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← Stats / BUF @ BOS

BUF @ BOS

Monday, March 17, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / OT
Boston Bruins
33-39-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -115 · BOS -105
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+180) · BOS +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BOS +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BUFo5.5 69%
45-20
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
20-11
40%
2-3
63%
36-21-7
BOSo5.5 50%
34-34
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
47%
17-19
40%
2-3
49%
32-34-1
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF-1.5 22%
14-51
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
19%
6-25
40%
2-3
-9.87u
32-32
BOS+1.5 68%
46-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
78%
28-8
60%
3-2
-12.34u
31-36
Moneyline
win %
 BUF fav -115 40%
26-39
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
29%
9-22
40%
2-3
-3.52u
10-10
BOS dog -105 44%
30-38
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
53%
19-17
60%
3-2
-9.15u
12-25
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+102 BUF 88%
57-8
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
87%
27-4
80%
4-1
60%
39-26
 1.98 1.14 / 0.85
BOS 77%
52-16
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
78%
28-8
80%
4-1
59%
40-28
 1.75 0.82 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 BUF 92%
60-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
28-3
100%
5-0
65%
42-23
 2.29 0.97 / 1.32
BOS 88%
60-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
86%
31-5
100%
5-0
57%
39-29
 1.85 0.84 / 1.01
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 BUF 91%
59-6
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
87%
27-4
100%
5-0
47%
27-30
 2.26 0.98 / 1.28
BOS 90%
61-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
86%
31-5
100%
5-0
48%
29-31
 2.09 0.94 / 1.15
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFBOS
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-733-39-10
Points %48.2%46.3%
Goals for / game3.282.71
Goals against / game3.523.32
Shots for / game27.826.5
Shots against / game28.928.6
Power play %18.8%15.2%
Penalty kill %76.3%76.3%
Faceoff %47.7%51.8%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.83 / 0.87
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.87 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.300.93 / 1.22
Avg game total6.806.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
18 saves on 20 shots · 2 GA · W
27 saves on 30 shots · 3 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1101302/4
BOS2000200/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+175
 32% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 48% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+230
 28% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 8% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+800
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+475
 10% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 14% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brett Murray G 0.5
o+600
 0% — — 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 68% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 60% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 39% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 40% 20% 60%3/5 3 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 27% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 37% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 21% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 37% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 34% 20% 60%3/5 2 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 19% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 56% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 60% 33%1/3 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 37% 40% 25%1/4 6 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 40% 100%1/1 18 U
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+100
 41% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+210
 30% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 20% — 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+400
 7% 20% — 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+550
 8% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+850
 6% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jakub Lauko G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Cole Koepke G 0.5
o+550
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Patrick Brown G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1400
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Vinni Lettieri G 0.5
o+450
 15% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ian Mitchell G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% — 0 U
John Beecher G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 43% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 40% 40%2/5 1 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Mason Lohrei PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 37% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 34% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 30% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 21% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Mason Lohrei A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 30% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 80% 20%1/5 4 O
Mason Lohrei SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 37% 80% 40%2/5 2 O
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 50% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Pavel Zacha SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 56% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 30% 30% 25%1/4 2 U
Joonas Korpisalo SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 50% 50%1/2 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 28, 2025 at BUF BOS 2–7 1–10–21–4 9 6 O BUF
Dec 21, 2024 at BOS BOS 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 6 U BOS
Dec 27, 2023 at BUF BOS 4–1 2–02–00–1 5 — BOS
Dec 7, 2023 at BOS BOS 1–3 0–01–20–1 4 — BUF
Nov 14, 2023 at BUF BOS 5–2 3–02–10–1 7 — BOS
Mar 19, 2023 at BUF BOS 7–0 3–01–03–0 7 — BOS
Mar 2, 2023 at BOS BOS 7–1 0–02–05–1 8 — BOS
Dec 31, 2022 at BOS BOS 3–4 OT 1–10–12–1 7 — BUF
Nov 12, 2022 at BUF BOS 3–1 0–11–02–0 4 — BOS
Apr 28, 2022 at BOS BOS 5–0 0–02–03–0 5 — BOS