BUF @ NJD
Wednesday, February 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -105 · NJD -115
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-300) · NJD -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)
Graded: total 3 → OVER L · NJD -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | BUF | o5.5 | 65% 37-20 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 66% 19-10 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 28-28 |
| NJD | o5.5 | 40% 23-34 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 33% 9-18 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 23-34 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 70% 40-17 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 66% 19-10 | 40% 2-3 | +7.95u 32-24 |
| NJD | -1.5 | 19% 11-46 | 0% 0-5 | 0% 0-10 | 22% 6-21 | 60% 3-2 | -24.23u 19-38 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | -105 | 56% 32-25 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 52% 15-14 | 40% 2-3 | +4.91u 16-15 |
| NJD fav | -115 | 49% 28-29 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 48% 13-14 | 60% 3-2 | -4.86u 16-16 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-122/u-102 | BUF | 95% 54-3 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 97% 28-1 | 80% 4-1 | 61% 35-22 | 2.05 | 1.02 / 1.04 |
| NJD | 86% 49-8 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 82% 22-5 | 80% 4-1 | 44% 25-32 | 1.61 | 0.70 / 0.91 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-174/u+138 | BUF | 90% 51-6 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 86% 25-4 | 100% 5-0 | 54% 31-26 | 2.05 | 1.21 / 0.84 |
| NJD | 91% 52-5 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 93% 25-2 | 100% 5-0 | 44% 25-32 | 1.84 | 0.88 / 0.96 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+134/u-172 | BUF | 88% 50-7 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 90% 26-3 | 100% 5-0 | 44% 24-31 | 2.19 | 1.09 / 1.11 |
| NJD | 88% 50-7 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 85% 23-4 | 100% 5-0 | 47% 27-30 | 1.96 | 0.81 / 1.16 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 50-23-9 | 42-37-3 |
| Points % | 66.5% | 53.0% |
| Goals for / game | 3.51 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / game | 2.94 | 3.10 |
| Shots for / game | 28.1 | 29.6 |
| Shots against / game | 29.1 | 27.4 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 22.0% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.9% | 79.3% |
| Faceoff % | 45.9% | 50.5% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.02 / 0.94 | 0.78 / 0.98 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.16 / 0.88 | 0.87 / 1.01 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.01 | 1.00 / 1.07 |
| Avg game total | 6.45 | 5.90 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
27 saves on 28 shots · 1 GA · W
NJD · Jake Allen
28 saves on 30 shots · 2 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0/3 |
| NJD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+110 |
46% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+220 |
34% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+195 |
36% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+375 |
15% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+525 |
12% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+240 |
26% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+260 |
26% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+650 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+475 |
18% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+260 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+750 |
7% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+350 |
18% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Michael Kesselring | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+800 |
16% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Dunne | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+750 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Zach Metsa | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
62% | 90% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
47% | 80% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
74% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
54% | 70% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
64% | 60% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
55% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
49% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
40% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
30% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 1.5 o+170 / u-230 |
26% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 2 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
44% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+105 |
55% | 70% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
37% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
53% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
42% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
38% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
30% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
30% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
23% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
29% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
67% | 70% | 0%0/5 | 3 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+120 |
55% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 60% | 0%0/5 | 3 U |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-135 |
48% | 60% | 100%5/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
53% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 1 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
34% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 2 U |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
47% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
53% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 26.5 o-120 / u-110 |
45% | 70% | 0%0/3 | 27 O |
| NJD | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | G | 0.5 o+160 |
30% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Cody Glass | G | 0.5 o+450 |
24% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Dougie Hamilton | G | 0.5 o+425 |
12% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Timo Meier | G | 0.5 o+185 |
27% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Jesper Bratt | G | 0.5 o+260 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Bjugstad | G | 0.5 o+550 |
17% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Connor Brown | G | 0.5 o+300 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jack Hughes | G | 0.5 o+150 |
22% | 10% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | G | 0.5 o+375 |
15% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Dawson Mercer | G | 0.5 o+325 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Simon Nemec | G | 0.5 o+850 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Brenden Dillon | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
5% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Brett Pesce | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Paul Cotter | G | 0.5 o+800 |
9% | 0% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | G | 0.5 o+750 |
3% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Lenni Hameenaho | G | 0.5 o+450 |
22% | — | — | 0 U |
| Dougie Hamilton | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
31% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Hughes | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
64% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Connor Brown | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
34% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jesper Bratt | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
49% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Nico Hischier | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
49% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
34% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Timo Meier | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-120 |
44% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Dawson Mercer | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
42% | 20% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Hughes | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 70% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Dougie Hamilton | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
23% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
23% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Connor Brown | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
18% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jesper Bratt | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
37% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Timo Meier | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
27% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Nico Hischier | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
30% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Dawson Mercer | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
28% | 10% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Connor Brown | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
42% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Nico Hischier | SOG | 2.5 o-145 / u+110 |
53% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 2 U |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
70% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 1 U |
| Dougie Hamilton | SOG | 3.5 o+135 / u-180 |
29% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 3 U |
| Timo Meier | SOG | 3.5 o+115 / u-155 |
39% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 6 O |
| Jack Hughes | SOG | 3.5 o-115 / u-120 |
39% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 U |
| Jesper Bratt | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-185 |
39% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 2 U |
| Dawson Mercer | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
56% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 2 O |
| Jake Allen | SV | 22.5 o-125 / u-105 |
63% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 28 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | at NJD | NJD 1–3 | 1–0 | 0–2 | 0–1 | 4 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Nov 28, 2025 | at BUF | NJD 5–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 3–0 | 5 | 6.5 U | NJD |
| Feb 2, 2025 | at BUF | NJD 3–4 | 0–3 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 5, 2024 | at NJD | NJD 3–1 | 0–0 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 4 | 6.5 U | NJD |
| Oct 4, 2024 | at BUF | NJD 4–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 1–1 | 5 | 6 U | NJD |
| Mar 29, 2024 | at BUF | NJD 2–5 | 2–0 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Nov 25, 2023 | at NJD | NJD 7–2 | 4–0 | 1–1 | 2–1 | 9 | — | NJD |
| Oct 27, 2023 | at NJD | NJD 5–4 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–1 | 9 | — | NJD |
| Apr 11, 2023 | at NJD | NJD 6–2 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 3–1 | 8 | — | NJD |
| Mar 24, 2023 | at BUF | NJD 4–5 | 2–3 | 0–2 | 2–0 | 9 | — | BUF |