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TBL @ OTT

Thursday, April 3, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
1 – 2
FINAL
Ottawa Senators
45-30-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -140 · OTT +120
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+160) · OTT +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · OTT +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 54%
40-34
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
54%
20-17
86%
6-1
46%
32-38-3
OTTo5.5 51%
38-36
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
56%
19-15
86%
6-1
46%
31-37-6
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 46%
34-40
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
35%
13-24
29%
2-5
+12.67u
40-33
OTT+1.5 69%
51-23
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
74%
25-9
71%
5-2
-19.04u
29-45
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -140 60%
44-30
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
46%
17-20
43%
3-4
+6.27u
38-16
OTT dog +120 53%
39-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
21-13
57%
4-3
+0.91u
15-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-120/u-106 TBL 26%
19-55
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
27%
10-27
14%
1-6
49%
36-38
 1.84 1.11 / 0.73
OTT 23%
17-57
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
29%
10-24
14%
1-6
46%
34-40
 1.64 0.84 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 TBL 41%
30-44
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
43%
16-21
57%
4-3
57%
42-32
 2.18 1.23 / 0.95
OTT 23%
17-57
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
24%
8-26
57%
4-3
58%
43-31
 1.86 0.97 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 32%
24-50
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
32%
12-25
43%
3-4
37%
25-42
 2.11 1.20 / 0.91
OTT 35%
26-48
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
38%
13-21
43%
3-4
52%
34-32
 2.07 0.95 / 1.12
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLOTT
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-845-30-7
Points %62.2%59.1%
Goals for / game3.592.96
Goals against / game2.672.85
Shots for / game28.529.3
Shots against / game28.228.6
Power play %25.9%23.8%
Penalty kill %81.6%77.7%
Faceoff %50.1%53.1%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.89 / 0.79
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.940.96 / 0.93
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.910.99 / 1.05
Avg game total6.265.82
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 19 shots · 2 GA · L
31 saves on 32 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0100320/3
OTT1100191/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+145
 41% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 40% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+150
 46% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 32% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 17% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+275
 31% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+185
 37% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+350
 23% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+575
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 3% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1600
 8% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 12% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 70% 80% 57%4/7 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 55% 60% 43%3/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 60% 71%5/7 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 50% 57%4/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 43% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 49% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 40% 14%1/7 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 80% 57%4/7 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 51% 70% 29%2/7 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 35% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 30% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 45% 70% 50%3/6 3 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 70% 60% 71%5/7 7 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 65% 60% 33%2/6 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 65% 50% 100%4/4 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 50% 43%3/7 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 46% 40% 57%4/7 5 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 40% 29%2/7 4 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 20% 57%4/7 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 50% 50%2/4 17 U
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
David Perron G 0.5
o+325
 22% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+250
 23% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+325
 19% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+475
 17% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+500
 12% 30% 0%0/7 1 O
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+300
 17% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+550
 8% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Angus Crookshank G 0.5
o+650
 15% 10% — 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+250
 19% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+375
 19% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+1400
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+240
 26% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Highmore G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+650
 18% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+300
 21% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 70% 57%4/7 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 60% 71%5/7 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
David Perron PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 36% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 32% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 50% 71%5/7 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 50% 100%6/6 1 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 36% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 42% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 30% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 18% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 40% 14%1/7 0 U
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 40% 83%5/6 1 O
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 37% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 43% 20% 71%5/7 0 U
David Perron A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 17% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 22% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 51% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
David Perron SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 50% 67%4/6 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 50% 20%1/5 2 U
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 40% 57%4/7 1 U
Tim Stützle SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 55% 40% 33%2/6 1 U
Claude Giroux SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 57% 30% 86%6/7 0 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 30% 33%2/6 1 U
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 41% 30% 14%1/7 3 O
Linus Ullmark SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 62% 50% 50%2/4 31 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 6, 2025 at TBL OTT 1–5 0–11–10–3 6 5.5 O TBL
Feb 4, 2025 at TBL OTT 3–4 1–01–21–2 7 5.5 O TBL
Oct 19, 2024 at OTT OTT 5–4 2–02–31–1 9 6.5 O OTT
Apr 11, 2024 at TBL OTT 3–2 SO 1–20–01–0 5 — OTT
Feb 19, 2024 at TBL OTT 4–2 2–01–11–1 6 — OTT
Nov 4, 2023 at OTT OTT 4–6 1–10–33–2 10 — TBL
Oct 15, 2023 at OTT OTT 5–2 1–02–22–0 7 — OTT
Apr 8, 2023 at OTT OTT 7–4 2–12–23–1 11 — OTT
Mar 23, 2023 at OTT OTT 7–2 2–01–14–1 9 — OTT
Nov 1, 2022 at TBL OTT 3–4 1–01–11–3 7 — TBL