← Stats / VGK @ BUF

VGK @ BUF

Tuesday, March 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Vegas Golden Knights
39-26-17 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
VGK +120 · BUF -140
Puck Line
VGK +1.5 (-210) · BUF -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 VGKo6.5 52%
31-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
57%
34-26
BUFo6.5 48%
29-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
14-14
50%
1-1
49%
29-30
Puck Line
cover %
 VGK+1.5 83%
50-10
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
84%
26-5
100%
2-0
-16.47u
22-38
BUF-1.5 43%
26-34
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
54%
15-13
0%
0-2
+9.51u
35-24
Moneyline
win %
 VGK dog +120 47%
28-32
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
-2.39u
4-7
BUF fav -140 58%
35-25
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
61%
17-11
50%
1-1
+1.08u
15-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 VGK 88%
53-7
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
87%
27-4
100%
2-0
60%
36-24
 1.93 0.88 / 1.05
BUF 93%
56-4
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
93%
26-2
100%
2-0
60%
36-24
 2.03 1.05 / 0.98
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-174/u+138 VGK 93%
56-4
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
90%
28-3
50%
1-1
53%
32-28
 2.03 0.95 / 1.08
BUF 90%
54-6
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
93%
26-2
50%
1-1
53%
32-28
 2.02 1.18 / 0.83
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-166 VGK 88%
53-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
90%
28-3
100%
2-0
50%
30-30
 2.18 1.37 / 0.82
BUF 88%
53-7
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
86%
24-4
100%
2-0
43%
25-33
 2.20 1.10 / 1.10
Team Comparison '25-26
VGKBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)39-26-1750-23-9
Points %57.9%66.5%
Goals for / game3.233.51
Goals against / game3.052.94
Shots for / game29.028.1
Shots against / game24.429.1
Power play %24.6%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.4%81.9%
Faceoff %50.8%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.76 / 0.981.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.121.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.32 / 0.741.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.286.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
VGK0200290/1
BUF1200280/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+250
 27% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+230
 24% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+175
 37% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+165
 33% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+500
 7% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+210
 35% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Andersson G 0.5
o+650
 19% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Cole Reinhardt G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Braeden Bowman G 0.5
o+375
 18% 10% — 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+700
 15% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jeremy Lauzon G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% — 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Raphael Lavoie G 0.5
o+700
 0% — — 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 60% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 52% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Eichel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 71% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
Rasmus Andersson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 42% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 48% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 62% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 25% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Andersson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 35% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Ivan Barbashev SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 47% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Rasmus Andersson SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 50%1/2 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 30% 50%1/2 4 O
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 38% 20% 0%0/2 2 U
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 20% 100%1/1 1 U
Akira Schmid SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 39% 40% — 25 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+110
 47% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+155
 37% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+260
 32% 30% 100%2/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 16% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 15% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 25% 30% — 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+300
 27% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+800
 16% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+375
 16% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1750
 7% 10% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+300
 17% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 15% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+750
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 61% 80% 100%2/2 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 70% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 73% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 47% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 49% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% — 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 30% 100%2/2 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 31% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 27% 20% 0%0/2 1 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 43% 70% 0%0/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 54% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 30% 20% — 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 68% 90% 100%2/2 5 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 50% 60% 100%2/2 2 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 50% — 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 36% 40% 0%0/2 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 50% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Alex Lyon SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 69% 70% — 27 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 15, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 0–11–12–1 7 6.5 O BUF
Jan 4, 2025 at VGK BUF 1–3 0–20–01–1 4 6.5 U VGK
Mar 2, 2024 at BUF BUF 7–2 1–02–24–0 9 — BUF
Dec 15, 2023 at VGK BUF 5–2 0–01–14–1 7 — BUF
Dec 19, 2022 at VGK BUF 3–2 0–03–00–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–7 1–11–22–4 11 — VGK
Mar 10, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 — BUF
Feb 1, 2022 at VGK BUF 2–5 0–21–21–1 7 — VGK
Feb 28, 2020 at VGK BUF 2–4 1–10–01–3 6 — VGK
Jan 14, 2020 at BUF BUF 4–2 0–02–12–1 6 — BUF