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TBL @ VGK

Sunday, March 23, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
2 – 4
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
50-22-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +105 · VGK -125
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-250) · VGK -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · VGK -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 42%
29-40
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
17-18
100%
3-0
45%
29-36-3
VGKo6.5 45%
31-38
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
47%
17-19
100%
3-0
48%
31-33-4
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 77%
53-16
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
74%
26-9
100%
3-0
+9.28u
36-32
VGK-1.5 44%
30-39
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
58%
21-15
0%
0-3
+14.13u
40-28
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +105 58%
40-29
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
46%
16-19
100%
3-0
-5.05u
6-12
VGK fav -125 59%
41-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
72%
26-10
0%
0-3
-1.31u
33-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TBL 45%
31-38
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
19-16
100%
3-0
45%
31-38
 1.77 1.04 / 0.72
VGK 51%
35-34
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
20-16
100%
3-0
51%
35-34
 1.80 0.99 / 0.81
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 65%
45-24
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
66%
23-12
33%
1-2
58%
40-29
 2.19 1.17 / 1.01
VGK 61%
42-27
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
20-16
33%
1-2
57%
39-30
 1.96 1.01 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 TBL 33%
23-46
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
12-23
67%
2-1
37%
23-39
 2.12 1.22 / 0.90
VGK 39%
27-42
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
42%
15-21
67%
2-1
55%
34-28
 2.19 1.33 / 0.86
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-850-22-10
Points %62.2%67.1%
Goals for / game3.593.35
Goals against / game2.672.67
Shots for / game28.530.3
Shots against / game28.226.1
Power play %25.9%28.3%
Penalty kill %81.6%75.7%
Faceoff %50.1%50.5%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.99 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.940.99 / 0.95
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.33 / 0.83
Avg game total6.266.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · L
35 saves on 37 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0110371/4
VGK3010301/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+175
 38% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 33% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+160
 39% 20% 100%3/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+325
 30% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 45% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+900
 8% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+195
 38% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+700
 20% 20% 0%0/1 DNP
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+575
 9% 20% — 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+800
 3% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 14% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1750
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 46% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 70% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 72% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 45% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 53% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 30% 100%3/3 1 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 49% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 66% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 36% 60% 17%1/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 49% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 30% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 30% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 71% 60% 67%2/3 6 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 52% 40% 33%1/3 6 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 45% 20% 67%2/3 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-110 / u-125
 46% 40% 33%1/3 26 O
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+190
 35% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+240
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+350
 13% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+220
 33% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+300
 28% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+550
 12% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+165
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+425
 17% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+425
 25% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo G 0.5
o+800
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+450
 15% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
William Karlsson G 0.5
o+275
 15% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+600
 15% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 75% 90% 100%3/3 1 O
Mark Stone PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 66% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Brandon Saad PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 32% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 35% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 35% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
William Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 63% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Mark Stone A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 29% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 33% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 29% 30% 0%0/2 2 O
Brandon Saad A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 20% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 20% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Karlsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Mark Stone SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 66% 70% 0%0/2 4 O
William Karlsson SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Brandon Saad SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 50% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Tomas Hertl SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+145
 70% 60% 100%2/2 5 O
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 64% 60% 50%1/2 3 O
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Jack Eichel SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 62% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Alex Pietrangelo SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 52% 30% 100%2/2 1 U
Ilya Samsonov SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 33% 10% 0%0/2 35 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 17, 2024 at TBL VGK 3–4 2–21–00–2 7 6.5 O TBL
Mar 19, 2024 at VGK VGK 3–5 1–21–01–3 8 — TBL
Dec 21, 2023 at TBL VGK 4–5 2–00–42–1 9 — TBL
Mar 9, 2023 at TBL VGK 4–3 OT 1–10–02–2 7 — VGK
Feb 18, 2023 at VGK VGK 5–4 4–20–11–1 9 — VGK
Jan 29, 2022 at TBL VGK 3–2 SO 1–01–00–2 5 — VGK
Dec 21, 2021 at VGK VGK 3–4 1–12–20–1 7 — TBL
Feb 20, 2020 at VGK VGK 5–3 1–12–12–1 8 — VGK
Feb 4, 2020 at TBL VGK 2–4 1–20–01–2 6 — TBL
Feb 5, 2019 at TBL VGK 3–2 SO 0–11–11–0 5 — VGK