BUF @ MIN
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 7:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +125 · MIN -145
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-210) · MIN -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · MIN -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | BUF | o6.5 | 50% 12-12 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 67% 6-3 | 0% 0-2 | 50% 12-12 |
| MIN | o6.5 | 44% 11-14 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 50% 7-7 | 0% 0-2 | 48% 12-13 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 54% 13-11 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 33% 3-6 | 50% 1-1 | -6.77u 10-14 |
| MIN | -1.5 | 32% 8-17 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 21% 3-11 | 50% 1-1 | +0.10u 15-10 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | +125 | 38% 9-15 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 11% 1-8 | 0% 0-2 | -2.30u 6-10 |
| MIN fav | -145 | 56% 14-11 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 57% 8-6 | 100% 2-0 | -1.74u 5-5 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 | BUF | 50% 12-12 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 56% 5-4 | 0% 0-2 | 50% 12-12 | 1.83 | 0.79 / 1.04 |
| MIN | 48% 12-13 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 43% 6-8 | 0% 0-2 | 48% 12-13 | 1.60 | 0.88 / 0.72 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-190/u+146 | BUF | 67% 16-8 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 67% 6-3 | 50% 1-1 | 46% 11-13 | 2.00 | 1.13 / 0.88 |
| MIN | 52% 13-12 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 43% 6-8 | 50% 1-1 | 40% 10-15 | 1.64 | 1.00 / 0.64 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 | BUF | 38% 9-15 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 44% 4-5 | 0% 0-2 | 44% 10-13 | 2.46 | 1.04 / 1.42 |
| MIN | 44% 11-14 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 50% 7-7 | 0% 0-2 | 50% 12-12 | 2.12 | 0.88 / 1.24 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 50-23-9 | 46-24-12 |
| Points % | 66.5% | 63.4% |
| Goals for / game | 3.51 | 3.32 |
| Goals against / game | 2.94 | 2.93 |
| Shots for / game | 28.1 | 29.2 |
| Shots against / game | 29.1 | 29.4 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 25.2% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.9% | 79.8% |
| Faceoff % | 45.9% | 46.7% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.02 / 0.94 | 0.91 / 0.80 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.16 / 0.88 | 1.10 / 0.88 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.01 | 1.12 / 1.10 |
| Avg game total | 6.45 | 6.24 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Colten Ellis
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · W
MIN · Filip Gustavsson
31 saves on 33 shots · 2 GA · OTL
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 0/3 |
| MIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+130 |
46% | 70% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+260 |
31% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+240 |
33% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
18% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+700 |
17% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+750 |
9% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+400 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+220 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Jacob Bryson | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+850 |
9% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+500 |
13% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+450 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+650 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+325 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+130 |
58% | 70% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-130 |
56% | 60% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
54% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
42% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
42% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
55% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
52% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
42% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
30% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
38% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
55% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
29% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
52% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
38% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
29% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
25% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
25% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
22% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
75% | 70% | 50%1/2 | 4 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
63% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 2 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+145 |
50% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
57% | 50% | 100%2/2 | 4 O |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-190 |
54% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 5 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-105 / u-130 |
54% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 4 O |
| MIN | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | G | 0.5 o+100 |
56% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Matt Boldy | G | 0.5 o+135 |
48% | 60% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Brock Faber | G | 0.5 o+500 |
24% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Marcus Johansson | G | 0.5 o+350 |
28% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | G | 0.5 o+195 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Danila Yurov | G | 0.5 o+325 |
15% | 20% | — | 0 U |
| Mats Zuccarello | G | 0.5 o+260 |
10% | 10% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | G | 0.5 o+350 |
11% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Ryan Hartman | G | 0.5 o+300 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Yakov Trenin | G | 0.5 o+650 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Nico Sturm | G | 0.5 o+700 |
11% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Zach Bogosian | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jared Spurgeon | G | 0.5 o+900 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Tyler Pitlick | G | 0.5 o+850 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Jonas Brodin | G | 0.5 o+900 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jake Middleton | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Liam Ohgren | G | 0.5 o+550 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Zeev Buium | G | 0.5 o+850 |
12% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Marcus Johansson | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
72% | 70% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Mats Zuccarello | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+120 |
70% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Matt Boldy | PTS | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
68% | 70% | 100%2/2 | 1 O |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
48% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Brock Faber | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Danila Yurov | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
25% | 40% | — | 1 O |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
39% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Ryan Hartman | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
29% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Kirill Kaprizov | PTS | 1.5 o+150 / u-200 |
32% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 1 U |
| Zeev Buium | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
40% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Mats Zuccarello | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
70% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Marcus Johansson | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
48% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Matt Boldy | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
44% | 50% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
36% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
33% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Kirill Kaprizov | A | 0.5 o-110 / u-125 |
40% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Zeev Buium | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
32% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Ryan Hartman | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Brock Faber | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Danila Yurov | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
10% | 20% | — | 1 O |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | SOG | 2.5 o-170 / u+130 |
64% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 2 U |
| Danila Yurov | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+115 |
40% | 70% | — | 1 U |
| Brock Faber | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
64% | 60% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Mats Zuccarello | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
50% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Matt Boldy | SOG | 3.5 o+130 / u-175 |
36% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 4 O |
| Marcus Johansson | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
44% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 1 U |
| Kirill Kaprizov | SOG | 3.5 o+115 / u-150 |
32% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 6 O |
| Ryan Hartman | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
48% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 1 U |
| Filip Gustavsson | SV | 24.5 o-110 / u-120 |
56% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 31 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | at MIN | MIN 4–1 | 0–0 | 3–0 | 1–1 | 5 | 5.5 U | MIN |
| Nov 27, 2024 | at BUF | MIN 1–0 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 5.5 U | MIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | at MIN | MIN 2–3 OT | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2–2 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Nov 10, 2023 | at BUF | MIN 2–3 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | at MIN | MIN 3–2 SO | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | MIN |
| Jan 7, 2023 | at BUF | MIN 5–6 OT | 0–1 | 3–3 | 2–1 | 11 | — | BUF |
| Mar 4, 2022 | at BUF | MIN 4–5 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 3–3 | 9 | — | BUF |
| Dec 16, 2021 | at MIN | MIN 2–3 SO | 1–0 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Nov 19, 2019 | at BUF | MIN 4–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 1–1 | 5 | — | MIN |
| Feb 5, 2019 | at BUF | MIN 4–5 SO | 0–1 | 3–2 | 1–1 | 9 | — | BUF |