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PIT @ BUF

Thursday, March 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Away
3 – 7
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +120 · BUF -140
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-210) · BUF -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 10 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 49%
36-37
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
42%
15-21
40%
2-3
55%
38-31-3
BUFo6.5 54%
38-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
60%
21-14
40%
2-3
61%
38-24-7
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 60%
44-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
20-16
80%
4-1
-10.04u
36-36
BUF-1.5 21%
15-55
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
23%
8-27
20%
1-4
-11.37u
34-35
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +120 40%
29-44
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
31%
11-25
60%
3-2
-11.73u
20-37
BUF fav -140 41%
29-41
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
51%
18-17
40%
2-3
-2.65u
11-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 PIT 51%
37-36
100%
5-0
50%
5-5
42%
15-21
20%
1-4
51%
37-36
 1.82 0.84 / 0.99
BUF 60%
42-28
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
20-15
20%
1-4
60%
42-28
 1.96 1.11 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 PIT 64%
47-26
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
69%
25-11
40%
2-3
55%
40-33
 2.15 0.96 / 1.19
BUF 73%
51-19
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
71%
25-10
40%
2-3
63%
44-26
 2.26 0.94 / 1.31
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 PIT 71%
52-21
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
75%
27-9
100%
5-0
45%
29-36
 2.34 1.01 / 1.33
BUF 66%
46-24
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
66%
23-12
100%
5-0
48%
30-32
 2.27 1.00 / 1.27
Team Comparison '24-25
PITBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)34-36-1236-39-7
Points %48.8%48.2%
Goals for / game2.963.28
Goals against / game3.573.52
Shots for / game28.327.8
Shots against / game30.128.9
Power play %25.8%18.8%
Penalty kill %77.8%76.3%
Faceoff %52.6%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.961.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.221.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 1.241.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.546.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
8 saves on 12 shots · 4 GA · L
23 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT1020250/3
BUF2500300/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+170
 30% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+175
 34% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+190
 39% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+500
 5% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+425
 18% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+500
 10% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+375
 18% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+1100
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Bemstrom G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+575
 17% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Joona Koppanen G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 70% 90% 60%3/5 1 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 61% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 52% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 55% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Philip Tomasino PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 29% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 40% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 47% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Philip Tomasino A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 16% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Philip Tomasino SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 70% 0%0/2 1 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 62% 50% 100%4/4 3 O
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 37% 50% 75%3/4 5 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 40% 60%3/5 2 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 47% 40% 40%2/5 2 U
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Tristan Jarry SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 60% 67%2/3 8 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+190
 28% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+180
 33% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 45% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+275
 21% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 19% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 9% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+500
 12% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+260
 20% 10% — 2 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+525
 0% 0% — 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 66% 60% 75%3/4 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 40% 100%4/4 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 32% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 28% 30% — 2 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 30% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 30% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 45% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 50% 30% 20%1/5 2 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 31% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 19% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 12% 20% — 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 0% 75%3/4 1 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 74% 80% — 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 60% 40%2/5 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 30% 50%2/4 3 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 20% 60%3/5 2 U
James Reimer SV 23.5
o+100 / u-130
 77% 70% — 23 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 17, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–5 1–00–31–2 7 6 O PIT
Oct 16, 2024 at PIT BUF 5–6 OT 3–10–22–2 11 6.5 O PIT
Jan 6, 2024 at PIT BUF 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 — BUF
Nov 24, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 0–10–13–0 5 — BUF
Nov 11, 2023 at PIT BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — PIT
Dec 10, 2022 at PIT BUF 1–3 0–20–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 9, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 OT 0–02–11–2 7 — PIT
Nov 2, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 0–11–15–1 9 — BUF
Mar 23, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 1–01–21–1 7 — BUF
Dec 17, 2021 at PIT BUF 2–3 OT 0–11–11–0 5 — PIT