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VGK @ TBL

Sunday, October 26, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Vegas Golden Knights
39-26-17 · Away
1 – 2
FINAL / OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
VGK +120 · TBL -140
Puck Line
VGK +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 VGKo6.5 50%
4-4
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
63%
5-3
TBLo6.5 50%
4-4
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
50%
4-4
Puck Line
cover %
 VGK+1.5 88%
7-1
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
-2.37u
3-5
TBL-1.5 0%
0-8
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
-5.23u
2-6
Moneyline
win %
 VGK dog +120 63%
5-3
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
+0.91u
1-0
TBL fav -140 25%
2-6
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
-2.88u
2-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 VGK 75%
6-2
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
75%
6-2
 2.13 1.00 / 1.13
TBL 50%
4-4
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
50%
4-4
 2.00 1.13 / 0.88
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 VGK 50%
4-4
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
38%
3-5
 1.88 1.25 / 0.63
TBL 63%
5-3
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
100%
4-0
0%
0-2
38%
3-5
 2.13 1.00 / 1.13
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 VGK 38%
3-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
4-4
 2.25 1.38 / 0.88
TBL 38%
3-5
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
75%
3-1
0%
0-2
50%
4-4
 1.75 0.63 / 1.13
Team Comparison '25-26
VGKTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)39-26-1750-26-6
Points %57.9%64.6%
Goals for / game3.233.54
Goals against / game3.052.82
Shots for / game29.028.1
Shots against / game24.426.7
Power play %24.6%20.7%
Penalty kill %81.4%82.6%
Faceoff %50.8%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.76 / 0.980.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.121.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.32 / 0.741.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.286.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · OTL
18 saves on 19 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
VGK1000190/3
TBL1001280/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+155
 63% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+155
 63% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+200
 38% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+275
 38% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
William Karlsson G 0.5
o+375
 25% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+225
 13% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+500
 26% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+500
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+500
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1400
 13% 10% — 0 U
Alexander Holtz G 0.5
o+525
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ben Hutton G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jeremy Lauzon G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 63% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 63% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 63% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 63% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 63% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
William Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 38% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 25% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 63% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 50% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 25% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
William Karlsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 13% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 75% 80% 100%1/1 1 U
Jack Eichel SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 88% 80% 50%1/2 3 O
William Karlsson SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 75% 70% 100%1/1 2 O
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 70% 100%2/2 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 25% 40% 100%2/2 4 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 38% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 38% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+145
 17% 30% 100%2/2 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 25% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 38% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 13% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+900
 20% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 17% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+195
 0% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 75% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 25% 20% 100%2/2 2 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 63% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 38% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 25% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 25% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 25% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 50% 60% 100%2/2 2 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 60% 100%2/2 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 63% 60% 50%1/2 5 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 40% 50%1/2 5 O
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 50% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 80% 60% 50%1/2 18 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 23, 2025 at VGK TBL 2–4 0–31–01–1 6 6.5 U VGK
Oct 17, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–3 2–20–12–0 7 6.5 O TBL
Mar 19, 2024 at VGK TBL 5–3 2–10–13–1 8 — TBL
Dec 21, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–4 0–24–01–2 9 — TBL
Mar 9, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–4 OT 1–10–02–2 7 — VGK
Feb 18, 2023 at VGK TBL 4–5 2–41–01–1 9 — VGK
Jan 29, 2022 at TBL TBL 2–3 SO 0–10–12–0 5 — VGK
Dec 21, 2021 at VGK TBL 4–3 1–12–21–0 7 — TBL
Feb 20, 2020 at VGK TBL 3–5 1–11–21–2 8 — VGK
Feb 4, 2020 at TBL TBL 4–2 2–10–02–1 6 — TBL