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← Stats / NYI @ PIT

NYI @ PIT

Thursday, October 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL
Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI -130 · PIT +110
Puck Line
NYI -1.5 (+175) · PIT +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · PIT +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 NYIo5.5 55%
45-37
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
22-19
75%
3-1
54%
43-36-2
PITo5.5 62%
51-31
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
25-16
75%
3-1
55%
43-35-3
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI-1.5 24%
20-62
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
22%
9-32
50%
2-2
-14.78u
37-44
PIT+1.5 61%
50-32
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
66%
27-14
50%
2-2
-7.47u
42-39
Moneyline
win %
 NYI fav -130 43%
35-47
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
75%
3-1
-9.94u
15-20
PIT dog +110 42%
34-48
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
51%
21-20
25%
1-3
-7.87u
24-39
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 NYI 46%
38-44
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
49%
20-21
50%
2-2
46%
38-44
 1.51 0.70 / 0.82
PIT 50%
41-41
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
50%
2-2
50%
41-41
 1.78 0.82 / 0.96
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 NYI 28%
23-59
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
24%
10-31
50%
2-2
61%
50-32
 2.01 0.95 / 1.06
PIT 34%
28-54
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
27%
11-30
50%
2-2
54%
44-38
 2.15 0.93 / 1.22
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 NYI 63%
52-30
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
68%
28-13
100%
4-0
58%
44-32
 2.15 1.00 / 1.15
PIT 72%
59-23
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
66%
27-14
100%
4-0
47%
34-39
 2.34 1.10 / 1.24
Team Comparison '25-26
NYIPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)43-34-541-25-16
Points %55.5%59.8%
Goals for / game2.843.57
Goals against / game2.943.27
Shots for / game28.228.6
Shots against / game27.727.4
Power play %16.5%24.1%
Penalty kill %80.8%81.4%
Faceoff %52.7%48.2%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.821.13 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.061.18 / 1.09
3rd period GF / GA0.85 / 1.001.17 / 1.16
Avg game total5.786.84
Starting Goalies from the box score
NYI · Ilya Sorokin
24 saves on 28 shots · 4 GA · L
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI1200370/3
PIT1210282/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+180
 31% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+225
 32% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+225
 20% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Kyle Palmieri G 0.5
o+260
 28% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+425
 18% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+400
 21% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+475
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+500
 11% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Alexander Romanov G 0.5
o+900
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Filip Hallander G 0.5
o+475
 — — — 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+750
 — — — 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 60% 100%4/4 0 U
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Jean-Gabriel Pageau PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Kyle Palmieri PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 20% 75%3/4 1 O
Tony DeAngelo PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 — — — 1 O
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 28% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Simon Holmstrom A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Tony DeAngelo A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kyle Palmieri A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 — — — 1 O
Tony DeAngelo SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 60% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Kyle Palmieri SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 60% 50% 50%2/4 8 O
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 58% 40% 50%2/4 7 O
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 40% 50%1/2 4 O
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 30% 50%2/4 4 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 63% 60% 33%1/3 24 U
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+145
 34% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+275
 22% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+160
 38% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+525
 19% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+260
 31% 20% — 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+400
 24% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+575
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+525
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+475
 15% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+600
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Caleb Jones G 0.5
o+1400
 0% — — 0 U
Ville Koivunen G 0.5
o+250
 0% — — 0 U
Harrison Brunicke G 0.5
o+1000
 0% — — 1 O
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+325
 0% — — 0 U
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 60% 75%3/4 3 O
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 40% — 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 29% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Ville Koivunen PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 75% — — 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 37% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 38% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 44% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 23% 20% — 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 27% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ville Koivunen A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 75% — — 0 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 64% 70% 33%1/3 4 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 70% 0%0/4 2 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 60% 50%2/4 4 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 55% 50% 100%4/4 1 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 44% 20% 50%2/4 2 U
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 23% 20% — 1 U
Ville Koivunen SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% — — 1 U
Tristan Jarry SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 60% 100%2/2 34 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 18, 2025 at PIT PIT 2–4 2–00–00–4 6 5.5 O NYI
Dec 29, 2024 at PIT PIT 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 6 U PIT
Dec 28, 2024 at NYI PIT 3–6 1–12–30–2 9 6 O NYI
Nov 5, 2024 at NYI PIT 3–4 SO 0–02–11–2 7 6 O NYI
Apr 17, 2024 at NYI PIT 4–5 1–12–21–2 9 — NYI
Feb 20, 2024 at PIT PIT 4–5 OT 1–01–32–1 9 — NYI
Dec 31, 2023 at PIT PIT 3–1 1–01–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 27, 2023 at NYI PIT 7–0 0–06–01–0 7 — PIT
Mar 9, 2023 at PIT PIT 3–4 OT 2–11–00–2 7 — NYI
Feb 20, 2023 at PIT PIT 2–4 1–01–10–3 6 — NYI