← Stats / EDM @ BUF

EDM @ BUF

Monday, March 10, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Edmonton Oilers
48-29-5 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
EDM -185 · BUF +155
Puck Line
EDM -1.5 (+130) · BUF +1.5 (-165)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 EDMo6.5 46%
29-34
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
53%
16-14
33%
1-2
46%
29-34
BUFo6.5 55%
34-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
20-12
33%
1-2
63%
34-20-7
Puck Line
cover %
 EDM-1.5 32%
20-43
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
37%
11-19
33%
1-2
-17.56u
22-41
BUF+1.5 60%
37-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
69%
22-10
67%
2-1
-10.16u
30-31
Moneyline
win %
 EDM fav -185 59%
37-26
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
57%
17-13
67%
2-1
-7.42u
31-23
BUF dog +155 39%
24-38
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
47%
15-17
33%
1-2
-9.20u
14-27
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 EDM 32%
20-43
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
40%
12-18
67%
2-1
64%
40-23
 2.00 0.92 / 1.08
BUF 29%
18-44
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
31%
10-22
67%
2-1
61%
38-24
 1.97 1.15 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+130/u-166 FD 2.5 o+142/u-182 EDM 30%
19-44
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
30%
9-21
33%
1-2
46%
29-34
 2.14 1.29 / 0.86
BUF 37%
23-39
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
38%
12-20
33%
1-2
66%
41-21
 2.29 0.97 / 1.32
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 EDM 29%
18-45
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
30%
9-21
33%
1-2
30%
17-39
 1.84 0.89 / 0.95
BUF 44%
27-35
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
53%
17-15
33%
1-2
46%
25-29
 2.26 0.98 / 1.27
Team Comparison '24-25
EDMBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)48-29-536-39-7
Points %61.6%48.2%
Goals for / game3.163.28
Goals against / game2.883.52
Shots for / game32.027.8
Shots against / game27.028.9
Power play %23.7%18.8%
Penalty kill %78.2%76.3%
Faceoff %50.8%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.981.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.24 / 0.931.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.911.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.046.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · L
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
EDM0200341/4
BUF1110230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
EDMPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Leon Draisaitl G 0.5
o+100
 60% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Corey Perry G 0.5
o+500
 21% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Zach Hyman G 0.5
o+170
 31% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+325
 17% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor McDavid G 0.5
o+130
 35% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Evan Bouchard G 0.5
o+350
 18% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Adam Henrique G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins G 0.5
o+275
 24% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Brett Kulak G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Brown G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Janmark G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Darnell Nurse G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Walman G 0.5
o+550
 10% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Max Jones G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Ty Emberson G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Vasily Podkolzin G 0.5
o+575
 10% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Evan Bouchard PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Leon Draisaitl PTS 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Zach Hyman PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 48% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Walman PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor McDavid PTS 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
Darnell Nurse PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
Connor McDavid A 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 67% 80% 50%1/2 1 O
Leon Draisaitl A 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Evan Bouchard A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Walman A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Hyman A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 24% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Darnell Nurse A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 19% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Darnell Nurse SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 69% 70% 100%3/3 6 O
Leon Draisaitl SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Jake Walman SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 71% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Connor McDavid SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 53% 50% 0%0/2 2 U
Evan Bouchard SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 54% 50% 100%3/3 6 O
Zach Hyman SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 52% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 63% 30% 100%3/3 4 O
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 20% 0%0/1 2 U
Stuart Skinner SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 60% 100%3/3 20 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+190
 32% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+155
 46% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+250
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 19% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+170
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 28% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 19% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 15% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+550
 11% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+450
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 57% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 60% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 37% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 54% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 47% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 22% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 34% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 22% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 31% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 70% 33%1/3 3 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 58% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 54% 60% 100%3/3 3 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 50% 0%0/1 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 38% 20% 67%2/3 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 39% 30% 100%2/2 32 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 25, 2025 at EDM BUF 2–3 1–11–10–1 5 6.5 U EDM
Mar 21, 2024 at EDM BUF 3–8 2–11–20–5 11 — EDM
Mar 9, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–2 SO 1–20–01–0 5 — BUF
Mar 6, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–3 1–10–11–1 5 — EDM
Oct 18, 2022 at EDM BUF 4–2 1–12–01–1 6 — BUF
Mar 17, 2022 at EDM BUF 1–6 0–20–21–2 7 — EDM
Nov 12, 2021 at BUF BUF 3–2 0–03–20–0 5 — BUF
Jan 2, 2020 at BUF BUF 3–2 OT 1–20–01–0 5 — BUF
Dec 8, 2019 at EDM BUF 3–2 OT 2–00–20–0 5 — BUF
Mar 4, 2019 at BUF BUF 3–4 3–10–30–0 7 — EDM