← Stats / BUF @ MTL

BUF @ MTL

Monday, March 3, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / OT
Montréal Canadiens
40-31-11 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +105 · MTL -125
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · MTL -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · MTL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 53%
31-27
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
12-15
43%
3-4
62%
31-19-7
MTLo6.5 48%
29-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
42%
13-18
43%
3-4
52%
29-27-4
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 60%
35-23
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
48%
13-14
43%
3-4
-9.43u
28-29
MTL-1.5 25%
15-45
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
26%
8-23
57%
4-3
-5.45u
33-27
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +105 41%
24-34
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
33%
9-18
29%
2-5
-6.20u
14-24
MTL fav -125 48%
29-31
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
71%
5-2
-0.44u
4-3
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 BUF 62%
36-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
63%
17-10
43%
3-4
62%
36-22
 1.95 1.17 / 0.78
MTL 60%
36-24
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
58%
18-13
43%
3-4
60%
36-24
 1.87 0.82 / 1.05
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 BUF 72%
42-16
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
78%
21-6
86%
6-1
66%
38-20
 2.26 0.97 / 1.29
MTL 68%
41-19
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
71%
22-9
86%
6-1
63%
38-22
 2.22 1.10 / 1.12
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 BUF 67%
39-19
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
67%
18-9
57%
4-3
48%
24-26
 2.26 1.00 / 1.26
MTL 67%
40-20
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
61%
19-12
57%
4-3
36%
19-34
 2.05 0.95 / 1.10
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFMTL
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-740-31-11
Points %48.2%55.5%
Goals for / game3.282.99
Goals against / game3.523.23
Shots for / game27.825.6
Shots against / game28.929.0
Power play %18.8%20.1%
Penalty kill %76.3%80.9%
Faceoff %47.7%50.8%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.82 / 1.02
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.00 / 1.02
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.05 / 1.05
Avg game total6.806.22
Starting Goalies from the box score
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · OTL
33 saves on 36 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0120360/4
MTL3001202/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+185
 31% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+145
 44% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+195
 23% 40% 14%1/7 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 20% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 23% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 16% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 19% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+450
 13% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 7% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+600
 10% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 80% 67%4/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 70% 83%5/6 1 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 70% 57%4/7 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 42% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 65% 50% 57%4/7 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 33% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 40% 57%4/7 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 54% 70% 83%5/6 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 22% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 40% 43%3/7 2 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 30% 43%3/7 1 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 59% 90% 33%2/6 2 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 73% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 60% 17%1/6 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 60% 43%3/7 5 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 62% 60% 100%7/7 4 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 60% 25%1/4 3 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 40% 57%4/7 6 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 20% 83%5/6 6 O
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+155
 42% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+300
 22% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Alex Newhook G 0.5
o+325
 18% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Joel Armia G 0.5
o+425
 17% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 43%3/7 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+400
 10% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Patrik Laine G 0.5
o+220
 38% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+185
 25% 20% 29%2/7 1 O
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+450
 22% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+250
 18% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+575
 7% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+550
 20% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
David Savard G 0.5
o+1500
 2% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jayden Struble G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Owen Beck G 0.5
o+525
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Newhook PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 30% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 67% 60% 43%3/7 1 O
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 63% 50% 57%4/7 4 O
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 36% 40% 43%3/7 2 O
Patrik Laine PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 40% 29%2/7 2 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 50% 43%3/7 3 O
Alex Newhook A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 13% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 30% 43%3/7 1 O
Patrik Laine A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 25% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 37% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 20% 29%2/7 1 O
Brendan Gallagher SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 70% 57%4/7 0 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 70% 86%6/7 4 O
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 60% 71%5/7 3 O
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 55% 40% 57%4/7 1 U
Patrik Laine SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 63% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 30% 29%2/7 3 O
Samuel Montembeault SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 50% 0%0/2 33 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 1, 2025 at BUF MTL 4–2 0–03–21–0 6 6.5 U MTL
Dec 17, 2024 at MTL MTL 6–1 2–04–10–0 7 6 O MTL
Nov 11, 2024 at BUF MTL 7–5 1–13–23–2 12 6.5 O MTL
Feb 21, 2024 at MTL MTL 2–3 1–01–30–0 5 — BUF
Jan 4, 2024 at MTL MTL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — BUF
Dec 9, 2023 at BUF MTL 3–2 SO 0–02–00–2 5 — MTL
Oct 23, 2023 at BUF MTL 3–1 1–10–02–0 4 — MTL
Mar 27, 2023 at BUF MTL 4–3 SO 1–11–21–0 7 — MTL
Nov 22, 2022 at MTL MTL 2–7 1–31–10–3 9 — BUF
Oct 27, 2022 at BUF MTL 3–2 1–00–12–1 5 — MTL