← Stats / SJS @ BUF

SJS @ BUF

Tuesday, March 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

San Jose Sharks
39-35-8 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
SJS +170 · BUF -220
Puck Line
SJS +1.5 (-130) · BUF -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 SJSo6.5 49%
30-31
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
48%
14-15
50%
1-1
48%
29-31
BUFo6.5 47%
30-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
50%
1-1
48%
30-33
Puck Line
cover %
 SJS+1.5 67%
41-20
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
59%
17-12
50%
1-1
+7.53u
40-20
BUF-1.5 42%
27-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
48%
15-16
50%
1-1
+8.25u
37-26
Moneyline
win %
 SJS dog +170 49%
30-31
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
45%
13-16
50%
1-1
+15.45u
28-27
BUF fav -220 61%
39-25
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
65%
20-11
50%
1-1
+3.20u
18-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 SJS 31%
19-42
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
31%
9-20
0%
0-2
62%
38-23
 2.03 0.98 / 1.05
BUF 27%
17-47
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
26%
8-23
0%
0-2
58%
37-27
 1.97 1.03 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 SJS 31%
19-42
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
31%
9-20
50%
1-1
59%
36-25
 2.18 1.03 / 1.15
BUF 31%
20-44
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
39%
12-19
50%
1-1
56%
36-28
 2.16 1.27 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+116/u-148 SJS 33%
20-41
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
10-19
100%
2-0
41%
25-36
 2.07 0.89 / 1.18
BUF 36%
23-41
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
12-19
100%
2-0
42%
26-36
 2.22 1.13 / 1.09
Team Comparison '25-26
SJSBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)39-35-850-23-9
Points %52.4%66.5%
Goals for / game3.063.51
Goals against / game3.562.94
Shots for / game25.828.1
Shots against / game29.629.1
Power play %21.2%19.5%
Penalty kill %76.4%81.9%
Faceoff %47.8%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 1.091.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.131.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA0.91 / 1.241.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.626.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 25 shots · 5 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
SJS1110201/3
BUF2220260/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
SJSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Macklin Celebrini G 0.5
o+125
 43% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+500
 29% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Will Smith G 0.5
o+180
 33% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Michael Misa G 0.5
o+375
 21% 40% — 0 U
Alexander Wennberg G 0.5
o+375
 20% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Kiefer Sherwood G 0.5
o+275
 26% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Shakir Mukhamadullin G 0.5
o+1300
 13% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Collin Graf G 0.5
o+325
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyler Toffoli G 0.5
o+300
 21% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
John Klingberg G 0.5
o+800
 19% 10% — 0 U
Barclay Goodrow G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Philipp Kurashev G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Dmitry Orlov G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Vincent Desharnais G 0.5
o+2000
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mario Ferraro G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
William Eklund G 0.5
o+325
 18% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Zack Ostapchuk G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Dickinson G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 0% — 0 U
Will Smith PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 60% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
William Eklund PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 56% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Michael Misa PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 46% 60% — 0 U
Philipp Kurashev PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 44% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Collin Graf PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Tyler Toffoli PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 48% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
John Klingberg PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 40% — 0 U
Alexander Wennberg PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Kiefer Sherwood PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Dmitry Orlov PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 38% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Macklin Celebrini PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 39% 20% 0%0/2 1 U
William Eklund A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 44% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
John Klingberg A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 40% — 0 U
Philipp Kurashev A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 33% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Will Smith A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Macklin Celebrini A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 59% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Collin Graf A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 27% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Tyler Toffoli A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 33% 30% 100%2/2 1 O
Kiefer Sherwood A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 12% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Michael Misa A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 29% 30% — 0 U
Dmitry Orlov A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 36% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexander Wennberg A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Collin Graf SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 37% 70% 0%0/1 2 O
Kiefer Sherwood SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 60% 25%1/4 1 U
William Eklund SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 72% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Will Smith SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 60% 0%0/2 2 U
Macklin Celebrini SOG 3.5
o-160 / u+120
 49% 60% 0%0/2 1 U
John Klingberg SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 45% 50% — 0 U
Tyler Toffoli SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 40% 100%2/2 3 O
Michael Misa SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 29% 30% — 1 U
Yaroslav Askarov SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 40% — 20 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+105
 47% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+185
 36% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+140
 38% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+210
 27% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+210
 27% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+400
 14% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+750
 16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+575
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+575
 14% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 16% 0% 0%0/2 3 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+375
 15% 0% — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 70% 0%0/2 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 62% 70% 100%2/2 3 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 69% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 50% 0%0/1 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 50% 50%1/2 4 O
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 39% 50% — 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 27% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 55% 70% 100%2/2 3 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 60% 0%0/2 3 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 34% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o-110 / u-130
 44% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 23% 50% — 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 50% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 28% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 24% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 27% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 29% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 50% 0%0/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 50% 0%0/1 2 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 50% 0%0/2 1 U
Mattias Samuelsson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 36% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 50% 0%0/2 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 50% 100%1/1 2 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 30% 100%1/1 1 U
Noah Ostlund SOG 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 27% 30% — 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 20% 50%1/2 2 U
Alex Lyon SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 71% 80% — 17 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 4, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–6 0–01–21–4 8 6.5 O SJS
Nov 23, 2024 at SJS BUF 4–2 1–10–13–0 6 6 P BUF
Jan 27, 2024 at SJS BUF 5–2 2–21–02–0 7 — BUF
Jan 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–0 0–02–01–0 3 — BUF
Feb 18, 2023 at SJS BUF 4–2 1–11–12–0 6 — BUF
Dec 4, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 1–23–02–1 9 — BUF
Jan 6, 2022 at BUF BUF 2–3 0–31–01–0 5 — SJS
Nov 2, 2021 at SJS BUF 3–5 1–21–11–2 8 — SJS
Oct 22, 2019 at BUF BUF 4–3 OT 0–22–01–1 7 — BUF
Oct 19, 2019 at SJS BUF 4–3 1–11–02–2 7 — BUF