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FLA @ TBL

Monday, December 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +105 · TBL -125
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · TBL -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 52%
16-15
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
54%
7-6
40%
2-3
52%
16-15
TBLo5.5 50%
16-16
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
53%
8-7
40%
2-3
47%
15-17
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 58%
18-13
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
46%
6-7
40%
2-3
-12.95u
9-22
TBL-1.5 38%
12-20
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
20%
3-12
60%
3-2
-2.76u
15-17
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +105 52%
16-15
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
46%
6-7
40%
2-3
+3.07u
5-2
TBL fav -125 56%
18-14
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
53%
8-7
60%
3-2
-3.43u
12-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-124/u-102 FLA 42%
13-18
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
39%
5-8
60%
3-2
42%
13-18
 1.77 0.90 / 0.87
TBL 53%
17-15
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
47%
7-8
60%
3-2
53%
17-15
 2.03 1.25 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 FLA 65%
20-11
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
62%
8-5
60%
3-2
65%
20-11
 2.16 1.10 / 1.06
TBL 44%
14-18
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
47%
7-8
60%
3-2
34%
11-21
 1.56 0.78 / 0.78
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 FLA 74%
23-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
69%
9-4
40%
2-3
65%
20-11
 2.29 1.10 / 1.19
TBL 63%
20-12
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
60%
9-6
40%
2-3
47%
15-17
 2.06 1.13 / 0.94
Team Comparison '25-26
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-450-26-6
Points %51.2%64.6%
Goals for / game3.063.54
Goals against / game3.372.82
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game26.826.7
Power play %19.5%20.7%
Penalty kill %81.0%82.6%
Faceoff %46.6%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.900.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.111.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.436.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
19 saves on 24 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2210241/4
TBL0110280/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 27% 60% 0%0/5 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+200
 29% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+175
 50% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+165
 45% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 26% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+260
 29% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+550
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+550
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Gregor G 0.5
o+850
 6% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+375
 13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jack Studnicka G 0.5
o+800
 0% — — 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 80% 20%1/5 2 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 65% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 70% 0%0/5 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 48% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 65% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 73% 50% 100%4/4 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 45% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 39% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 23% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 39% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 32% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 39% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 36% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 26% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 45% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 23% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 39% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 26% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+300 / u-475
 29% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 61% 80% 50%2/4 1 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 80% 40%2/5 1 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 70% 20%1/5 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 60% 20%1/5 2 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 30% 25%1/4 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 30% 25%1/4 6 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 67%2/3 26 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+175
 42% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+425
 23% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 38% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 38% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+375
 23% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+170
 20% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+850
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 16% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1400
 9% 10% — 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 25% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+850
 17% — 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Santini G 0.5
o+1600
 0% — — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 52% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 69% 70% 80%4/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 48% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 31% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 43% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 59% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 40% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 80% 40%2/5 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 68% 60% 75%3/4 2 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 47% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 35% 50% 0%0/5 5 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 60%3/5 3 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Jonas Johansson SV 24.5
o-130 / u-105
 62% 50% 100%1/1 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 15, 2025 at FLA TBL 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 5.5 U TBL
Apr 30, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–6 2–21–20–2 9 5.5 O FLA
Apr 28, 2025 at FLA TBL 2–4 0–02–10–3 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA TBL 5–1 1–11–03–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL TBL 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–6 1–21–30–1 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 3–01–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 6.5 U FLA