← Stats / BUF @ VGK

BUF @ VGK

Tuesday, March 17, 2026 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
2 – 0
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
39-26-17 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +115 · VGK -135
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-210) · VGK -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · VGK -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 46%
31-36
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
46%
15-18
33%
1-2
47%
31-35
VGKo6.5 49%
33-34
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
55%
18-15
33%
1-2
54%
36-31
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 75%
50-17
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
70%
23-10
67%
2-1
+7.30u
38-28
VGK-1.5 27%
18-49
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
30%
10-23
33%
1-2
-14.67u
27-40
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +115 61%
41-26
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
58%
19-14
67%
2-1
+9.77u
20-15
VGK fav -135 46%
31-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
49%
16-17
33%
1-2
-10.00u
26-25
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-152/u+118 BUF 27%
18-49
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
27%
9-24
0%
0-3
58%
39-28
 1.97 1.04 / 0.93
VGK 24%
16-51
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
27%
9-24
0%
0-3
57%
38-29
 1.87 0.87 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 BUF 31%
21-46
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
24%
8-25
33%
1-2
55%
37-30
 2.15 1.25 / 0.90
VGK 33%
22-45
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
30%
10-23
33%
1-2
54%
36-31
 2.07 0.96 / 1.12
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+126/u-160 BUF 36%
24-43
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
11-22
33%
1-2
42%
27-38
 2.18 1.10 / 1.07
VGK 37%
25-42
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
42%
14-19
33%
1-2
49%
33-34
 2.13 1.34 / 0.79
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-939-26-17
Points %66.5%57.9%
Goals for / game3.513.23
Goals against / game2.943.05
Shots for / game28.129.0
Shots against / game29.124.4
Power play %19.5%24.6%
Penalty kill %81.9%81.4%
Faceoff %45.9%50.8%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.76 / 0.98
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.05 / 1.12
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.32 / 0.74
Avg game total6.456.28
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 29 shots · 0 GA · W
VGK · Adin Hill
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1010250/2
VGK0000290/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+225
 35% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 45% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+700
 9% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 11% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 24% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 16% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+240
 25% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1100
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Luke Schenn G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 0% 33%1/3 DNP
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 15% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 69% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 55% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 52% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 62% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 41% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 45% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 45% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 30% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 70% 90% 100%3/3 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 90% 0%0/1 3 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 52% 60% 100%3/3 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 67% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 50% 100%3/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-185
 49% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 60% 0%0/1 29 O
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+155
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+150
 34% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+250
 26% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+325
 27% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+225
 33% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+525
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+450
 21% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+250
 40% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+800
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson G 0.5
o+650
 18% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Braeden Bowman G 0.5
o+425
 16% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+650
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jeremy Lauzon G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Cole Smith G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 64% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 54% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Mark Stone PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 80% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 49% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Braeden Bowman PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 41% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-240
 39% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mark Stone A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 28% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 38% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 59% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 37% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Braeden Bowman A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 29% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 27% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 57% 80% 67%2/3 3 O
Ivan Barbashev SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 60% 50%1/2 1 U
Braeden Bowman SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 41% 60% 0%0/1 1 U
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 59% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 55% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Mark Stone SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 30% 50%1/2 3 O
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 55% 30% 50%1/2 3 O
Rasmus Andersson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 20% 0%0/3 3 O
Adin Hill SV 21.5
o-130 / u+100
 37% 40% 100%2/2 23 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 3, 2026 at BUF VGK 2–3 0–12–20–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Mar 15, 2025 at BUF VGK 3–4 SO 1–01–11–2 7 6.5 O BUF
Jan 4, 2025 at VGK VGK 3–1 2–00–01–1 4 6.5 U VGK
Mar 2, 2024 at BUF VGK 2–7 0–12–20–4 9 — BUF
Dec 15, 2023 at VGK VGK 2–5 0–01–11–4 7 — BUF
Dec 19, 2022 at VGK VGK 2–3 0–00–32–0 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2022 at BUF VGK 7–4 1–12–14–2 11 — VGK
Mar 10, 2022 at BUF VGK 1–3 0–10–01–2 4 — BUF
Feb 1, 2022 at VGK VGK 5–2 2–02–11–1 7 — VGK
Feb 28, 2020 at VGK VGK 4–2 1–10–03–1 6 — VGK