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TBL @ NYI

Tuesday, December 2, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
1 – 2
FINAL
New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -125 · NYI +105
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+180) · NYI +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · NYI +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 52%
13-12
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
6-6
33%
1-2
48%
12-13
NYIo5.5 54%
14-12
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
62%
8-5
33%
1-2
50%
13-13
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 40%
10-15
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
58%
7-5
67%
2-1
-1.51u
13-12
NYI+1.5 69%
18-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
62%
8-5
33%
1-2
-7.78u
11-15
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -125 64%
16-9
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
67%
8-4
67%
2-1
+0.83u
11-6
NYI dog +105 50%
13-13
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
39%
5-8
33%
1-2
+7.00u
9-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 TBL 56%
14-11
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
58%
7-5
67%
2-1
56%
14-11
 2.12 1.32 / 0.80
NYI 58%
15-11
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
8-5
67%
2-1
58%
15-11
 1.65 0.81 / 0.85
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 TBL 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
42%
5-7
67%
2-1
32%
8-17
 1.60 0.80 / 0.80
NYI 58%
15-11
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
54%
7-6
67%
2-1
54%
14-12
 2.12 1.04 / 1.08
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 TBL 60%
15-10
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
8-4
67%
2-1
48%
12-13
 2.04 1.12 / 0.92
NYI 58%
15-11
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
5-8
67%
2-1
39%
10-16
 1.85 0.92 / 0.92
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLNYI
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-643-34-5
Points %64.6%55.5%
Goals for / game3.542.84
Goals against / game2.822.94
Shots for / game28.128.2
Shots against / game26.727.7
Power play %20.7%16.5%
Penalty kill %82.6%80.8%
Faceoff %47.3%52.7%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.78 / 0.82
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.04 / 1.06
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.980.85 / 1.00
Avg game total6.355.78
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · L
30 saves on 31 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0010310/3
NYI0110240/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+120
 44% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+155
 46% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+145
 39% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 22% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 33% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+250
 33% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1600
 14% 20% — 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 8% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 11% 10% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+600
 6% 10% — 1 O
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% — 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+600
 6% 0% — 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Santini G 0.5
o+1600
 0% — — 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 72% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 58% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 48% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 67% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 32% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 24% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 33% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 75% 80% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-220 / u+160
 63% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 57% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 60% 75%3/4 2 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 100%3/3 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 40% 33%1/3 6 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-105 / u-130
 50% 60% 100%2/2 22 U
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+300
 35% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+145
 42% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+180
 28% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+425
 27% 30% — 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+230
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% — 0 U
Jonathan Drouin G 0.5
o+325
 12% 10% — 0 U
Maxim Shabanov G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% — 0 U
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+550
 12% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+750
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Travis Mitchell G 0.5
o+1750
 0% — — 0 U
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 58% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 65% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 58% 50% — 0 U
Maxim Shabanov PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 40% — 1 O
Jonathan Drouin PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 30% — 0 U
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 35% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 40% — 0 U
Maxim Shabanov A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 40% — 1 O
Jonathan Drouin A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 20% — 0 U
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 31% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 23% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 23% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jonathan Drouin SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 60% — 0 U
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 58% 60% 100%3/3 3 O
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 36% 40% 0%0/1 3 O
Maxim Shabanov SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 43% 40% — 2 O
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 54% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 30% — 1 U
Ilya Sorokin SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 65% 60% 33%1/3 30 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 1, 2025 at NYI NYI 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 6.5 U TBL
Mar 29, 2025 at TBL NYI 3–5 0–30–13–1 8 5.5 O TBL
Feb 1, 2025 at TBL NYI 3–2 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U NYI
Mar 30, 2024 at TBL NYI 1–4 1–20–00–2 5 — TBL
Feb 24, 2024 at NYI NYI 2–4 0–20–12–1 6 — TBL
Feb 8, 2024 at NYI NYI 6–2 3–13–10–0 8 — NYI
Apr 6, 2023 at NYI NYI 6–1 0–04–12–0 7 — NYI
Apr 1, 2023 at TBL NYI 0–5 0–10–30–1 5 — TBL
Oct 22, 2022 at TBL NYI 3–5 1–21–21–1 8 — TBL
Apr 29, 2022 at NYI NYI 4–6 1–12–01–5 10 — TBL