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NYI @ TBL

Saturday, March 29, 2025 · 1:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
35-35-12 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI +195 · TBL -260
Puck Line
NYI +1.5 (-120) · TBL -1.5 (+100)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 NYIo5.5 55%
39-32
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
49%
17-18
50%
2-2
54%
37-31-2
TBLo5.5 54%
39-33
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
53%
19-17
50%
2-2
46%
31-37-3
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI+1.5 69%
49-22
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
69%
24-11
50%
2-2
-11.08u
33-37
TBL-1.5 44%
32-40
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
20-16
50%
2-2
+10.27u
38-33
Moneyline
win %
 NYI dog +195 45%
32-39
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
15-20
50%
2-2
+0.86u
17-21
TBL fav -260 58%
42-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
72%
26-10
50%
2-2
+5.33u
36-16
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 NYI 45%
32-39
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
49%
17-18
75%
3-1
45%
32-39
 1.46 0.70 / 0.76
TBL 47%
34-38
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
39%
14-22
75%
3-1
47%
34-38
 1.82 1.08 / 0.74
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 NYI 59%
42-29
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
57%
20-15
50%
2-2
59%
42-29
 1.94 0.96 / 0.99
TBL 65%
47-25
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
24-12
50%
2-2
57%
41-31
 2.19 1.22 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 NYI 37%
26-45
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
37%
13-22
25%
1-3
59%
38-27
 2.11 0.99 / 1.13
TBL 32%
23-49
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
31%
11-25
25%
1-3
37%
24-41
 2.10 1.21 / 0.89
Team Comparison '24-25
NYITBL
Record (W-L-OTL)35-35-1247-27-8
Points %50.0%62.2%
Goals for / game2.733.59
Goals against / game3.172.67
Shots for / game29.528.5
Shots against / game28.728.2
Power play %12.6%25.9%
Penalty kill %72.2%81.6%
Faceoff %54.9%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.70 / 0.821.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.061.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.151.18 / 0.91
Avg game total5.906.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · L
35 saves on 38 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI0030381/2
TBL3110240/0
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+250
 32% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+175
 30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle Palmieri G 0.5
o+230
 30% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+350
 17% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+600
 13% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Pierre Engvall G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Marc Gatcomb G 0.5
o+750
 18% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+425
 18% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Adam Boqvist G 0.5
o+900
 13% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+900
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+600
 12% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/3 DNP
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Hudson Fasching G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 33%1/3 1 O
Alexander Romanov G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Tony DeAngelo PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 54% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 49% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Jean-Gabriel Pageau PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 51% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 43% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Simon Holmstrom PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Kyle Palmieri PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 49% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 24% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Tony DeAngelo A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 42% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 29% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 25% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Kyle Palmieri A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 10% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Kyle Palmieri SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 61% 70% 100%4/4 5 O
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 60% 70% 50%2/4 3 O
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 60% 50%2/4 5 O
Noah Dobson SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 55% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Tony DeAngelo SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 58% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 60% 33%1/3 19 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 41% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+260
 33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+140
 38% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+135
 46% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+175
 38% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+500
 10% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+260
 30% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 22% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 71% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 45% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 40% 50%2/4 4 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 63% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 72% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 50% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 66% 70% 50%2/4 3 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 51% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 38% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 24% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 71% 60% 75%3/4 6 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 60% 0%0/4 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 100%4/4 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 65% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 66% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 42% 30% 0%0/4 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 30% 75%3/4 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 50% 100%3/3 DNP

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 1, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–3 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U NYI
Mar 30, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–1 2–10–02–0 5 — TBL
Feb 24, 2024 at NYI TBL 4–2 2–01–01–2 6 — TBL
Feb 8, 2024 at NYI TBL 2–6 1–31–30–0 8 — NYI
Apr 6, 2023 at NYI TBL 1–6 0–01–40–2 7 — NYI
Apr 1, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–0 1–03–01–0 5 — TBL
Oct 22, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–3 2–12–11–1 8 — TBL
Apr 29, 2022 at NYI TBL 6–4 1–10–25–1 10 — TBL
Mar 27, 2022 at NYI TBL 4–1 0–12–02–0 5 — TBL
Nov 15, 2021 at TBL TBL 4–1 2–10–02–0 5 — TBL