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PIT @ TOR

Monday, November 3, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +155 · TOR -185
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-145) · TOR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 54%
7-6
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
38%
3-5
67%
2-1
54%
7-6
TORo6.5 83%
10-2
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
75%
6-2
67%
2-1
83%
10-2
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 85%
11-2
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
88%
7-1
67%
2-1
+3.25u
10-3
TOR-1.5 25%
3-9
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
25%
2-6
33%
1-2
-4.30u
3-9
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +155 62%
8-5
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
63%
5-3
33%
1-2
+5.46u
7-4
TOR fav -185 50%
6-6
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
5-3
67%
2-1
-1.10u
6-5
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-158/u+124 PIT 23%
3-10
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
13%
1-7
67%
2-1
62%
8-5
 1.92 0.85 / 1.08
TOR 8%
1-11
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
0%
0-8
67%
2-1
67%
8-4
 1.83 1.00 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+142/u-182 PIT 39%
5-8
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
25%
2-6
33%
1-2
39%
5-8
 2.00 1.15 / 0.85
TOR 50%
6-6
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
4-4
33%
1-2
67%
8-4
 2.50 0.92 / 1.58
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 PIT 31%
4-9
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
25%
2-6
67%
2-1
39%
5-8
 2.23 1.54 / 0.69
TOR 58%
7-5
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
4-4
67%
2-1
58%
7-5
 2.67 1.50 / 1.17
Team Comparison '25-26
PITTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)41-25-1632-36-14
Points %59.8%47.6%
Goals for / game3.573.09
Goals against / game3.273.65
Shots for / game28.626.3
Shots against / game27.432.4
Power play %24.1%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.4%81.2%
Faceoff %48.2%54.3%
1st period GF / GA1.13 / 0.830.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.090.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.161.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.846.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · L
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT2100371/3
TOR0040200/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+160
 62% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+250
 46% 60% — 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+230
 23% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+180
 27% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+575
 23% 30% — 0 U
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+375
 27% 30% — 2 O
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1400
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+475
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Filip Hallander G 0.5
o+475
 8% 10% — 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+600
 15% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+450
 0% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ville Koivunen G 0.5
o+500
 0% 0% — 0 U
Owen Pickering G 0.5
o+1750
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Harrison Brunicke G 0.5
o+1200
 13% — — 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 85% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 69% 80% 100%3/3 1 O
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 64% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 69% 70% — 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 77% 80% 33%1/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 46% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 39% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 23% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 39% 30% — 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 54% 60% 33%1/3 8 O
Ben Kindel SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 60% — 7 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 39% 50% 100%3/3 2 U
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 50% — 3 O
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 39% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 23% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Tristan Jarry SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 70% 0%0/1 16 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+160
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+575
 44% 40% — 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+105
 42% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
 33% 30% 100%3/3 2 O
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+275
 27% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+150
 25% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+550
 17% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 18% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sammy Blais G 0.5
o+650
 50% — — 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+325
 11% — — 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 75% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 89% 80% 100%3/3 3 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 75% 80% 67%2/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 25% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-240
 8% 10% 67%2/3 2 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% — — 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 78% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 67% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 58% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 33% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 25% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 8% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 33% — — 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-170 / u+125
 67% 70% 100%3/3 4 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 50% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 55% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 46% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 33% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 11% 10% 67%2/3 5 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% — — 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 89% 90% 0%0/1 34 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 2, 2025 at PIT TOR 6–5 OT 2–33–10–1 11 6.5 O TOR
Dec 7, 2024 at PIT TOR 2–5 1–21–00–3 7 6 O PIT
Oct 12, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–2 0–12–02–1 6 6.5 U TOR
Apr 8, 2024 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 0–11–01–1 5 — TOR
Dec 16, 2023 at TOR TOR 7–0 3–03–01–0 7 — TOR
Nov 25, 2023 at PIT TOR 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — PIT
Nov 26, 2022 at PIT TOR 4–1 1–02–01–1 5 — TOR
Nov 15, 2022 at PIT TOR 5–2 2–02–21–0 7 — TOR
Nov 11, 2022 at TOR TOR 2–4 1–11–10–2 6 — PIT
Feb 17, 2022 at TOR TOR 4–1 1–02–01–1 5 — TOR