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TBL @ DET

Friday, November 28, 2025 · 11:00 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
6 – 3
FINAL
Detroit Red Wings
41-31-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -120 · DET +100
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+180) · DET +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · DET +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 39%
9-14
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
40%
4-6
40%
2-3
48%
11-12
DETo6.5 46%
11-13
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
6-8
40%
2-3
54%
13-11
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 35%
8-15
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
50%
5-5
40%
2-3
-3.74u
11-12
DET+1.5 67%
16-8
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
64%
9-5
60%
3-2
-1.27u
13-11
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -120 61%
14-9
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
60%
6-4
40%
2-3
0.00u
10-6
DET dog +100 54%
13-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
57%
8-6
60%
3-2
+4.66u
8-5
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-134/u+104 TBL 96%
22-1
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
100%
10-0
80%
4-1
57%
13-10
 2.17 1.35 / 0.83
DET 67%
16-8
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
79%
11-3
80%
4-1
46%
11-13
 1.38 0.42 / 0.96
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 TBL 83%
19-4
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
90%
9-1
80%
4-1
26%
6-17
 1.43 0.70 / 0.74
DET 92%
22-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
93%
13-1
80%
4-1
67%
16-8
 2.42 1.38 / 1.04
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+150/u-196 TBL 91%
21-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
9-1
80%
4-1
52%
12-11
 2.04 1.04 / 1.00
DET 92%
22-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
93%
13-1
80%
4-1
63%
15-9
 2.33 1.04 / 1.29
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLDET
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-641-31-10
Points %64.6%56.1%
Goals for / game3.542.94
Goals against / game2.823.15
Shots for / game28.128.2
Shots against / game26.727.7
Power play %20.7%22.6%
Penalty kill %82.6%77.1%
Faceoff %47.3%51.2%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.60 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.12 / 1.04
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.09 / 1.22
Avg game total6.356.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · W
21 saves on 26 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1320271/1
DET1200370/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 43% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 39% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 41% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+220
 37% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+575
 25% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 9% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+240
 28% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+575
 12% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 10% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+600
 4% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Dominic James G 0.5
o+525
 7% 10% — 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 13% 0% 0%0/2 2 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+750
 6% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Steven Santini G 0.5
o+1500
 0% — — 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1500
 20% — — 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 70% 80% 20%1/5 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 55% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 41% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 30% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 52% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 46% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 35% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 22% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 22% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 73% 70% 80%4/5 5 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 59% 60% 60%3/5 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 50% 20%1/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 38% 40% 25%1/4 4 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 50% 80%4/5 34 O
DETPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex DeBrincat G 0.5
o+130
 42% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Dylan Larkin G 0.5
o+130
 46% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Lucas Raymond G 0.5
o+165
 27% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
James van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ben Chiarot G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Moritz Seider G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Patrick Kane G 0.5
o+225
 20% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
J.T. Compher G 0.5
o+575
 13% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Axel Sandin-Pellikka G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Emmitt Finnie G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Andrew Copp G 0.5
o+575
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mason Appleton G 0.5
o+650
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Albert Johansson G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Simon Edvinsson G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Marco Kasper G 0.5
o+425
 8% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Nate Danielson G 0.5
o+525
 11% — — 0 U
Lucas Raymond PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 73% 80% 50%2/4 1 O
Dylan Larkin PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 75% 70% 20%1/5 1 O
Alex DeBrincat PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Patrick Kane PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 60% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Moritz Seider PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Emmitt Finnie PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Lucas Raymond A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Moritz Seider A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 46% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Patrick Kane A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 47% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Dylan Larkin A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex DeBrincat A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Emmitt Finnie A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Dylan Larkin SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 75% 90% 80%4/5 3 O
Patrick Kane SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 60% 50%2/4 4 O
Alex DeBrincat SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-150
 58% 60% 40%2/5 3 U
Moritz Seider SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 46% 60% 80%4/5 3 O
Lucas Raymond SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
Emmitt Finnie SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 40% 100%1/1 1 U
John Gibson SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 40% 100%2/2 21 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 17, 2025 at DET DET 2–1 OT 1–00–00–1 3 5.5 U DET
Apr 11, 2025 at TBL DET 4–3 OT 0–12–11–1 7 5.5 O DET
Feb 8, 2025 at DET DET 3–6 2–41–00–2 9 6 O TBL
Jan 25, 2025 at DET DET 2–0 0–01–01–0 2 6 U DET
Jan 18, 2025 at TBL DET 1–5 0–11–40–0 6 6 P TBL
Apr 1, 2024 at TBL DET 4–2 0–01–13–1 6 — DET
Jan 21, 2024 at DET DET 2–1 1–11–00–0 3 — DET
Oct 14, 2023 at DET DET 6–4 2–22–12–1 10 — DET
Apr 13, 2023 at TBL DET 0–5 0–10–00–4 5 — TBL
Feb 25, 2023 at DET DET 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TBL