FLA @ CAR
Friday, January 16, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +150 · CAR -180
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-165) · CAR -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 10 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | FLA | o5.5 | 56% 25-20 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 11-8 | 80% 4-1 | 56% 25-20 |
| CAR | o5.5 | 62% 29-18 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 72% 18-7 | 80% 4-1 | 53% 25-22 | |
| Puck Line cover % | FLA | +1.5 | 60% 27-18 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 53% 10-9 | 80% 4-1 | -15.57u 16-29 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 32% 15-32 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 36% 9-16 | 20% 1-4 | -10.05u 17-30 | |
| Moneyline win % | FLA dog | +150 | 53% 24-21 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 53% 10-9 | 80% 4-1 | +8.67u 11-3 |
| CAR fav | -180 | 60% 28-19 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 64% 16-9 | 20% 1-4 | -0.53u 27-15 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 | FLA | 47% 21-24 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 47% 9-10 | 20% 1-4 | 47% 21-24 | 1.78 | 0.82 / 0.96 |
| CAR | 55% 26-21 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 56% 14-11 | 20% 1-4 | 55% 26-21 | 1.98 | 1.06 / 0.91 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 | FLA | 58% 26-19 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 58% 11-8 | 40% 2-3 | 58% 26-19 | 1.93 | 0.98 / 0.96 |
| CAR | 57% 27-20 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 52% 13-12 | 40% 2-3 | 49% 23-24 | 1.74 | 0.91 / 0.83 | ||
| 3rd Period over 1.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 | FLA | 78% 35-10 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 79% 15-4 | 100% 5-0 | 69% 31-14 | 2.47 | 1.22 / 1.24 |
| CAR | 68% 32-15 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 68% 17-8 | 100% 5-0 | 49% 23-24 | 2.38 | 1.19 / 1.19 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| FLA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 40-38-4 | 53-22-7 |
| Points % | 51.2% | 68.9% |
| Goals for / game | 3.06 | 3.61 |
| Goals against / game | 3.37 | 2.93 |
| Shots for / game | 28.0 | 32.2 |
| Shots against / game | 26.8 | 23.9 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 24.9% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.0% | 80.5% |
| Faceoff % | 46.6% | 50.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.93 / 0.90 | 1.18 / 0.78 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.84 / 1.11 | 0.98 / 0.98 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.30 | 1.28 / 1.09 |
| Avg game total | 6.43 | 6.54 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
FLA · Sergei Bobrovsky
27 saves on 36 shots · 9 GA · L
CAR · Brandon Bussi
15 saves on 16 shots · 1 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0/5 |
| CAR | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 4/5 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | G | 0.5 o+135 |
47% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | G | 0.5 o+150 |
31% | 30% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Anton Lundell | G | 0.5 o+230 |
31% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | G | 0.5 o+210 |
27% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Cole Schwindt | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+850 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | G | 0.5 o+500 |
16% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Niko Mikkola | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
2% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Luke Kunin | G | 0.5 o+900 |
6% | 10% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+400 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jeff Petry | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jesper Boqvist | G | 0.5 o+850 |
7% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Donovan Sebrango | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | G | 0.5 o+375 |
9% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Uvis Balinskis | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Sandis Vilmanis | G | 0.5 o+575 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
56% | 80% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
64% | 60% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
43% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Anton Lundell | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
60% | 50% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
30% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
52% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
40% | 30% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | PTS | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
31% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
35% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Bennett | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
33% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
35% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
27% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
31% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Anton Lundell | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
38% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
39% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
31% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
24% | 20% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
28% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
62% | 70% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
63% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Sam Reinhart | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-130 |
47% | 60% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
47% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 2 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
64% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-190 |
42% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 1 U |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | SV | 25.5 o-120 / u-110 |
31% | 20% | 75%3/4 | 27 O |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | G | 0.5 o+150 |
44% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+220 |
23% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+155 |
30% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+275 |
26% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+300 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+575 |
9% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+475 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+185 |
23% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+900 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | G | 0.5 o+700 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+600 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+325 |
18% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+700 |
9% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+550 |
22% | 0% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | G | 0.5 o+525 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
39% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
64% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
53% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 4 O |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
62% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
36% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 2 O |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
40% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
37% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
43% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
45% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 2 O |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
36% | 20% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| K'Andre Miller | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
36% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
47% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 2 O |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
30% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
28% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
36% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
28% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
18% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
30% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
23% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
26% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 2 O |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
70% | 70% | 80%4/5 | 3 O |
| Seth Jarvis | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
59% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 4 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
51% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 2 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
55% | 60% | 0%0/5 | 1 U |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
53% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
70% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o+120 / u-160 |
36% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 7 O |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
43% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 2 U |
| Brandon Bussi | SV | 22.5 o-110 / u-120 |
50% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 15 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 2–5 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 0–5 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| Dec 19, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–4 SO | 1–0 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 28, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 3–5 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 1–2 | 8 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 26, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–0 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 3 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| May 24, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 2–6 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–5 | 8 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 22, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 0–5 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 5 | 5.5 U | FLA |
| May 20, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 2–5 | 1–2 | 0–1 | 1–2 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| Jan 2, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–1 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 4 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Nov 30, 2024 | at FLA | CAR 0–6 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 6 | 6.5 U | FLA |
| Nov 29, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 3–6 | 1–3 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 9 | 6 O | FLA |