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PIT @ TBL

Thursday, April 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +135 · TBL -160
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-185) · TBL -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 55%
41-34
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
54%
20-17
60%
3-2
57%
42-32
TBLo6.5 47%
35-39
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
43%
16-21
60%
3-2
54%
40-34
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 81%
61-14
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
87%
32-5
60%
3-2
+0.26u
43-31
TBL-1.5 45%
33-41
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
38%
14-23
40%
2-3
+3.66u
37-37
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +135 51%
38-37
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
54%
20-17
20%
1-4
+5.69u
23-23
TBL fav -160 62%
46-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
62%
23-14
80%
4-1
-1.74u
38-24
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 PIT 31%
23-52
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
27%
10-27
20%
1-4
59%
44-31
 1.93 1.09 / 0.84
TBL 28%
21-53
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
24%
9-28
20%
1-4
55%
41-33
 1.97 1.03 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 PIT 35%
26-49
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
24%
9-28
20%
1-4
59%
44-31
 2.13 1.12 / 1.01
TBL 32%
24-50
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
32%
12-25
20%
1-4
58%
43-31
 2.07 1.24 / 0.82
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+116/u-148 PIT 37%
28-47
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
13-24
40%
2-3
41%
31-44
 2.31 1.20 / 1.11
TBL 35%
26-48
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
13-24
40%
2-3
45%
33-41
 2.18 1.23 / 0.95
Team Comparison '25-26
PITTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)41-25-1650-26-6
Points %59.8%64.6%
Goals for / game3.573.54
Goals against / game3.272.82
Shots for / game28.628.1
Shots against / game27.426.7
Power play %24.1%20.7%
Penalty kill %81.4%82.6%
Faceoff %48.2%47.3%
1st period GF / GA1.13 / 0.830.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.091.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.161.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.846.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 32 shots · 5 GA · L
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT2010241/4
TBL1320330/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+425
 16% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+225
 33% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+275
 33% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+210
 36% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+575
 16% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Egor Chinakhov G 0.5
o+240
 27% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Elmer Soderblom G 0.5
o+650
 8% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+260
 26% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+195
 37% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+425
 20% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1600
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+450
 23% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+400
 19% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Samuel Girard G 0.5
o+1400
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+575
 16% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 90% 40%2/5 1 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 90% 50%2/4 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 68% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 73% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 56% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Egor Chinakhov PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-145
 41% 60% 25%1/4 2 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 39% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 52% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 43% 70% 20%1/5 1 O
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 59% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Egor Chinakhov A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 20% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 36% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 32% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 45% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Ben Kindel SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 47% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Egor Chinakhov SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 38% 50% 0%0/4 4 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 48% 30% 50%2/4 3 O
Stuart Skinner SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 37% 50% 50%1/2 27 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+140
 41% 70% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 26% 40% 60%3/5 3 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+110
 46% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+350
 25% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Corey Perry G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 15% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+425
 14% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+185
 27% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 10% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+375
 14% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 10% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 69% 80% 60%3/5 2 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 57% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 33% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 40% 60%3/5 3 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 57% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 40% 60%3/5 3 O
Corey Perry PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 66% 80% 60%3/5 2 O
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 23% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Corey Perry A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 57% 70% 20%1/5 2 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 60% 60%3/5 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 47% 50% 60%3/5 7 O
Gage Goncalves SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 29% 50% 20%1/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 34% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 34% 30% 67%2/3 3 O
Corey Perry SOG 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 44% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 44% 40% 33%1/3 21 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 13, 2026 at PIT TBL 2–1 SO 0–00–01–1 3 6.5 U TBL
Dec 4, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–4 0–11–22–1 7 6.5 O PIT
Mar 25, 2025 at TBL TBL 6–1 4–02–00–1 7 6.5 O TBL
Jan 12, 2025 at PIT TBL 5–2 0–12–03–1 7 6.5 O TBL
Nov 19, 2024 at PIT TBL 3–2 OT 0–10–12–0 5 6.5 U TBL
Apr 6, 2024 at PIT TBL 4–5 0–11–33–1 9 — PIT
Dec 6, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–1 1–02–00–1 4 — TBL
Nov 30, 2023 at TBL TBL 2–4 2–00–20–2 6 — PIT
Mar 2, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–5 OT 1–01–32–1 9 — PIT
Feb 26, 2023 at PIT TBL 3–7 2–10–61–0 10 — PIT