← Stats / MTL @ BUF

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

48-24-10 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +110 · BUF -130
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
MTLo6.5 59%
32-22
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
65%
17-9
57%
4-3
61%
33-21
BUFo6.5 47%
25-28
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
50%
13-13
57%
4-3
49%
26-27
Puck Line
cover %
MTL+1.5 78%
42-12
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
85%
22-4
71%
5-2
-0.60u
31-23
BUF-1.5 45%
24-29
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
58%
15-11
29%
2-5
+9.26u
31-22
Moneyline
win %
MTL dog +110 56%
30-24
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
14-12
71%
5-2
+6.61u
17-13
BUF fav -130 59%
31-22
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
65%
17-9
29%
2-5
+3.08u
15-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 MTL 85%
46-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
22-4
86%
6-1
59%
32-22
1.81 1.00 / 0.81
BUF 94%
50-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
92%
24-2
86%
6-1
60%
32-21
2.02 1.02 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 0.5
DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 MTL 91%
49-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
89%
23-3
100%
7-0
69%
37-17
2.39 1.11 / 1.28
BUF 91%
48-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
92%
24-2
100%
7-0
57%
30-23
2.11 1.25 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 0.5
FD 2.5 o+112/u-144 MTL 91%
49-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
89%
23-3
86%
6-1
53%
28-25
2.26 1.15 / 1.11
BUF 87%
46-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
22-4
86%
6-1
41%
21-30
2.13 1.08 / 1.06
Team Comparison '25-26
MTLBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)48-24-1050-23-9
Points %64.6%66.5%
Goals for / game3.453.51
Goals against / game3.122.94
Shots for / game26.328.1
Shots against / game27.829.1
Power play %23.1%19.5%
Penalty kill %78.2%81.9%
Faceoff %50.9%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.851.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.111.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.041.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.576.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
36 saves on 38 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
27 saves on 30 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MTL1030311/3
BUF0200381/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+135
41% 60% 71%5/7 2 O
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1300
9% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+600
19% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+195
28% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Kirby Dach G 0.5
o+450
25% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+220
33% 30% 43%3/7 1 O
Phillip Danault G 0.5
o+525
4% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+650
18% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+600
17% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+500
7% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+850
10% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Oliver Kapanen G 0.5
o+400
30% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+550
17% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+300
20% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Kaiden Guhle G 0.5
o+1200
7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+450
17% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2250
2% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-240
45% 70% 57%4/7 0 U
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
76% 70% 100%7/7 2 O
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
69% 70% 86%6/7 3 O
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
67% 60% 86%6/7 1 O
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
46% 50% 33%2/6 2 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
59% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
52% 40% 57%4/7 1 O
Oliver Kapanen PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
43% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
61% 70% 100%7/7 2 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
39% 60% 57%4/7 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
57% 60% 71%5/7 1 O
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
33% 30% 33%2/6 2 O
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
43% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
35% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Oliver Kapanen A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
61% 80% 29%2/7 5 O
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
47% 70% 29%2/7 2 O
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
65% 60% 71%5/7 2 O
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
52% 60% 43%3/7 2 O
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
41% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
57% 50% 50%3/6 4 O
Oliver Kapanen SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
48% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
56% 50% 57%4/7 7 O
Jakub Dobes SV 23.5
o-105 / u-125
54% 40% 50%1/2 36 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+160
39% 60% 43%3/7 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+110
45% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
16% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
11% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
19% 30% 0%0/7 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+220
32% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
19% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
16% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+275
25% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
15% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
8% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+375
17% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1200
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
17% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
6% 0% 0%0/7 1 O
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+650
7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2500
4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+450
17% — 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
59% 90% 83%5/6 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
65% 80% 57%4/7 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
53% 70% 14%1/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
45% 70% 17%1/6 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
45% 70% 29%2/7 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
48% 60% 43%3/7 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
56% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
49% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
34% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-240
28% 30% 14%1/7 1 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
40% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
29% 10% 29%2/7 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
42% 70% 14%1/7 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
42% 60% 29%2/7 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
51% 60% 67%4/6 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
35% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
34% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
33% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
32% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
17% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
37% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
28% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
23% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
56% 60% 40%2/5 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
66% 60% 43%3/7 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
64% 60% 14%1/7 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
75% 50% 71%5/7 1 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
48% 50% 57%4/7 6 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
53% 40% 67%4/6 4 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
53% 40% 71%5/7 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
55% 20% 50%2/4 3 O
Alex Lyon SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
77% 70% 50%1/2 27 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 22, 2026 at MTL BUF 4–2 2–01–21–0 6 6.5 U BUF
Jan 15, 2026 at BUF BUF 5–3 2–21–12–0 8 6.5 O BUF
Oct 20, 2025 at MTL BUF 2–4 0–11–01–3 6 6.5 U MTL
Mar 3, 2025 at MTL BUF 3–4 OT 0–31–02–0 7 6.5 O MTL
Mar 1, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–4 0–02–30–1 6 6.5 U MTL
Dec 17, 2024 at MTL BUF 1–6 0–21–40–0 7 6 O MTL
Nov 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–7 1–12–32–3 12 6.5 O MTL
Feb 21, 2024 at MTL BUF 3–2 0–13–10–0 5 — BUF
Jan 4, 2024 at MTL BUF 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — BUF
Dec 9, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–3 SO 0–00–22–0 5 — MTL