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FLA @ TBL

Tuesday, April 22, 2025 · 7:30 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
6 – 2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1-4-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -105 · TBL -115
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · TBL -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 49%
40-42
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
49%
20-21
58%
7-5
44%
36-45-1
TBLo5.5 55%
45-37
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
59%
24-17
58%
7-5
47%
37-41-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 70%
57-25
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
67%
8-4
-10.08u
35-47
TBL-1.5 45%
37-45
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
33%
4-8
+11.37u
43-38
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog -105 57%
47-35
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
49%
20-21
67%
8-4
+0.21u
7-8
TBL fav -115 57%
47-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
71%
29-12
33%
4-8
+3.74u
41-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 FLA 54%
44-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
63%
26-15
67%
8-4
54%
44-38
 1.74 0.89 / 0.85
TBL 49%
40-42
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
67%
8-4
49%
40-42
 1.83 1.11 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 FLA 61%
50-32
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
51%
21-20
75%
9-3
59%
48-34
 2.01 1.13 / 0.88
TBL 65%
53-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
75%
9-3
57%
47-35
 2.16 1.22 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 FLA 55%
45-37
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
67%
8-4
48%
35-38
 1.87 0.93 / 0.94
TBL 67%
55-27
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
73%
30-11
67%
8-4
39%
29-46
 2.10 1.18 / 0.91
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-21-4-0
Points %73.9%20.0%
Goals for / game4.092.40
Goals against / game2.433.80
Shots for / game28.222.4
Shots against / game27.025.6
Power play %25.3%11.1%
Penalty kill %86.4%75.0%
Faceoff %47.3%50.7%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.80 / 1.20
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.701.00 / 1.20
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.910.60 / 1.40
Avg game total6.526.20
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 22 shots · 2 GA · W
11 saves on 17 shots · 6 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2310173/3
TBL1100221/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+185
 33% 70% 40%4/10 2 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+175
 41% 40% 55%6/11 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+325
 21% 30% 42%5/12 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+220
 28% 30% 18%2/11 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+325
 30% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+225
 29% 20% 22%2/9 1 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 14% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+400
 20% 20% 0%0/11 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+425
 18% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/6 2 O
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+900
 11% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 69% 80% 55%6/11 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 62% 80% 80%8/10 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 48% 60% 58%7/12 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 35% 60% 46%5/11 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 67% 50% 64%7/11 2 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 58% 40% 71%5/7 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 40% 33%3/9 2 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 46% 40% 55%6/11 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 60% 46%5/11 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 48% 60% 70%7/10 1 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 38% 40% 42%5/12 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 21% 40% 46%5/11 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 33% 30% 33%3/9 1 O
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 20% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 37% 20% 57%4/7 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 20% 9%1/11 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 30% 20% 55%6/11 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 70% 73%8/11 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 53% 70% 18%2/11 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 79% 60% 86%6/7 2 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 71% 60% 64%7/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 56% 50% 58%7/12 2 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 63% 50% 44%4/9 1 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 52% 50% 70%7/10 3 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 40% 40% 55%6/11 0 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 60% 40% 50%6/12 1 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 28% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o-125 / u-110
 52% 20% 70%7/10 20 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+175
 39% 50% 38%3/8 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 41% 40% 33%4/12 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 46% 40% 50%6/12 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 8%1/12 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+210
 35% 20% 33%4/12 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 20% 0%0/9 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+525
 15% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+375
 28% 10% 25%3/12 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 30% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+700
 18% 10% 9%1/11 DNP
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 1% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+750
 2% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 54% 60% 83%10/12 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 60% 88%7/8 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 70% 60% 58%7/12 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-170
 42% 50% 25%3/12 1 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 50% 58%7/12 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 49% 50% 42%5/12 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 46% 20% 42%5/12 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 67% 70% 67%8/12 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 50% 75%9/12 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 50% 42%5/12 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 37% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 50% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 30% 50%4/8 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 36% 30% 25%3/12 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+400 / u-650
 22% 10% 17%2/12 0 U
Yanni Gourde SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 40% 70% 50%2/4 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 69% 60% 50%6/12 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 60% 63%5/8 6 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 50% 58%7/12 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 64% 50% 42%5/12 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 41% 30% 42%5/12 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 44% 30% 50%6/12 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 30% 42%5/12 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-130 / u-105
 43% 30% 46%5/11 11 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 3–01–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA TBL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–01–32–0 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–12–21–2 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 OT 0–22–00–0 5 — FLA
Apr 21, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 1–10–01–2 5 — FLA
Mar 16, 2024 at FLA TBL 5–3 2–02–21–1 8 — TBL