← Stats / BUF @ MIN

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

50-23-9 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / SO
46-24-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +125 · MIN -145
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-210) · MIN -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · MIN -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
BUFo6.5 50%
12-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
6-3
0%
0-2
50%
12-12
MINo6.5 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
50%
7-7
0%
0-2
48%
12-13
Puck Line
cover %
BUF+1.5 54%
13-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
3-6
50%
1-1
-6.77u
10-14
MIN-1.5 32%
8-17
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
21%
3-11
50%
1-1
+0.10u
15-10
Moneyline
win %
BUF dog +125 38%
9-15
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
11%
1-8
0%
0-2
-2.30u
6-10
MIN fav -145 56%
14-11
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
57%
8-6
100%
2-0
-1.74u
5-5
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 BUF 50%
12-12
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
5-4
0%
0-2
50%
12-12
1.83 0.79 / 1.04
MIN 48%
12-13
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
6-8
0%
0-2
48%
12-13
1.60 0.88 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-190/u+146 BUF 67%
16-8
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
67%
6-3
50%
1-1
46%
11-13
2.00 1.13 / 0.88
MIN 52%
13-12
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
43%
6-8
50%
1-1
40%
10-15
1.64 1.00 / 0.64
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 BUF 38%
9-15
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
44%
4-5
0%
0-2
44%
10-13
2.46 1.04 / 1.42
MIN 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
50%
7-7
0%
0-2
50%
12-12
2.12 0.88 / 1.24
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFMIN
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-946-24-12
Points %66.5%63.4%
Goals for / game3.513.32
Goals against / game2.942.93
Shots for / game28.129.2
Shots against / game29.129.4
Power play %19.5%25.2%
Penalty kill %81.9%79.8%
Faceoff %45.9%46.7%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.91 / 0.80
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.10 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.12 / 1.10
Avg game total6.456.24
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · W
31 saves on 33 shots · 2 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1010330/3
MIN2000240/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
46% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+260
31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+240
33% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
18% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
17% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
21% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
9% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+220
21% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2250
7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+500
13% 10% — 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1400
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+450
5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+650
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
58% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
56% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
54% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
42% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
42% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
55% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
52% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
33% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
42% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
30% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
38% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
55% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
33% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
29% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
52% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
38% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
25% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
25% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
22% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
75% 70% 50%1/2 4 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
63% 70% 100%1/1 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+145
50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
57% 50% 100%2/2 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
54% 50% 50%1/2 5 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
54% 40% 50%1/2 4 O
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+100
56% 70% 100%1/1 1 O
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+135
48% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+500
24% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Johansson G 0.5
o+350
28% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+195
16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+325
15% 20% — 0 U
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+260
10% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+350
11% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+300
14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+650
4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+700
11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1500
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+900
4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyler Pitlick G 0.5
o+850
0% 0% — 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+900
8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+1100
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Liam Ohgren G 0.5
o+550
0% 0% — 0 U
Zeev Buium G 0.5
o+850
12% 0% — 0 U
Marcus Johansson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
72% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
70% 70% 100%1/1 1 O
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
68% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
48% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
36% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Danila Yurov PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
25% 40% — 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
39% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
29% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
32% 30% 0%0/1 1 U
Zeev Buium PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
40% 30% — 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
70% 70% 100%1/1 1 O
Marcus Johansson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
48% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
44% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
36% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
33% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-110 / u-125
40% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zeev Buium A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
32% 30% — 0 U
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
20% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Danila Yurov A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
10% 20% — 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
64% 70% 100%1/1 2 U
Danila Yurov SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
40% 70% — 1 U
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
64% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Mats Zuccarello SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
50% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
36% 40% 50%1/2 4 O
Marcus Johansson SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
44% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
32% 30% 0%0/1 6 O
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
48% 20% 50%1/2 1 U
Filip Gustavsson SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
56% 50% 50%1/2 31 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 22, 2025 at MIN MIN 4–1 0–03–01–1 5 5.5 U MIN
Nov 27, 2024 at BUF MIN 1–0 1–00–00–0 1 5.5 U MIN
Feb 17, 2024 at MIN MIN 2–3 OT 0–00–02–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2023 at BUF MIN 2–3 1–10–11–1 5 — BUF
Jan 28, 2023 at MIN MIN 3–2 SO 1–11–10–0 5 — MIN
Jan 7, 2023 at BUF MIN 5–6 OT 0–13–32–1 11 — BUF
Mar 4, 2022 at BUF MIN 4–5 1–10–13–3 9 — BUF
Dec 16, 2021 at MIN MIN 2–3 SO 1–01–10–1 5 — BUF
Nov 19, 2019 at BUF MIN 4–1 2–01–01–1 5 — MIN
Feb 5, 2019 at BUF MIN 4–5 SO 0–13–21–1 9 — BUF