vincent Desharnais G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Cody Glass G 0.5
o+425
 6% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 90% 80%4/5 3 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 80% 40%2/5 2 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Kevin Hayes PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 36% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 60% 20%1/5 2 O
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 39% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Kevin Hayes SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 53% 100% 25%1/4 1 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 80% 60%3/5 2 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 49% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 50% 80%4/5 5 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% 60%3/5 1 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 33% 10% 67%2/3 4 O
Joel Blomqvist SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 64% 60% 100%1/1 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 7, 2024 at PIT PIT 5–2 2–10–13–0 7 6 O PIT
Oct 12, 2024 at TOR PIT 2–4 1–00–21–2 6 6.5 U TOR
Apr 8, 2024 at TOR PIT 2–3 OT 1–00–11–1 5 — TOR
Dec 16, 2023 at TOR PIT 0–7 0–30–30–1 7 — TOR
Nov 25, 2023 at PIT PIT 3–2 1–22–00–0 5 — PIT
Nov 26, 2022 at PIT PIT 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 — TOR
Nov 15, 2022 at PIT PIT 2–5 0–22–20–1 7 — TOR
Nov 11, 2022 at TOR PIT 4–2 1–11–12–0 6 — PIT
Feb 17, 2022 at TOR PIT 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 — TOR
Nov 20, 2021 at TOR PIT 2–0 2–00–00–0 2 — PIT