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TBL @ BOS

Saturday, April 11, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
2 – 1
FINAL
Boston Bruins
45-27-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -120 · BOS +100
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+180) · BOS +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · BOS +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 61%
48-31
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
25-15
57%
4-3
53%
42-37
BOSo5.5 60%
47-32
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
59%
23-16
57%
4-3
56%
44-35
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 44%
35-44
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
48%
19-21
43%
3-4
+3.36u
39-40
BOS+1.5 76%
60-19
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
80%
31-8
57%
4-3
+11.93u
51-28
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -120 61%
48-31
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
23-17
71%
5-2
-2.54u
40-26
BOS dog +100 54%
43-36
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
72%
28-11
29%
2-5
+8.96u
27-26
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 TBL 84%
66-13
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
88%
35-5
57%
4-3
54%
43-36
 1.92 0.99 / 0.94
BOS 84%
66-13
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
85%
33-6
57%
4-3
61%
48-31
 1.82 0.96 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 TBL 89%
70-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
36-4
100%
7-0
58%
46-33
 2.05 1.23 / 0.82
BOS 87%
69-10
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
90%
35-4
100%
7-0
61%
48-31
 2.05 1.03 / 1.03
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 TBL 92%
73-6
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
37-3
86%
6-1
46%
36-43
 2.23 1.24 / 0.99
BOS 87%
69-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
87%
34-5
86%
6-1
49%
39-40
 2.30 1.20 / 1.10
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLBOS
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-645-27-10
Points %64.6%61.0%
Goals for / game3.543.32
Goals against / game2.823.05
Shots for / game28.127.0
Shots against / game26.729.7
Power play %20.7%23.4%
Penalty kill %82.6%77.0%
Faceoff %47.3%53.1%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.99 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.01 / 0.99
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.17 / 1.10
Avg game total6.356.37
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 21 shots · 1 GA · W
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0020240/1
BOS0100210/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+135
 39% 60% 0%0/7 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+150
 42% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+115
 47% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Corey Perry G 0.5
o+350
 22% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 26% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+200
 26% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+525
 15% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 13% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 10% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% — 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 29%2/7 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+375
 13% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 68% 80% 43%3/7 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 58% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 53% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 10% 57%4/7 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 66% 70% 57%4/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 47% 60% 43%3/7 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 49% 80% 43%3/7 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+120
 58% 60% 83%5/6 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 50% 71%5/7 2 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 34% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 30% 29%2/7 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 30% 33%2/6 20 U
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+230
 29% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+275
 23% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+230
 31% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+150
 31% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Charlie McAvoy G 0.5
o+500
 15% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+375
 22% 20% 29%2/7 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+525
 16% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Hampus Lindholm G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+575
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+210
 36% 10% 29%2/7 1 O
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+375
 18% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Sean Kuraly G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Tanner Jeannot G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+800
 10% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Jonathan Aspirot G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 63% 80% 50%3/6 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 60% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Charlie McAvoy PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 67% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-170
 39% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 49% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Hampus Lindholm PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 28% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 80% 57%4/7 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 41% 60% 50%3/6 0 U
Charlie McAvoy A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 36% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 28% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 30% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Hampus Lindholm A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 23% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 47% 80% 83%5/6 1 U
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 50% 75%3/4 4 O
Morgan Geekie SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 50% 57%4/7 2 O
Pavel Zacha SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 40% 33%2/6 2 O
Charlie McAvoy SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 49% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 30% 71%5/7 2 U
Jeremy Swayman SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 50% 83%5/6 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 4, 2026 at TBL BOS 1–3 0–01–00–3 4 6.5 U TBL
Feb 1, 2026 at TBL BOS 5–6 SO 3–12–30–1 11 5.5 O TBL
Oct 13, 2025 at BOS BOS 3–4 0–23–20–0 7 6.5 O TBL
Mar 15, 2025 at BOS BOS 2–6 1–10–31–2 8 5.5 O TBL
Mar 8, 2025 at TBL BOS 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 5.5 U BOS
Jan 14, 2025 at BOS BOS 6–2 2–02–22–0 8 5.5 O BOS
Jan 9, 2025 at TBL BOS 1–4 0–00–21–2 5 6 U TBL
Mar 27, 2024 at TBL BOS 1–3 1–10–10–1 4 — TBL
Feb 13, 2024 at BOS BOS 2–3 SO 0–12–10–0 5 — TBL
Jan 6, 2024 at BOS BOS 7–3 2–12–23–0 10 — BOS