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← Stats / BUF @ NYI

BUF @ NYI

Saturday, January 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
5 – 0
FINAL
New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -110 · NYI -110
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+200) · NYI +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · NYI +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 48%
24-26
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
44%
11-14
50%
2-2
50%
25-25
NYIo6.5 42%
21-29
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
50%
12-12
50%
2-2
48%
24-26
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF-1.5 42%
21-29
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
28%
7-18
25%
1-3
+5.06u
28-22
NYI+1.5 72%
36-14
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
71%
17-7
75%
3-1
-5.66u
27-23
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog -110 56%
28-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
48%
12-13
50%
2-2
+4.00u
14-14
NYI dog -110 54%
27-23
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
14-10
50%
2-2
+11.61u
20-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 BUF 26%
13-37
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
24%
6-19
0%
0-4
60%
30-20
 2.00 0.98 / 1.02
NYI 18%
9-41
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
21%
5-19
0%
0-4
52%
26-24
 1.56 0.80 / 0.76
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-200/u+154 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 BUF 32%
16-34
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
28%
7-18
25%
1-3
56%
28-22
 2.12 1.24 / 0.88
NYI 30%
15-35
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
38%
9-15
25%
1-3
56%
28-22
 2.04 1.00 / 1.04
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+126/u-160 BUF 32%
16-34
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
28%
7-18
25%
1-3
40%
19-29
 2.10 1.00 / 1.10
NYI 28%
14-36
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
33%
8-16
25%
1-3
40%
20-30
 1.86 0.94 / 0.92
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFNYI
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-943-34-5
Points %66.5%55.5%
Goals for / game3.512.84
Goals against / game2.942.94
Shots for / game28.128.2
Shots against / game29.127.7
Power play %19.5%16.5%
Penalty kill %81.9%80.8%
Faceoff %45.9%52.7%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.78 / 0.82
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.04 / 1.06
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.010.85 / 1.00
Avg game total6.455.78
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
26 saves on 26 shots · 0 GA · W
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0230210/2
NYI0000260/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 35% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 44% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 20% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 12% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 24% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 32% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 13% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 16% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 18% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2250
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% — 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+475
 33% — — 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 66% 90% 75%3/4 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 63% 80% 0%0/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 50% 70% 50%2/4 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 46% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 38% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 39% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 32% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 18% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 30% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 70% 100%4/4 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 76% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 54% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 52% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 29% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-120 / u-115
 65% 40% 75%3/4 26 O
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+260
 19% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+140
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+300
 22% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+425
 22% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+525
 19% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+650
 6% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+260
 26% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+425
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+900
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+210
 22% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+750
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jonathan Drouin G 0.5
o+375
 7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Adam Boqvist G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Isaiah George G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Maxim Shabanov G 0.5
o+550
 8% 0% — 0 U
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Anthony Duclair PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 34% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 61% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tony DeAngelo PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 30% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Holmstrom PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 37% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Jonathan Drouin PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 36% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 53% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Tony DeAngelo A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 30% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Jonathan Drouin A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 28% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Simon Holmstrom A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 22% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 16% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 25% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mathew Barzal SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 71% 80% 100%2/2 0 U
Tony DeAngelo SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 56% 70% 100%1/1 2 O
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 54% 70% 40%2/5 6 O
Anders Lee SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 64% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Anthony Duclair SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 34% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 30% 100%1/1 1 U
David Rittich SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 60% 50%1/2 16 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 20, 2025 at BUF NYI 2–3 SO 0–11–11–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 23, 2024 at NYI NYI 1–7 0–21–30–2 8 5.5 O BUF
Nov 30, 2024 at NYI NYI 3–0 0–02–01–0 3 5.5 U NYI
Nov 1, 2024 at BUF NYI 4–3 1–12–01–2 7 5.5 O NYI
Mar 14, 2024 at BUF NYI 0–4 0–00–30–1 4 — BUF
Oct 21, 2023 at BUF NYI 1–3 0–00–21–1 4 — BUF
Oct 14, 2023 at NYI NYI 3–2 2–00–11–1 5 — NYI
Mar 25, 2023 at NYI NYI 0–2 0–00–00–2 2 — BUF
Mar 7, 2023 at NYI NYI 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 — NYI
Jan 19, 2023 at BUF NYI 2–3 OT 1–01–10–1 5 — BUF