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← Stats / NYI @ BUF

NYI @ BUF

Tuesday, March 31, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI +145 · BUF -175
Puck Line
NYI +1.5 (-165) · BUF -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NYIo6.5 44%
33-42
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
36%
14-25
40%
2-3
48%
35-38
BUFo6.5 46%
34-40
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
49%
18-19
40%
2-3
47%
34-39
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI+1.5 73%
55-20
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
72%
28-11
60%
3-2
-9.56u
38-35
BUF-1.5 42%
31-43
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
43%
16-21
40%
2-3
+7.12u
41-32
Moneyline
win %
 NYI dog +145 56%
42-33
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
21-18
40%
2-3
+16.28u
28-18
BUF fav -175 61%
45-29
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
62%
23-14
60%
3-2
+2.10u
23-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 NYI 24%
18-57
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
15%
6-33
0%
0-5
49%
37-38
 1.61 0.81 / 0.80
BUF 27%
20-54
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
27%
10-27
0%
0-5
57%
42-32
 1.95 1.00 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 NYI 31%
23-52
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
26%
10-29
20%
1-4
61%
46-29
 2.12 1.05 / 1.07
BUF 30%
22-52
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
35%
13-24
20%
1-4
53%
39-35
 2.08 1.22 / 0.86
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-166 NYI 28%
21-54
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
23%
9-30
40%
2-3
39%
29-46
 1.83 0.87 / 0.96
BUF 38%
28-46
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
41%
15-22
40%
2-3
43%
31-41
 2.20 1.18 / 1.03
Team Comparison '25-26
NYIBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)43-34-550-23-9
Points %55.5%66.5%
Goals for / game2.843.51
Goals against / game2.942.94
Shots for / game28.228.1
Shots against / game27.729.1
Power play %16.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %80.8%81.9%
Faceoff %52.7%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.821.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.061.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA0.85 / 1.001.23 / 1.01
Avg game total5.786.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
NYI · Ilya Sorokin
29 saves on 32 shots · 3 GA · L
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI0120281/3
BUF1030332/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brayden Schenn G 0.5
o+325
 19% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+260
 25% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+375
 19% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+700
 11% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+275
 20% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+140
 39% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+325
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+220
 26% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Marc Gatcomb G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ondrej Palat G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+500
 21% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Carson Soucy G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+500
 15% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Adam Boqvist G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 57% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 61% 60% 25%1/4 3 O
Brayden Schenn PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 43% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 35% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Calum Ritchie PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 30% 40% 25%1/4 3 O
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 53% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 27% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Calum Ritchie A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 24% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Schenn A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 22% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 12% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 35% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Emil Heineman SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 37% 50% 50%3/6 1 U
Brayden Schenn SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 43% 40% 100%4/4 1 U
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 30% 40%2/5 2 U
Bo Horvat SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 43% 30% 75%3/4 3 U
Matthew Schaefer SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 23% 30% 0%0/2 4 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 50% 67%2/3 29 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+300
 20% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+650
 11% 30% 0%0/8 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+170
 37% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+120
 45% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+220
 18% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 18% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 33% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 11% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 22% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+375
 14% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1200
 13% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 15% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+800
 14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 61% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 49% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 41% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 56% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 24% 10% 0%0/5 2 O
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 31% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 35% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 31% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 42% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 35% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 10% 25%1/4 2 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 27% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 58% 70% 25%1/4 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 39% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 40% 40%2/5 3 U
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 49% 40% 75%3/4 4 O
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 32% 30% 20%1/5 7 O
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 35% 20% 25%1/4 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 59% 70% 100%1/1 25 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 24, 2026 at NYI BUF 5–0 0–02–03–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 20, 2025 at BUF BUF 3–2 SO 1–01–10–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 23, 2024 at NYI BUF 7–1 2–03–12–0 8 5.5 O BUF
Nov 30, 2024 at NYI BUF 0–3 0–00–20–1 3 5.5 U NYI
Nov 1, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–4 1–10–22–1 7 5.5 O NYI
Mar 14, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–0 0–03–01–0 4 — BUF
Oct 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Oct 14, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–21–01–1 5 — NYI
Mar 25, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 — BUF
Mar 7, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 — NYI