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PIT @ TBL

Tuesday, March 25, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Away
1 – 6
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +250 · TBL -325
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (+100) · TBL -1.5 (-120)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 49%
35-37
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
40%
14-21
40%
2-3
54%
37-31-3
TBLo6.5 41%
29-41
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
12-22
40%
2-3
44%
29-37-3
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 61%
44-28
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
57%
20-15
60%
3-2
-9.04u
36-35
TBL-1.5 43%
30-40
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
53%
18-16
40%
2-3
+8.28u
36-33
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +250 40%
29-43
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
31%
11-24
40%
2-3
-10.73u
20-36
TBL fav -325 57%
40-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
71%
24-10
60%
3-2
+4.53u
34-16
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-154/u+120 PIT 85%
61-11
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
71%
25-10
100%
5-0
50%
36-36
 1.79 0.85 / 0.94
TBL 89%
62-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
29-5
100%
5-0
46%
32-38
 1.79 1.03 / 0.76
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 PIT 94%
68-4
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
97%
34-1
100%
5-0
56%
40-32
 2.15 0.97 / 1.18
TBL 86%
60-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
28-6
100%
5-0
57%
40-30
 2.17 1.17 / 1.00
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 PIT 94%
68-4
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
97%
34-1
100%
5-0
45%
29-35
 2.36 1.01 / 1.35
TBL 90%
63-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
91%
31-3
100%
5-0
37%
23-40
 2.11 1.21 / 0.90
Team Comparison '24-25
PITTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)34-36-1247-27-8
Points %48.8%62.2%
Goals for / game2.963.59
Goals against / game3.572.67
Shots for / game28.328.5
Shots against / game30.128.2
Power play %25.8%25.9%
Penalty kill %77.8%81.6%
Faceoff %52.6%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.961.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.221.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 1.241.18 / 0.91
Avg game total6.546.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
3 saves on 7 shots · 4 GA · L
14 saves on 15 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT0010150/1
TBL4200271/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+180
 30% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+185
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+195
 33% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+600
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+525
 5% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+475
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+550
 10% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Bokondji Imama G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+350
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+750
 12% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+900
 1% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Emil Bemstrom G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+650
 17% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Vladislav Kolyachonok G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 0% — 0 U
Joona Koppanen G 0.5
o+650
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 70% 90% 100%5/5 1 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 53% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 40% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Philip Tomasino PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 47% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 39% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Philip Tomasino A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 17% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Philip Tomasino SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 38% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 50% 60%3/5 2 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 62% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 47% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Tristan Jarry SV 26.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 60% 50%2/4 3 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 38% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 39% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+260
 31% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+260
 32% 30% 75%3/4 2 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+155
 37% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 8% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 3% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+275
 21% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+135
 45% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 70% 70% 20%1/5 2 O
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 29% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 40% 100%5/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 62% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 71% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 39% 30% 80%4/5 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 30% 75%3/4 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 65% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 36% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 50% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Ryan McDonagh A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 26% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 46% 40% 100%5/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 38% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 23% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 29% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 60% 67%2/3 2 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 60% 40%2/5 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 66% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 66% 50% 100%4/4 4 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 40% 40%2/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-165
 44% 40% 60%3/5 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 40% 40%2/5 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 20% 60%3/5 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 50% 50%2/4 14 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 12, 2025 at PIT TBL 5–2 0–12–03–1 7 6.5 O TBL
Nov 19, 2024 at PIT TBL 3–2 OT 0–10–12–0 5 6.5 U TBL
Apr 6, 2024 at PIT TBL 4–5 0–11–33–1 9 — PIT
Dec 6, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–1 1–02–00–1 4 — TBL
Nov 30, 2023 at TBL TBL 2–4 2–00–20–2 6 — PIT
Mar 2, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–5 OT 1–01–32–1 9 — PIT
Feb 26, 2023 at PIT TBL 3–7 2–10–61–0 10 — PIT
Oct 15, 2022 at PIT TBL 2–6 1–10–11–4 8 — PIT
Mar 3, 2022 at TBL TBL 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 — PIT
Oct 26, 2021 at PIT TBL 5–1 0–03–02–1 6 — TBL