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← Stats / NYI @ BUF

NYI @ BUF

Saturday, December 20, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL / SO
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI +145 · BUF -175
Puck Line
NYI +1.5 (-165) · BUF -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NYIo6.5 43%
15-20
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
38%
6-10
67%
2-1
46%
16-19
BUFo6.5 49%
16-17
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
41%
7-10
67%
2-1
49%
16-17
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI+1.5 71%
25-10
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
75%
12-4
67%
2-1
-5.28u
18-17
BUF-1.5 30%
10-23
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
53%
9-8
33%
1-2
-4.33u
15-18
Moneyline
win %
 NYI dog +145 54%
19-16
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
9-7
67%
2-1
+11.00u
14-8
BUF fav -175 46%
15-18
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
59%
10-7
33%
1-2
-0.67u
7-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 NYI 17%
6-29
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
13%
2-14
0%
0-3
57%
20-15
 1.66 0.86 / 0.80
BUF 21%
7-26
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
24%
4-13
0%
0-3
58%
19-14
 1.94 0.88 / 1.06
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 NYI 29%
10-25
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
19%
3-13
33%
1-2
49%
17-18
 1.91 0.97 / 0.94
BUF 30%
10-23
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
35%
6-11
33%
1-2
55%
18-15
 2.15 1.18 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 NYI 29%
10-25
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
31%
5-11
33%
1-2
43%
15-20
 1.97 0.94 / 1.03
BUF 36%
12-21
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
35%
6-11
33%
1-2
41%
13-19
 2.18 0.94 / 1.24
Team Comparison '25-26
NYIBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)43-34-550-23-9
Points %55.5%66.5%
Goals for / game2.843.51
Goals against / game2.942.94
Shots for / game28.228.1
Shots against / game27.729.1
Power play %16.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %80.8%81.9%
Faceoff %52.7%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.821.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.061.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA0.85 / 1.001.23 / 1.01
Avg game total5.786.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
30 saves on 32 shots · 2 GA · OTL
BUF · Alex Lyon
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI0110341/3
BUF1100321/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+250
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+750
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+170
 27% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+400
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% — 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+375
 11% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+900
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+800
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+275
 29% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Marc Gatcomb G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% — 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+350
 23% 10% — 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+475
 22% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jonathan Drouin G 0.5
o+325
 10% 0% 100%1/1 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% — 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 68% 70% 0%0/1 2 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Pulock PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 40% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% — 1 O
Anthony Duclair PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Jonathan Drouin PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 45% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 10% 50%2/4 1 O
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 29% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Pulock A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 37% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% — 1 O
Anthony Duclair A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 17% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Jonathan Drouin A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 17% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jonathan Drouin SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 45% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 49% 40% 25%1/4 10 O
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 40% — 3 O
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 32% 20% 0%0/1 4 O
David Rittich SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 50% 0%0/1 30 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 49% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+180
 34% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+200
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 10% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+200
 21% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 18% 20% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+260
 10% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+475
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1750
 0% — — 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 86% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 61% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 57% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 49% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 42% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 50% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 71% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 41% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 30% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 40% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 21% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 70% 100%2/2 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 60% 33%1/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 50% 0%0/3 5 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 71% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 52% 50% 0%0/2 2 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 52% 40% 33%1/3 4 O
Alex Lyon SV 23.5
o-125 / u-110
 75% 60% 67%2/3 32 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 23, 2024 at NYI BUF 7–1 2–03–12–0 8 5.5 O BUF
Nov 30, 2024 at NYI BUF 0–3 0–00–20–1 3 5.5 U NYI
Nov 1, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–4 1–10–22–1 7 5.5 O NYI
Mar 14, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–0 0–03–01–0 4 — BUF
Oct 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Oct 14, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–21–01–1 5 — NYI
Mar 25, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 — BUF
Mar 7, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 — NYI
Jan 19, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 OT 0–11–11–0 5 — BUF
Apr 23, 2022 at BUF BUF 5–3 1–13–01–2 8 — BUF