← Stats / WSH @ BUF

WSH @ BUF

Thursday, March 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Washington Capitals
43-30-9 · Away
2 – 1
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
WSH +170 · BUF -220
Puck Line
WSH +1.5 (-130) · BUF -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 WSHo6.5 41%
27-39
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
44%
14-18
75%
3-1
51%
33-32
BUFo6.5 48%
31-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
16-16
75%
3-1
48%
31-33
Puck Line
cover %
 WSH+1.5 71%
47-19
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
66%
21-11
75%
3-1
+4.28u
33-32
BUF-1.5 43%
28-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
50%
16-16
25%
1-3
+9.30u
38-26
Moneyline
win %
 WSH dog +170 49%
32-34
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
38%
12-20
25%
1-3
-6.89u
7-15
BUF fav -220 62%
40-25
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
66%
21-11
75%
3-1
+3.66u
19-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 WSH 46%
30-36
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
53%
17-15
100%
4-0
46%
30-36
 1.62 0.83 / 0.79
BUF 59%
38-27
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
53%
17-15
100%
4-0
59%
38-27
 1.98 1.05 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 WSH 29%
19-47
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
22%
7-25
50%
2-2
62%
41-25
 2.05 1.03 / 1.02
BUF 32%
21-44
100%
5-0
50%
5-5
41%
13-19
50%
2-2
57%
37-28
 2.17 1.28 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+110/u-140 WSH 38%
25-41
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
14-18
25%
1-3
55%
36-30
 2.32 1.21 / 1.11
BUF 37%
24-41
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
41%
13-19
25%
1-3
43%
27-36
 2.23 1.14 / 1.09
Team Comparison '25-26
WSHBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)43-30-950-23-9
Points %57.9%66.5%
Goals for / game3.213.51
Goals against / game2.982.94
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game28.129.1
Power play %17.8%19.5%
Penalty kill %80.1%81.9%
Faceoff %49.3%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 0.761.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.06 / 1.021.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.24 / 1.091.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.186.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 30 shots · 1 GA · W
20 saves on 22 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
WSH0110220/2
BUF1000300/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pierre-Luc Dubois G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+300
 32% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+300
 19% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+250
 34% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+350
 28% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Hendrix Lapierre G 0.5
o+750
 5% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+195
 29% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1750
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Timothy Liljegren G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ethen Frank G 0.5
o+550
 16% 10% — 0 U
Luke Schenn G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+250
 22% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 55% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan Leonard PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 32% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 21% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 24% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 41% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 27% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan Leonard A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 63% 70% 75%3/4 4 O
Ryan Leonard SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 64% 70% 0%0/1 1 U
Alex Ovechkin SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 60% 100%3/3 2 U
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 64% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 50% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 60% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 40% 100%4/4 1 U
Justin Sourdif SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 42% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 58% 30% 100%4/4 1 U
Charlie Lindgren SV 24.5
o-125 / u-110
 44% 40% 0%0/2 29 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+225
 37% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 46% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+220
 26% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+700
 8% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+250
 26% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+850
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 14% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 9% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+230
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+375
 15% 0% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 62% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 67% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-125
 49% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 50% — 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 41% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 45% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 34% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 23% 50% — 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 48% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 28% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 30% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 40% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 54% 40% 50%2/4 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 48% 40% 75%3/4 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 48% 20% 0%0/3 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 70% 67%2/3 20 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 1, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 3–20–10–0 7 6.5 O BUF
Mar 30, 2025 at WSH BUF 8–5 1–13–14–3 13 6.5 O BUF
Jan 6, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 1–12–10–1 7 6 O BUF
Dec 14, 2024 at WSH BUF 2–4 1–11–10–2 6 6 P WSH
Apr 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 — BUF
Apr 2, 2024 at BUF BUF 6–2 2–11–13–0 8 — BUF
Nov 22, 2023 at WSH BUF 3–4 OT 2–11–10–1 7 — WSH
Mar 15, 2023 at WSH BUF 4–5 SO 3–10–01–3 9 — WSH
Feb 26, 2023 at BUF BUF 7–4 2–24–21–0 11 — BUF
Jan 3, 2023 at WSH BUF 5–4 OT 2–11–11–2 9 — BUF