← Stats / BUF @ PHI

BUF @ PHI

Wednesday, December 3, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Philadelphia Flyers
43-27-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -130 · PHI +110
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+175) · PHI +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · PHI +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 46%
12-14
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
60%
6-4
100%
3-0
46%
12-14
PHIo6.5 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
6-8
100%
3-0
56%
14-11
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF-1.5 31%
8-18
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
0%
0-10
0%
0-3
-4.49u
12-14
PHI+1.5 80%
20-5
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
79%
11-3
100%
3-0
-0.14u
15-10
Moneyline
win %
 BUF fav -130 42%
11-15
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
20%
2-8
33%
1-2
-2.01u
4-5
PHI dog +110 56%
14-11
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
57%
8-6
67%
2-1
+0.90u
8-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 BUF 54%
14-12
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
6-4
100%
3-0
54%
14-12
 1.92 0.88 / 1.04
PHI 44%
11-14
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
43%
6-8
100%
3-0
44%
11-14
 1.52 0.72 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 BUF 65%
17-9
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
60%
6-4
100%
3-0
46%
12-14
 1.92 1.08 / 0.85
PHI 68%
17-8
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
57%
8-6
100%
3-0
68%
17-8
 2.28 1.04 / 1.24
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 BUF 35%
9-17
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
4-6
100%
3-0
40%
10-15
 2.35 1.04 / 1.31
PHI 24%
6-19
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
29%
4-10
100%
3-0
50%
12-12
 1.64 0.92 / 0.72
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFPHI
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-943-27-12
Points %66.5%59.8%
Goals for / game3.513.05
Goals against / game2.942.96
Shots for / game28.125.5
Shots against / game29.125.5
Power play %19.5%15.7%
Penalty kill %81.9%77.6%
Faceoff %45.9%49.4%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.79 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.06 / 1.18
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.00 / 0.80
Avg game total6.456.01
Starting Goalies from the box score
30 saves on 35 shots · 5 GA · L
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1100291/6
PHI3200352/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 42% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 32% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 19% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 33% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+225
 35% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+650
 12% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 17% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 19% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 23% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 15% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2250
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+450
 4% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% — 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+375
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 52% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 42% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 35% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 54% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 23% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 54% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 39% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 27% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 27% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 77% 90% 67%2/3 2 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 65% 80% 67%2/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 70% 50%1/2 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 57% 60% 50%1/2 1 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 65% 50% 100%1/1 6 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 50% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 40% 100%1/1 2 O
Colten Ellis SV 23.5
o-125 / u-110
 83% — — 30 O
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Trevor Zegras G 0.5
o+195
 24% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+200
 28% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+325
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+210
 24% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Rodrigo Abols G 0.5
o+650
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+260
 20% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+350
 20% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Emil Andrae G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Grebenkin G 0.5
o+650
 6% 10% — 0 U
Nicolas Deslauriers G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Garnet Hathaway G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Travis Konecny G 0.5
o+195
 20% 0% 33%1/3 1 O
Egor Zamula G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Cam York G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Tippett PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Trevor Zegras PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 68% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Christian Dvorak PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Travis Konecny PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 64% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Sean Couturier PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Travis Sanheim PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 32% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Cam York PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 44% 10% 67%2/3 2 O
Bobby Brink PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 28% 10% 67%2/3 2 O
Owen Tippett A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 28% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Travis Konecny A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 48% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Christian Dvorak A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Trevor Zegras A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 60% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Travis Sanheim A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 24% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Cam York A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Sean Couturier A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 28% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 20% 10% 67%2/3 2 O
Bobby Brink A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 16% 0% 67%2/3 1 O
Trevor Zegras SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 50% 0%0/1 4 O
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 38% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Owen Tippett SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 40% 40% 33%1/3 5 O
Noah Cates SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 40% 0%0/3 5 O
Matvei Michkov SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 24% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Travis Konecny SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 28% 0% 33%1/3 2 U
Samuel Ersson SV 22.5
o-120 / u-115
 50% 60% 0%0/1 27 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 17, 2025 at BUF PHI 4–5 1–31–12–1 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 29, 2025 at PHI PHI 7–4 2–12–23–1 11 6.5 O PHI
Nov 16, 2024 at PHI PHI 5–2 2–02–01–2 7 6 O PHI
Apr 5, 2024 at BUF PHI 2–4 0–11–21–1 6 — BUF
Nov 3, 2023 at BUF PHI 5–1 3–01–01–1 6 — PHI
Nov 1, 2023 at PHI PHI 2–5 2–20–00–3 7 — BUF
Apr 1, 2023 at PHI PHI 3–6 1–11–41–1 9 — BUF
Mar 17, 2023 at PHI PHI 5–2 1–03–01–2 7 — PHI
Jan 9, 2023 at BUF PHI 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 — PHI
Apr 17, 2022 at PHI PHI 3–5 1–21–21–1 8 — BUF