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← Stats / BOS @ BUF

BOS @ BUF

Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Boston Bruins
45-27-10 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BOS +115 · BUF -135
Puck Line
BOS +1.5 (-210) · BUF -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BOSo6.5 58%
22-16
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
59%
10-7
50%
3-3
58%
22-16
BUFo6.5 44%
16-20
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
7-11
50%
3-3
44%
16-20
Puck Line
cover %
 BOS+1.5 71%
27-11
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
71%
12-5
67%
4-2
+3.36u
25-13
BUF-1.5 31%
11-25
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
50%
9-9
33%
2-4
-4.18u
17-19
Moneyline
win %
 BOS dog +115 53%
20-18
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
47%
8-9
50%
3-3
+9.91u
18-14
BUF fav -135 50%
18-18
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
61%
11-7
50%
3-3
-0.10u
8-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 BOS 68%
26-12
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
65%
11-6
67%
4-2
68%
26-12
 1.92 0.84 / 1.08
BUF 56%
20-16
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
50%
9-9
67%
4-2
56%
20-16
 1.89 0.86 / 1.03
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 BOS 61%
23-15
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
65%
11-6
50%
3-3
61%
23-15
 2.03 1.08 / 0.95
BUF 75%
27-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
72%
13-5
50%
3-3
56%
20-16
 2.14 1.19 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 BOS 37%
14-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
41%
7-10
33%
2-4
55%
21-17
 2.39 1.13 / 1.26
BUF 33%
12-24
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
6-12
33%
2-4
37%
13-22
 2.06 0.89 / 1.17
Team Comparison '25-26
BOSBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)45-27-1050-23-9
Points %61.0%66.5%
Goals for / game3.323.51
Goals against / game3.052.94
Shots for / game27.028.1
Shots against / game29.729.1
Power play %23.4%19.5%
Penalty kill %77.0%81.9%
Faceoff %53.1%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.99 / 0.841.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.01 / 0.991.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.101.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.376.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · L
22 saves on 23 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BOS1000230/1
BUF0310340/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+300
 24% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+150
 53% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Alex Steeves G 0.5
o+500
 29% 40% — 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+300
 27% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+350
 29% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+130
 33% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+450
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Sean Kuraly G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Hampus Lindholm G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Charlie McAvoy G 0.5
o+575
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+450
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+550
 13% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Vladislav Kolyachonok G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+500
 15% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-110
 57% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 54% 70% 0%0/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 62% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Charlie McAvoy PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 54% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 66% 50% 67%4/6 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 46% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 30% 50%3/6 1 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 50% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 50% 83%5/6 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-475
 31% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Charlie McAvoy A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 54% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 41% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 26% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 77% 80% 75%3/4 1 U
Charlie McAvoy SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 42% 60% 0%0/3 1 U
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 40% 50%3/6 1 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 50% 40% 17%1/6 1 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 43% 30% 67%4/6 2 O
Joonas Korpisalo SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 60% 75%3/4 30 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 47% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+200
 31% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+200
 30% 30% 100%2/2 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+400
 20% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
 13% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+500
 19% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 14% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 3% 10% 17%1/6 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+240
 19% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+600
 9% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2250
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+850
 12% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+700
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1750
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 60% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+145
 61% 70% 50%3/6 2 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 70% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 39% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 30% 50%3/6 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 29% 30% 67%4/6 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 40% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 40%2/5 2 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 31% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 33% 30% 33%2/6 2 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 25% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 20% 20% 67%4/6 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 80% 60%3/5 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 40% 60% 50%3/6 2 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 60% 60% 100%2/2 2 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 61% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 50% 40% 83%5/6 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 40% 40% 33%1/3 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 30, 2025 at BOS BUF 3–4 OT 0–21–12–0 7 6.5 O BOS
Oct 11, 2025 at BOS BUF 1–3 0–10–11–1 4 5.5 U BOS
Apr 6, 2025 at BUF BUF 6–3 0–23–13–0 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 17, 2025 at BOS BUF 3–2 OT 1–21–00–0 5 5.5 U BUF
Jan 28, 2025 at BUF BUF 7–2 1–12–04–1 9 6 O BUF
Dec 21, 2024 at BOS BUF 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 6 U BOS
Dec 27, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–20–21–0 5 — BOS
Dec 7, 2023 at BOS BUF 3–1 0–02–11–0 4 — BUF
Nov 14, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–31–21–0 7 — BOS
Mar 19, 2023 at BUF BUF 0–7 0–30–10–3 7 — BOS