← Stats / PHI @ BUF

PHI @ BUF

Thursday, December 18, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Philadelphia Flyers
43-27-12 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PHI +130 · BUF -150
Puck Line
PHI +1.5 (-210) · BUF -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 PHIo5.5 50%
16-16
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
54%
7-6
100%
4-0
50%
16-16
BUFo5.5 63%
20-12
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
9-7
100%
4-0
47%
15-17
Puck Line
cover %
 PHI+1.5 84%
27-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
11-2
100%
4-0
+4.45u
22-10
BUF-1.5 28%
9-23
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
50%
8-8
0%
0-4
-5.93u
14-18
Moneyline
win %
 PHI dog +130 53%
17-15
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
54%
7-6
75%
3-1
-0.95u
10-13
BUF fav -150 44%
14-18
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
56%
9-7
25%
1-3
-1.34u
6-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-134/u+106 PHI 56%
18-14
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
54%
7-6
100%
4-0
56%
18-14
 1.75 0.88 / 0.88
BUF 56%
18-14
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
8-8
100%
4-0
56%
18-14
 1.94 0.88 / 1.06
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 PHI 72%
23-9
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
77%
10-3
100%
4-0
72%
23-9
 2.19 1.06 / 1.13
BUF 72%
23-9
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
69%
11-5
100%
4-0
53%
17-15
 2.13 1.16 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 PHI 41%
13-19
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
31%
4-9
75%
3-1
42%
13-18
 1.44 0.84 / 0.59
BUF 66%
21-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
63%
10-6
75%
3-1
39%
12-19
 2.16 0.91 / 1.25
Team Comparison '25-26
PHIBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)43-27-1250-23-9
Points %59.8%66.5%
Goals for / game3.053.51
Goals against / game2.962.94
Shots for / game25.528.1
Shots against / game25.529.1
Power play %15.7%19.5%
Penalty kill %77.6%81.9%
Faceoff %49.4%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.79 / 0.831.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.06 / 1.181.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 0.801.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.016.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 27 shots · 4 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
24 saves on 27 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PHI1110270/3
BUF1220281/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Trevor Zegras G 0.5
o+200
 34% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Travis Konecny G 0.5
o+200
 28% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Carl Grundstrom G 0.5
o+550
 50% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+350
 25% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+325
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Ristolainen G 0.5
o+850
 6% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+275
 22% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+400
 19% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+850
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+275
 22% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Nicolas Deslauriers G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Garnet Hathaway G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Rodrigo Abols G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Cam York G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Emil Andrae G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Trevor Zegras PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 72% 90% 100%2/2 1 O
Travis Konecny PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 69% 80% 100%4/4 1 O
Christian Dvorak PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 53% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Travis Sanheim PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Sean Couturier PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 42% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Owen Tippett PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Bobby Brink PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 20% 75%3/4 1 O
Travis Konecny A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 53% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Christian Dvorak A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 44% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Travis Sanheim A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Trevor Zegras A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 56% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 25% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Owen Tippett A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Sean Couturier A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 32% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Bobby Brink A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 19% 20% 75%3/4 2 O
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 25% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Travis Konecny SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 72% 80% 75%3/4 4 O
Matvei Michkov SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 39% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Trevor Zegras SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
Owen Tippett SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 34% 20% 50%2/4 2 U
Samuel Ersson SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 55% 50% 50%1/2 23 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+185
 36% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 47% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+225
 17% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 10% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+600
 19% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+220
 22% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 16% 10% 50%2/4 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+550
 14% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+650
 6% 0% — 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 13% 0% 50%2/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 83% 80% 100%2/2 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 61% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 59% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 55% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 38% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 83% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 37% 10% 0%0/4 2 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 22% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 72% 70% 33%1/3 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 59% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 63% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 50% 0%0/4 1 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 67% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 40% 100%2/2 3 O
Alex Lyon SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 80% 70% 50%1/2 24 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 3, 2025 at PHI BUF 2–5 1–31–20–0 7 6.5 O PHI
Apr 17, 2025 at BUF BUF 5–4 3–11–11–2 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 29, 2025 at PHI BUF 4–7 1–22–21–3 11 6.5 O PHI
Nov 16, 2024 at PHI BUF 2–5 0–20–22–1 7 6 O PHI
Apr 5, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–2 1–02–11–1 6 — BUF
Nov 3, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–5 0–30–11–1 6 — PHI
Nov 1, 2023 at PHI BUF 5–2 2–20–03–0 7 — BUF
Apr 1, 2023 at PHI BUF 6–3 1–14–11–1 9 — BUF
Mar 17, 2023 at PHI BUF 2–5 0–10–32–1 7 — PHI
Jan 9, 2023 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 — PHI