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← Stats / BOS @ BUF

BOS @ BUF

Sunday, April 6, 2025 · 5:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Boston Bruins
33-39-10 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BOS +160 · BUF -190
Puck Line
BOS +1.5 (-165) · BUF -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BOSo6.5 42%
32-45
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
15-23
33%
2-4
49%
37-38-1
BUFo6.5 56%
42-33
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
60%
22-15
33%
2-4
63%
42-25-7
Puck Line
cover %
 BOS+1.5 65%
50-27
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
19-19
67%
4-2
-14.79u
35-41
BUF-1.5 24%
18-57
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
24%
9-28
33%
2-4
-8.31u
38-36
Moneyline
win %
 BOS dog +160 40%
31-46
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
29%
11-27
50%
3-3
-14.25u
13-32
BUF fav -190 44%
33-42
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
54%
20-17
50%
3-3
-1.93u
12-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-144/u+114 BOS 26%
20-57
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
24%
9-29
33%
2-4
57%
44-33
 1.70 0.79 / 0.91
BUF 29%
22-53
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
30%
11-26
33%
2-4
61%
46-29
 1.96 1.12 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 BOS 27%
21-56
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
37%
14-24
33%
2-4
60%
46-31
 1.88 0.83 / 1.05
BUF 39%
29-46
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
41%
15-22
33%
2-4
65%
49-26
 2.35 1.04 / 1.31
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 BOS 40%
31-46
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
45%
17-21
17%
1-5
52%
36-33
 2.12 0.91 / 1.21
BUF 45%
34-41
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
18-19
17%
1-5
49%
33-34
 2.35 1.04 / 1.31
Team Comparison '24-25
BOSBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)33-39-1036-39-7
Points %46.3%48.2%
Goals for / game2.713.28
Goals against / game3.323.52
Shots for / game26.527.8
Shots against / game28.628.9
Power play %15.2%18.8%
Penalty kill %76.3%76.3%
Faceoff %51.8%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 0.871.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.87 / 1.111.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.221.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.026.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
31 saves on 36 shots · 5 GA · L
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BOS2100201/1
BUF0330370/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+240
 35% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+275
 20% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+120
 40% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Vinni Lettieri G 0.5
o+425
 14% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+650
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ian Mitchell G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 DNP
Jakub Lauko G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Cole Koepke G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
John Beecher G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+475
 13% 0% — 0 U
Fabian Lysell G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
David Pastrnak PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 74% 70% 83%5/6 3 O
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 44% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 50% 83%5/6 3 O
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 25% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 35% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 30% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 49% 40% 60%3/5 5 O
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 40% 33%2/6 2 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 56% 30% 60%3/5 4 O
Joonas Korpisalo SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 60% 67%2/3 31 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+175
 36% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 48% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+260
 22% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+450
 12% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+170
 27% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 20% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 16% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+260
 26% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1400
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 20% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 6% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 15% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 57% 70% 25%1/4 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 70% 25%1/4 2 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 61% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 67% 60% 40%2/5 3 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 55% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 52% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 33% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 29% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 35% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 73% 80% 50%1/2 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 49% 50% 50%2/4 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
 36% 30% 40%2/5 6 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 20% 50%2/4 2 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 36% 20% 80%4/5 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 21.5
o-120 / u-110
 65% 60% 50%1/2 17 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 17, 2025 at BOS BUF 3–2 OT 1–21–00–0 5 5.5 U BUF
Jan 28, 2025 at BUF BUF 7–2 1–12–04–1 9 6 O BUF
Dec 21, 2024 at BOS BUF 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 6 U BOS
Dec 27, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–20–21–0 5 — BOS
Dec 7, 2023 at BOS BUF 3–1 0–02–11–0 4 — BUF
Nov 14, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–31–21–0 7 — BOS
Mar 19, 2023 at BUF BUF 0–7 0–30–10–3 7 — BOS
Mar 2, 2023 at BOS BUF 1–7 0–00–21–5 8 — BOS
Dec 31, 2022 at BOS BUF 4–3 OT 1–11–01–2 7 — BUF
Nov 12, 2022 at BUF BUF 1–3 1–00–10–2 4 — BOS