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TBL @ CAR

Tuesday, March 11, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
47-30-5 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +115 · CAR -135
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-230) · CAR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 52%
33-30
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
53%
16-14
20%
1-4
44%
26-33-3
CARo5.5 52%
33-31
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
55%
18-15
20%
1-4
41%
24-34-5
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 78%
49-14
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
77%
23-7
80%
4-1
+11.01u
34-28
CAR-1.5 41%
26-38
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
55%
18-15
20%
1-4
-1.87u
28-35
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +115 59%
37-26
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
47%
14-16
80%
4-1
-3.05u
6-10
CAR fav -135 59%
38-26
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
76%
25-8
20%
1-4
-6.69u
34-24
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 TBL 24%
15-48
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
27%
8-22
0%
0-5
44%
28-35
 1.78 1.06 / 0.71
CAR 19%
12-52
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
18%
6-27
0%
0-5
50%
32-32
 1.67 0.81 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 TBL 40%
25-38
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
40%
12-18
20%
1-4
56%
35-28
 2.16 1.17 / 0.98
CAR 23%
15-49
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
24%
8-25
20%
1-4
48%
31-33
 1.91 1.09 / 0.81
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 TBL 33%
21-42
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
10-20
40%
2-3
37%
21-36
 2.16 1.24 / 0.92
CAR 34%
22-42
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
36%
12-21
40%
2-3
46%
27-32
 2.20 1.20 / 1.00
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-847-30-5
Points %62.2%60.4%
Goals for / game3.593.24
Goals against / game2.672.84
Shots for / game28.531.7
Shots against / game28.224.9
Power play %25.9%18.7%
Penalty kill %81.6%83.6%
Faceoff %50.1%52.6%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.83 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.941.15 / 0.87
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.21 / 1.01
Avg game total6.266.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · L
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0010240/1
CAR1210310/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+350
 32% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+220
 38% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+600
 15% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+165
 40% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+170
 48% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+175
 39% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+400
 24% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+600
 20% 20% 0%0/2 DNP
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+575
 16% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+800
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+350
 31% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+650
 5% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 76% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 68% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 66% 60% 100%5/5 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 53% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 55% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 48% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 49% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 38% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 65% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 40% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 48% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 36% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 32% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 25% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 72% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 67% 60% 80%4/5 4 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 68% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 54% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 48% 40% 40%2/5 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 70% 33%1/3 27 O
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+140
 37% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+155
 37% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+700
 9% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+225
 13% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Brent Burns G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+275
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Roslovic G 0.5
o+425
 25% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Tyson Jost G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+600
 19% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+375
 16% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+260
 17% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Scott Morrow G 0.5
o+1200
 0% — — 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 67% 80% 20%1/5 1 O
Shayne Gostisbehere PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 56% 50% 0%0/5 1 O
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 38% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Brent Burns PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 30% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 35% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Jaccob Slavin PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 28% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jesperi Kotkaniemi PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 39% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 30% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Brent Burns A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 23% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Jesperi Kotkaniemi A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 28% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 28% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 23% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Jaccob Slavin A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 22% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 55% 70% 100%1/1 3 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 41% 70% 0%0/2 4 O
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 50% 40%2/5 2 U
Brent Burns SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 33% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 40% 20%1/5 4 O
Shayne Gostisbehere SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 45% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Logan Stankoven SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 47% 30% 100%1/1 2 U
Pyotr Kochetkov SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 50% 33%1/3 23 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 7, 2025 at TBL CAR 2–3 0–11–11–1 5 6 U TBL
Oct 11, 2024 at CAR CAR 1–4 1–00–10–3 5 6 U TBL
Nov 24, 2023 at CAR CAR 2–8 1–01–30–5 10 — TBL
Nov 11, 2023 at TBL CAR 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — CAR
Oct 24, 2023 at TBL CAR 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TBL
Mar 28, 2023 at CAR CAR 0–4 0–00–20–2 4 — TBL
Mar 5, 2023 at CAR CAR 6–0 2–02–02–0 6 — CAR
Nov 3, 2022 at TBL CAR 4–3 SO 1–01–31–0 7 — CAR
Mar 29, 2022 at TBL CAR 3–4 OT 1–02–20–1 7 — TBL
Mar 22, 2022 at CAR CAR 3–2 0–02–11–1 5 — CAR