← Stats / TOR @ COL

TOR @ COL

Saturday, March 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
4 – 7
FINAL
Colorado Avalanche
49-29-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +135 · COL -160
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-185) · COL -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · COL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 45%
28-34
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
57%
17-13
100%
2-0
48%
28-30-3
COLo6.5 48%
30-33
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
52%
31-29-2
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 71%
44-18
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
77%
23-7
50%
1-1
+2.73u
30-31
COL-1.5 38%
24-39
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
44%
14-18
50%
1-1
-5.40u
27-35
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +135 61%
38-24
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
18-12
50%
1-1
+2.55u
8-7
COL fav -160 59%
37-26
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
63%
20-12
50%
1-1
-0.52u
32-18
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 TOR 50%
31-31
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
19-11
100%
2-0
50%
31-31
 1.77 0.84 / 0.94
COL 51%
32-31
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
51%
32-31
 1.87 0.87 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+156/u-205 TOR 31%
19-43
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
13-17
0%
0-2
60%
37-25
 2.08 1.26 / 0.82
COL 30%
19-44
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
31%
10-22
0%
0-2
49%
31-32
 1.95 1.06 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+142/u-182 TOR 34%
21-41
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
27%
8-22
50%
1-1
49%
27-28
 2.08 0.98 / 1.10
COL 41%
26-37
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
34%
11-21
50%
1-1
50%
28-28
 2.33 1.30 / 1.03
Team Comparison '24-25
TORCOL
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-449-29-4
Points %65.9%62.2%
Goals for / game3.273.38
Goals against / game2.822.85
Shots for / game28.029.9
Shots against / game29.325.9
Power play %24.8%24.8%
Penalty kill %77.9%79.8%
Faceoff %53.7%47.2%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.840.88 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.07 / 0.87
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.32 / 1.00
Avg game total6.096.23
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 32 shots · 5 GA · L
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR3100211/1
COL2140341/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+240
 36% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+210
 33% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Brock Nelson G 0.5
o+220
 28% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
 44% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+230
 25% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+105
 45% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+575
 10% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Charlie Coyle G 0.5
o+425
 20% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 11% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 19% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 26% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+375
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 7% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 10% — 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% — 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 69% 80% 0%0/2 2 O
Brock Nelson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 72% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 52% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 34% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 30% 20% 0%0/2 3 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 80% 50%1/2 3 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Brock Nelson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 34% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 37% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 32% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 28% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 70% 50%1/2 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 60% 50%1/2 4 O
Brock Nelson SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 44% 40% 0%0/2 3 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 67% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 60% 30% 100%2/2 2 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% — 27 O
COLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Valeri Nichushkin G 0.5
o+195
 44% 50% — 3 O
Artturi Lehkonen G 0.5
o+190
 41% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon G 0.5
o+110
 32% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Martin Necas G 0.5
o+195
 30% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Cale Makar G 0.5
o+250
 29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jonathan Drouin G 0.5
o+300
 20% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Drury G 0.5
o+525
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jimmy Vesey G 0.5
o+650
 12% 10% 0%0/4 DNP
Devon Toews G 0.5
o+600
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Samuel Girard G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ross Colton G 0.5
o+400
 26% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Logan O'Connor G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Joel Kiviranta G 0.5
o+750
 13% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Manson G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Lindgren G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Keaton Middleton G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% — DNP
Cale Makar PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 68% 80% 50%1/2 1 O
Valeri Nichushkin PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 70% — 4 O
Artturi Lehkonen PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Nathan MacKinnon PTS 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Jonathan Drouin PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Devon Toews PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Martin Necas PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Cale Makar A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 80% 50%1/2 1 O
Nathan MacKinnon A 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 67% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Jonathan Drouin A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 47% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Devon Toews A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 32% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Martin Necas A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 57% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Artturi Lehkonen A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 22% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Valeri Nichushkin A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 24% 30% — 1 O
Artturi Lehkonen SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 80% 100%1/1 1 U
Cale Makar SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 80% 100%2/2 3 O
Valeri Nichushkin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 70% — 5 O
Nathan MacKinnon SOG 3.5
o-130 / u-105
 49% 60% 50%1/2 3 U
Martin Necas SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 60% 75%3/4 6 O
Devon Toews SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Mackenzie Blackwood SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 62% 40% 100%1/1 17 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 24, 2024 at COL COL 3–4 2–10–21–1 7 — TOR
Jan 13, 2024 at TOR COL 5–3 0–32–03–0 8 — COL
Mar 15, 2023 at TOR COL 2–1 SO 1–10–00–0 3 — COL
Dec 31, 2022 at COL COL 2–6 1–21–30–1 8 — TOR
Jan 8, 2022 at COL COL 5–4 OT 1–31–12–0 9 — COL
Dec 1, 2021 at TOR COL 3–8 1–31–21–3 11 — TOR
Dec 4, 2019 at TOR COL 3–1 0–01–12–0 4 — COL
Nov 23, 2019 at COL COL 3–5 1–41–01–1 8 — TOR
Feb 12, 2019 at COL COL 2–5 1–10–31–1 7 — TOR
Jan 14, 2019 at TOR COL 6–3 0–03–23–1 9 — COL