MTL @ BUF
Saturday, January 31, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +110 · BUF -130
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 6 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 59% 32-22 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 65% 17-9 | 57% 4-3 | 61% 33-21 |
| BUF | o6.5 | 47% 25-28 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 50% 13-13 | 57% 4-3 | 49% 26-27 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 78% 42-12 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 85% 22-4 | 71% 5-2 | -0.60u 31-23 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 45% 24-29 | 100% 5-0 | 70% 7-3 | 58% 15-11 | 29% 2-5 | +9.26u 31-22 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +110 | 56% 30-24 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 54% 14-12 | 71% 5-2 | +6.61u 17-13 |
| BUF fav | -130 | 59% 31-22 | 100% 5-0 | 70% 7-3 | 65% 17-9 | 29% 2-5 | +3.08u 15-8 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 |
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 | MTL | 59% 32-22 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 54% 14-12 | 71% 5-2 | 59% 32-22 | 1.81 | 1.00 / 0.81 |
| BUF | 60% 32-21 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 58% 15-11 | 71% 5-2 | 60% 32-21 | 2.02 | 1.02 / 1.00 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 |
DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 | MTL | 74% 40-14 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 65% 17-9 | 71% 5-2 | 69% 37-17 | 2.39 | 1.11 / 1.28 |
| BUF | 72% 38-15 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 69% 18-8 | 71% 5-2 | 57% 30-23 | 2.11 | 1.25 / 0.87 | ||
| 3rd Period over 1.5 |
FD 2.5 o+112/u-144 | MTL | 69% 37-17 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 69% 18-8 | 57% 4-3 | 53% 28-25 | 2.26 | 1.15 / 1.11 |
| BUF | 62% 33-20 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 62% 16-10 | 57% 4-3 | 41% 21-30 | 2.13 | 1.08 / 1.06 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 48-24-10 | 50-23-9 |
| Points % | 64.6% | 66.5% |
| Goals for / game | 3.45 | 3.51 |
| Goals against / game | 3.12 | 2.94 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 28.1 |
| Shots against / game | 27.8 | 29.1 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.2% | 81.9% |
| Faceoff % | 50.9% | 45.9% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.91 / 0.85 | 1.02 / 0.94 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.11 | 1.16 / 0.88 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.04 | 1.23 / 1.01 |
| Avg game total | 6.57 | 6.45 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
36 saves on 38 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
27 saves on 30 shots · 3 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 1/3 |
| BUF | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1/4 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+135 |
41% | 60% | 71%5/7 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
9% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+600 |
19% | 30% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+195 |
28% | 30% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+450 |
25% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+220 |
33% | 30% | 43%3/7 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+525 |
4% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+650 |
18% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+600 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+500 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+850 |
10% | 10% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+400 |
30% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+550 |
17% | 10% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+300 |
20% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+450 |
17% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-240 |
45% | 70% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+180 |
76% | 70% | 100%7/7 | 2 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
69% | 70% | 86%6/7 | 3 O |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-175 / u+130 |
67% | 60% | 86%6/7 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
46% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
59% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
52% | 40% | 57%4/7 | 1 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
43% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
61% | 70% | 100%7/7 | 2 O |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
39% | 60% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
57% | 60% | 71%5/7 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
50% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
33% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 2 O |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
43% | 30% | 29%2/7 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
35% | 30% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-180 / u+135 |
61% | 80% | 29%2/7 | 5 O |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
47% | 70% | 29%2/7 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+135 |
65% | 60% | 71%5/7 | 2 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
52% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
41% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 3 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u-105 |
57% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 4 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
48% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
56% | 50% | 57%4/7 | 7 O |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 23.5 o-105 / u-125 |
54% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 36 O |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+160 |
39% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+110 |
45% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+325 |
16% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+525 |
11% | 30% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
19% | 30% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+220 |
32% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+400 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+900 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
25% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+300 |
15% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+800 |
8% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+375 |
17% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Michael Kesselring | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+750 |
17% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+750 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 1 O |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 0% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Zach Metsa | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | G | 0.5 o+450 |
17% | — | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
59% | 90% | 83%5/6 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
65% | 80% | 57%4/7 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
53% | 70% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
45% | 70% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
45% | 70% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
48% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
56% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
49% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
34% | 40% | 100%2/2 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 1.5 o+180 / u-240 |
28% | 30% | 14%1/7 | 1 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-240 |
40% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
29% | 10% | 29%2/7 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 70% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
42% | 60% | 29%2/7 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
35% | 50% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
34% | 50% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
33% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
32% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
30% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
17% | 30% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
37% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
28% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
23% | 10% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+120 |
56% | 60% | 40%2/5 | 4 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 2.5 o-175 / u+130 |
66% | 60% | 43%3/7 | 5 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
64% | 60% | 14%1/7 | 3 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
75% | 50% | 71%5/7 | 1 U |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+115 / u-155 |
48% | 50% | 57%4/7 | 6 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+100 / u-135 |
53% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 4 O |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
53% | 40% | 71%5/7 | 2 O |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
55% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Alex Lyon | SV | 23.5 o-125 / u-105 |
77% | 70% | 50%1/2 | 27 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 4–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 3–4 OT | 0–3 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 1–6 | 0–2 | 1–4 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |
| Nov 11, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 5–7 | 1–1 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 6–1 | 0–0 | 2–1 | 4–0 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Dec 9, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 2–3 SO | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2–0 | 5 | — | MTL |