← Stats / BUF @ OTT

BUF @ OTT

Tuesday, December 23, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / OT
Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +135 · OTT -160
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · OTT -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · OTT -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 46%
16-19
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
53%
9-8
40%
2-3
46%
16-19
OTTo6.5 54%
19-16
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
44%
7-9
40%
2-3
60%
21-14
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 60%
21-14
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
47%
8-9
100%
5-0
-4.72u
16-19
OTT-1.5 26%
9-26
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
31%
5-11
0%
0-5
-4.54u
16-19
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +135 49%
17-18
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
35%
6-11
100%
5-0
+0.10u
9-12
OTT fav -160 51%
18-17
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
50%
8-8
0%
0-5
-0.42u
13-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 BUF 20%
7-28
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
18%
3-14
0%
0-5
54%
19-16
 1.89 0.86 / 1.03
OTT 31%
11-24
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
25%
4-12
0%
0-5
57%
20-15
 1.86 1.06 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 BUF 29%
10-25
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
24%
4-13
20%
1-4
54%
19-16
 2.14 1.20 / 0.94
OTT 40%
14-21
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
19%
3-13
20%
1-4
57%
20-15
 2.23 1.06 / 1.17
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 BUF 34%
12-23
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
35%
6-11
60%
3-2
38%
13-21
 2.11 0.91 / 1.20
OTT 37%
13-22
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
31%
5-11
60%
3-2
57%
20-15
 2.14 1.09 / 1.06
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFOTT
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-944-27-11
Points %66.5%60.4%
Goals for / game3.513.39
Goals against / game2.943.00
Shots for / game28.128.9
Shots against / game29.124.4
Power play %19.5%24.0%
Penalty kill %81.9%75.7%
Faceoff %45.9%54.2%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.95 / 0.89
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.16 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.21 / 1.00
Avg game total6.456.39
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
24 saves on 26 shots · 2 GA · W
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1101250/1
OTT1100261/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+145
 49% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+220
 33% 40% — 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 32% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 13% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 14% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 17% 20% 20%1/5 2 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% — 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+450
 14% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 3% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+225
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 12% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2000
 0% — — 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 63% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 78% 80% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 80% 100%5/5 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 59% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 50% 100%5/5 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 70% 100%5/5 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 56% 50% — 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 31% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 60% 40%2/5 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 69% 60% 60%3/5 2 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 60% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 56% 50% 60%3/5 1 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 63% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 71% 50% 33%1/3 24 U
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+200
 34% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+155
 37% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+250
 23% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+120
 27% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+325
 20% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
David Perron G 0.5
o+300
 17% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+220
 29% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+425
 20% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+600
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+400
 20% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1600
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Kurtis MacDermid G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+575
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+400
 7% 0% 20%1/5 1 O
Stephen Halliday G 0.5
o+525
 0% 0% — 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 67% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 60% 80% 40%2/5 1 O
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 66% 70% 20%1/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
David Perron PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 31% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 46% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 37% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 20% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 31% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
David Perron A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 30% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-165 / u+125
 53% 60% 67%2/3 6 O
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Claude Giroux SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 54% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 49% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 46% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 40% 40% 60%3/5 1 U
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 40% 40%2/5 4 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 30% 60%3/5 1 U
Linus Ullmark SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 39% 50% 50%1/2 22 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 15, 2025 at BUF OTT 4–8 1–11–42–3 12 6.5 O BUF
Apr 1, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–5 0–21–11–2 7 6.5 O BUF
Mar 25, 2025 at BUF OTT 2–3 1–11–10–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Jan 9, 2025 at OTT OTT 0–4 0–20–20–0 4 6 U BUF
Nov 5, 2024 at BUF OTT 1–5 0–11–10–3 6 6 P BUF
Mar 27, 2024 at BUF OTT 6–2 5–00–21–0 8 — OTT
Jan 11, 2024 at BUF OTT 3–5 1–30–12–1 8 — BUF
Dec 31, 2023 at OTT OTT 5–1 2–12–01–0 6 — OTT
Oct 24, 2023 at OTT OTT 4–6 0–21–33–1 10 — BUF
Apr 13, 2023 at BUF OTT 3–4 OT 0–03–20–1 7 — BUF