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BUF @ TBL

Sunday, April 13, 2025 · 5:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
4 – 7
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +195 · TBL -260
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-115) · TBL -1.5 (-105)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 54%
43-36
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
50%
20-20
17%
1-5
61%
43-28-7
TBLo6.5 43%
34-45
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
44%
17-22
17%
1-5
47%
35-40-3
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 63%
50-29
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
53%
21-19
83%
5-1
-5.23u
42-36
TBL-1.5 44%
35-44
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
54%
21-18
17%
1-5
+10.27u
41-37
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +195 44%
35-44
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
33%
13-27
67%
4-2
-0.60u
22-33
TBL fav -260 57%
45-34
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
69%
27-12
33%
2-4
+2.90u
39-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 BUF 29%
23-56
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
30%
12-28
17%
1-5
61%
48-31
 1.94 1.10 / 0.84
TBL 27%
21-58
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
26%
10-29
17%
1-5
48%
38-41
 1.82 1.10 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 BUF 38%
30-49
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
14-26
50%
3-3
66%
52-27
 2.33 1.05 / 1.28
TBL 41%
32-47
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
39%
15-24
50%
3-3
57%
45-34
 2.15 1.20 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 BUF 44%
35-44
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
40%
16-24
0%
0-6
48%
34-37
 2.32 1.05 / 1.27
TBL 32%
25-54
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
33%
13-26
0%
0-6
38%
27-45
 2.08 1.19 / 0.89
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-747-27-8
Points %48.2%62.2%
Goals for / game3.283.59
Goals against / game3.522.67
Shots for / game27.828.5
Shots against / game28.928.2
Power play %18.8%25.9%
Penalty kill %76.3%81.6%
Faceoff %47.7%50.1%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.831.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.18 / 0.91
Avg game total6.806.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
24 saves on 31 shots · 7 GA · L
21 saves on 25 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2020251/2
TBL1420311/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 48% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+220
 37% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 23% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+220
 30% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 12% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+400
 16% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 26% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 14% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+575
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 58% 80% 67%4/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 80% 83%5/6 2 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 64% 80% 33%2/6 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 66% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 47% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 54% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 70% 83%5/6 2 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 46% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
JJ Peterka SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 65% 80% 67%4/6 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 73% 70% 100%2/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 60% 67%4/6 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 56% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 50% 50%3/6 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 20% 33%2/6 1 U
James Reimer SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 68% 60% 0%0/1 24 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+120
 40% 50% 0%0/6 2 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+115
 46% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+130
 38% 40% 20%1/5 2 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+400
 17% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+175
 37% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+425
 12% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+275
 29% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 31% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+575
 19% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+375
 13% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+550
 12% 10% — 1 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 71% 80% 50%3/6 3 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 54% 60% 17%1/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 62% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 70% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 50% 17%1/6 3 O
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 48% 40% 50%3/6 2 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 30% 50%3/6 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 67% 70% 67%4/6 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 60% 33%2/6 3 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 50% 17%1/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 39% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 35% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 30% 30% 50%3/6 2 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 22% 10% 50%3/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 60% 60%3/5 4 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 50% 50%3/6 3 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 40% 17%1/6 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 40% 50%3/6 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 40% 17%1/6 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 20% 50%3/6 2 U
Jonas Johansson SV 23.5
o-110 / u-125
 69% 60% 100%3/3 21 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 5, 2025 at BUF TBL 2–3 SO 0–02–10–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Mar 6, 2025 at TBL TBL 6–5 2–33–21–0 11 6.5 O TBL
Apr 15, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–11–21–1 6 — BUF
Feb 29, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–3 OT 1–11–00–1 5 — BUF
Jan 20, 2024 at BUF TBL 3–1 2–00–11–0 4 — TBL
Oct 17, 2023 at BUF TBL 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — BUF
Mar 4, 2023 at BUF TBL 3–5 1–10–32–1 8 — BUF
Feb 23, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–6 OT 1–11–33–1 11 — BUF
Nov 28, 2022 at BUF TBL 6–5 OT 2–21–12–2 11 — TBL
Nov 5, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–3 1–11–13–1 8 — TBL