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← Stats / TBL @ DAL

TBL @ DAL

Sunday, January 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
4 – 1
FINAL
Dallas Stars
50-20-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -115 · DAL -105
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+200) · DAL +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · DAL +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 57%
26-20
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
56%
14-11
33%
1-2
52%
24-22
DALo5.5 54%
26-22
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
52%
11-10
33%
1-2
48%
23-25
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 44%
20-26
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
14-11
0%
0-3
+0.82u
23-23
DAL+1.5 81%
39-9
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
76%
16-5
100%
3-0
-12.51u
19-29
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -115 63%
29-17
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
68%
17-8
67%
2-1
-0.65u
21-14
DAL dog -105 56%
27-21
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
57%
12-9
33%
1-2
+3.40u
7-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-134/u+106 TBL 30%
14-32
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
32%
8-17
33%
1-2
54%
25-21
 1.98 1.17 / 0.80
DAL 15%
7-41
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
10%
2-19
33%
1-2
48%
23-25
 1.50 0.88 / 0.63
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 26%
12-34
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
20%
5-20
33%
1-2
46%
21-25
 1.80 1.02 / 0.78
DAL 33%
16-32
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
29%
6-15
33%
1-2
63%
30-18
 2.02 1.04 / 0.98
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-205/u+158 TBL 30%
14-32
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
28%
7-18
0%
0-3
46%
21-25
 2.11 1.20 / 0.91
DAL 50%
24-24
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
48%
10-11
0%
0-3
69%
33-15
 2.40 1.38 / 1.02
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLDAL
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-650-20-12
Points %64.6%68.3%
Goals for / game3.543.40
Goals against / game2.822.76
Shots for / game28.125.3
Shots against / game26.726.2
Power play %20.7%28.6%
Penalty kill %82.6%80.3%
Faceoff %47.3%51.7%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.88 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.22 / 0.83
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.16 / 1.04
Avg game total6.356.16
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 20 shots · 1 GA · W
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1210260/2
DAL1000200/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 45% 80% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+140
 42% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+140
 35% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+550
 18% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+350
 19% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+400
 23% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 24% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+750
 13% 20% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+375
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+350
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+750
 10% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% — 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 0% — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 90% 0%0/3 1 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 70% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 56% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 45% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 62% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 45% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 26% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 45% 60% 0%0/3 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 63% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 55% 50% 33%1/3 19 U
DALPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+170
 38% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Jason Robertson G 0.5
o+130
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Wyatt Johnston G 0.5
o+155
 42% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Jamie Benn G 0.5
o+500
 27% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Duchene G 0.5
o+350
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Roope Hintz G 0.5
o+210
 33% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mavrik Bourque G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Hryckowian G 0.5
o+650
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Radek Faksa G 0.5
o+800
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kyle Capobianco G 0.5
o+1600
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Steel G 0.5
o+450
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nils Lundkvist G 0.5
o+1300
 10% 10% — 0 U
Colin Blackwell G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Esa Lindell G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Miro Heiskanen G 0.5
o+525
 13% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Oskar Bäck G 0.5
o+900
 8% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Ilya Lyubushkin G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Thomas Harley G 0.5
o+600
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Wyatt Johnston PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Robertson PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 71% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Duchene PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Roope Hintz PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Sam Steel PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 29% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Miro Heiskanen PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Thomas Harley PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Robertson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Steel A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 19% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Matt Duchene A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 30% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Miro Heiskanen A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Wyatt Johnston A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Roope Hintz A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 37% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Harley A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Thomas Harley SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Duchene SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Roope Hintz SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 42% 60% 50%1/2 2 U
Wyatt Johnston SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 43% 40% 0%0/4 4 O
Jason Robertson SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 67% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Miro Heiskanen SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Jake Oettinger SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 70% 100%2/2 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 30, 2025 at TBL DAL 1–2 OT 0–00–11–0 3 5.5 U TBL
Mar 20, 2025 at DAL DAL 2–3 SO 0–12–10–0 5 5.5 U TBL
Nov 23, 2024 at TBL DAL 4–2 2–20–02–0 6 6 P DAL
Dec 4, 2023 at TBL DAL 0–4 0–20–00–2 4 — TBL
Dec 2, 2023 at DAL DAL 8–1 3–13–02–0 9 — DAL
Feb 11, 2023 at DAL DAL 1–3 0–01–10–2 4 — TBL
Nov 15, 2022 at TBL DAL 4–5 OT 1–12–21–1 9 — TBL
Apr 12, 2022 at DAL DAL 1–0 0–00–01–0 1 — DAL
Jan 15, 2022 at TBL DAL 1–3 1–10–00–2 4 — TBL
May 7, 2021 at TBL DAL 5–2 1–03–11–1 7 — DAL