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BUF @ PIT

Wednesday, November 26, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
2 – 4
FINAL
Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +100 · PIT -120
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · PIT -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · PIT -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 55%
12-10
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
75%
6-2
100%
3-0
55%
12-10
PITo6.5 43%
9-12
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
50%
5-5
100%
3-0
43%
9-12
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 59%
13-9
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
38%
3-5
67%
2-1
-4.77u
10-12
PIT-1.5 43%
9-12
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
40%
4-6
33%
1-2
+4.17u
15-6
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +100 41%
9-13
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
13%
1-7
33%
1-2
-1.30u
6-9
PIT fav -120 48%
10-11
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
50%
5-5
67%
2-1
-2.56u
2-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 BUF 55%
12-10
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
5-3
67%
2-1
55%
12-10
 1.91 0.86 / 1.05
PIT 62%
13-8
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
80%
8-2
67%
2-1
62%
13-8
 1.81 0.90 / 0.90
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 BUF 73%
16-6
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
75%
6-2
100%
3-0
50%
11-11
 2.14 1.23 / 0.91
PIT 48%
10-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
60%
6-4
100%
3-0
38%
8-13
 1.81 1.00 / 0.81
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 BUF 32%
7-15
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
3-5
67%
2-1
38%
8-13
 2.32 1.05 / 1.27
PIT 24%
5-16
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
20%
2-8
67%
2-1
33%
7-14
 1.95 1.14 / 0.81
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-941-25-16
Points %66.5%59.8%
Goals for / game3.513.57
Goals against / game2.943.27
Shots for / game28.128.6
Shots against / game29.127.4
Power play %19.5%24.1%
Penalty kill %81.9%81.4%
Faceoff %45.9%48.2%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.941.13 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.18 / 1.09
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.17 / 1.16
Avg game total6.456.84
Starting Goalies from the box score
15 saves on 18 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0020310/0
PIT1030190/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 50% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 29% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+250
 18% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+250
 23% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 14% 20% — 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2250
 8% 10% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+450
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+650
 13% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 64% 70% 100%3/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 57% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 59% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 58% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 46% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 32% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 41% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 27% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 32% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 27% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 23% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+125
 64% 80% 33%1/3 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 73% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 100%3/3 5 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 68% 50% 100%1/1 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 59% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 43% 30% 50%1/2 4 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 40% 50% 50%1/2 15 U
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+155
 52% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+220
 29% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+260
 38% 30% — 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+180
 21% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+525
 14% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+425
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+350
 0% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+1500
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+525
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+325
 10% 10% 100%2/2 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1200
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1300
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+475
 19% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mathew Dumba G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Joona Koppanen G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ville Koivunen G 0.5
o+425
 0% 0% — 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 81% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 67% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 43% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 53% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 57% 40% — 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tommy Novak PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 62% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 24% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 38% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Tommy Novak A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 10% — 0 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 70% 100%2/2 2 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 60% — 1 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 38% 40% 33%1/3 4 O
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Tristan Jarry SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 71% 80% 0%0/2 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 27, 2025 at BUF PIT 3–7 1–20–52–0 10 6.5 O BUF
Jan 17, 2025 at BUF PIT 5–2 0–13–02–1 7 6 O PIT
Oct 16, 2024 at PIT PIT 6–5 OT 1–32–02–2 11 6.5 O PIT
Jan 6, 2024 at PIT PIT 1–3 0–10–01–2 4 — BUF
Nov 24, 2023 at BUF PIT 2–3 1–01–00–3 5 — BUF
Nov 11, 2023 at PIT PIT 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — PIT
Dec 10, 2022 at PIT PIT 3–1 2–00–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 9, 2022 at BUF PIT 4–3 OT 0–01–22–1 7 — PIT
Nov 2, 2022 at BUF PIT 3–6 1–01–11–5 9 — BUF
Mar 23, 2022 at BUF PIT 3–4 SO 0–12–11–1 7 — BUF