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FLA @ TOR

Thursday, March 13, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -135 · TOR +115
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+175) · TOR +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 52%
34-31
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
55%
17-14
60%
3-2
47%
30-34-1
TORo5.5 58%
37-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
44%
14-18
60%
3-2
50%
30-30-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 43%
28-37
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
39%
12-19
60%
3-2
-0.36u
31-34
TOR+1.5 70%
45-19
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
66%
21-11
40%
2-3
+0.73u
30-33
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -135 62%
40-25
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
58%
18-13
60%
3-2
-2.26u
33-20
TOR dog +115 61%
39-25
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
63%
20-12
40%
2-3
+1.55u
8-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 FLA 54%
35-30
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
65%
20-11
80%
4-1
54%
35-30
 1.78 0.98 / 0.80
TOR 52%
33-31
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
38%
12-20
80%
4-1
52%
33-31
 1.83 0.89 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-166/u+128 FLA 60%
39-26
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
60%
3-2
57%
37-28
 2.08 1.15 / 0.92
TOR 67%
43-21
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
66%
21-11
60%
3-2
59%
38-26
 2.11 1.25 / 0.86
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 FLA 62%
40-25
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
68%
21-10
40%
2-3
53%
30-27
 2.00 1.08 / 0.92
TOR 64%
41-23
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
69%
22-10
40%
2-3
49%
28-29
 2.08 0.95 / 1.13
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-452-26-4
Points %59.8%65.9%
Goals for / game3.073.27
Goals against / game2.722.82
Shots for / game31.628.0
Shots against / game26.229.3
Power play %23.5%24.8%
Penalty kill %80.7%77.9%
Faceoff %49.5%53.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.850.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.02 / 1.04
Avg game total5.796.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 25 shots · 2 GA · W
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1200252/3
TOR1010250/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+230
 21% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+175
 29% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+180
 30% 30% 75%3/4 2 O
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+220
 22% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+500
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+650
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+700
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+145
 42% 10% 80%4/5 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+325
 22% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1500
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+525
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 56% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 69% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 34% 60% 100%1/1 2 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 1.5
o+185 / u-250
 29% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 31% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 45% 60% 20%1/5 2 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 56% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 33% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 19% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 34% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 40% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 14% 10% 0%0/1 2 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 17% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 59% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-115
 51% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 64% 60% 75%3/4 4 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 75% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 50% 40%2/5 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 55% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 29% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 30% 0%0/5 2 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 23% 30% 0%0/1 4 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 30% 33%1/3 23 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 33% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+150
 44% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+200
 25% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+105
 43% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 10% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+230
 35% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+450
 11% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 7% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
David Kampf G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+350
 25% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 64% 80% 20%1/5 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 68% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 73% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 38% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 34% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 70% 75%3/4 3 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 45% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 30% 25%1/4 5 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 20% 40%2/5 6 O
Anthony Stolarz SV 27.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 40% 0%0/1 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–1 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–21–00–1 4 — FLA
May 12, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — FLA
May 10, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–1 0–01–01–1 3 — TOR
May 7, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–3 OT 1–01–20–0 5 — FLA
May 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — FLA
May 2, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–4 0–12–20–1 6 — FLA