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OTT @ TBL

Thursday, October 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Away
5 – 4
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT +155 · TBL -185
Puck Line
OTT +1.5 (-165) · TBL -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 OTTo5.5 52%
43-39
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
49%
20-21
75%
3-1
47%
36-40-6
TBLo5.5 55%
45-37
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
59%
24-17
75%
3-1
47%
37-41-3
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT+1.5 71%
58-24
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
63%
26-15
75%
3-1
-16.53u
34-48
TBL-1.5 45%
37-45
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
25%
1-3
+11.37u
43-38
Moneyline
win %
 OTT dog +155 55%
45-37
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
50%
2-2
+3.31u
17-17
TBL fav -185 57%
47-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
71%
29-12
50%
2-2
+3.74u
41-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 OTT 49%
40-42
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
42%
17-24
25%
1-3
49%
40-42
 1.68 0.89 / 0.79
TBL 49%
40-42
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
25%
1-3
49%
40-42
 1.83 1.11 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 OTT 26%
21-61
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
22%
9-32
50%
2-2
60%
49-33
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
TBL 40%
33-49
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
50%
2-2
57%
47-35
 2.16 1.22 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 OTT 35%
29-53
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
34%
14-27
50%
2-2
52%
38-35
 2.04 0.99 / 1.05
TBL 33%
27-55
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
34%
14-27
50%
2-2
39%
29-46
 2.10 1.18 / 0.91
Team Comparison '25-26
OTTTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)44-27-1150-26-6
Points %60.4%64.6%
Goals for / game3.393.54
Goals against / game3.002.82
Shots for / game28.928.1
Shots against / game24.426.7
Power play %24.0%20.7%
Penalty kill %75.7%82.6%
Faceoff %54.2%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.95 / 0.890.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.981.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.21 / 1.001.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.396.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 25 shots · 4 GA · W
29 saves on 33 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT1220341/4
TBL3010252/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+300
 23% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+450
 14% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+575
 11% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+325
 21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+145
 36% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+250
 20% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+230
 26% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
David Perron G 0.5
o+375
 21% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+650
 12% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Kurtis MacDermid G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+500
 15% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1500
 0% — — 0 U
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 45% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 51% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 40% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 67% 40% 100%4/4 1 O
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 40% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 22% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 51% 40% 100%4/4 1 O
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 29% 20% 0%0/3 3 O
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 21% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 51% 70% 33%1/3 4 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 70% 25%1/4 3 O
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 68% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Tim Stützle SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 60% 25%1/4 3 O
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 53% 30% 100%3/3 5 O
Linus Ullmark SV 24.5
o-125 / u-110
 63% 70% 100%2/2 21 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 39% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+150
 41% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+155
 46% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+260
 23% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+425
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+200
 35% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+350
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 30% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+500
 18% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1300
 0% — — 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 60% 25%1/4 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+145
 63% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 70% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 69% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 49% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 30% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 67% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 47% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 60% 100%4/4 4 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 60% 50%2/4 2 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 65% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 30% 50%2/4 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 50% 50%2/4 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 3, 2025 at OTT TBL 1–2 0–11–10–0 3 5.5 U OTT
Feb 6, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 1–01–13–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Feb 4, 2025 at TBL TBL 4–3 0–12–12–1 7 5.5 O TBL
Oct 19, 2024 at OTT TBL 4–5 0–23–21–1 9 6.5 O OTT
Apr 11, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–3 SO 2–10–00–1 5 — OTT
Feb 19, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–21–11–1 6 — OTT
Nov 4, 2023 at OTT TBL 6–4 1–13–02–3 10 — TBL
Oct 15, 2023 at OTT TBL 2–5 0–12–20–2 7 — OTT
Apr 8, 2023 at OTT TBL 4–7 1–22–21–3 11 — OTT
Mar 23, 2023 at OTT TBL 2–7 0–21–11–4 9 — OTT