BUF @ MTL
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +120 · MTL -140
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-210) · MTL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · MTL -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | BUF | o5.5 | 62% 56-35 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 60% 27-18 | 100% 11-0 | 49% 44-46 |
| MTL | o5.5 | 62% 57-35 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 60% 27-18 | 100% 11-0 | 53% 48-43 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 75% 68-23 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 71% 32-13 | 36% 4-7 | +9.03u 50-40 |
| MTL | -1.5 | 29% 27-65 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 33% 15-30 | 64% 7-4 | +1.93u 54-37 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | +120 | 60% 55-36 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 60% 27-18 | 27% 3-8 | +11.73u 25-18 |
| MTL fav | -140 | 59% 54-38 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 26-19 | 73% 8-3 | -1.91u 23-18 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 | BUF | 57% 52-39 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 62% 28-17 | 73% 8-3 | 57% 52-39 | 1.93 | 1.03 / 0.90 |
| MTL | 57% 52-40 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 62% 28-17 | 73% 8-3 | 57% 52-40 | 1.73 | 0.91 / 0.82 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 | BUF | 65% 59-32 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 64% 29-16 | 82% 9-2 | 53% 48-43 | 2.01 | 1.10 / 0.91 |
| MTL | 72% 66-26 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 78% 35-10 | 82% 9-2 | 65% 60-32 | 2.29 | 1.18 / 1.11 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 | BUF | 40% 36-55 | 0% 0-5 | 30% 3-7 | 38% 17-28 | 27% 3-8 | 44% 39-49 | 2.24 | 1.24 / 1.00 |
| MTL | 36% 33-59 | 0% 0-5 | 0% 0-10 | 31% 14-31 | 27% 3-8 | 41% 37-54 | 2.09 | 1.12 / 0.97 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 7-4-2 | 9-6-4 |
| Points % | 61.5% | 57.9% |
| Goals for / game | 3.31 | 2.84 |
| Goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.95 |
| Shots for / game | 30.5 | 23.2 |
| Shots against / game | 26.7 | 29.9 |
| Power play % | 20.4% | 23.1% |
| Penalty kill % | 76.2% | 78.1% |
| Faceoff % | 45.6% | 53.5% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.08 | 1.26 / 1.11 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.77 / 1.08 | 0.79 / 1.05 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.31 / 0.69 | 0.63 / 0.58 |
| Avg game total | 6.31 | 5.79 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
MTL · Jakub Dobes
19 saves on 22 shots · 3 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 2/4 |
| MTL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1/7 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+185 |
39% | 50% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+550 |
15% | 40% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+275 |
20% | 40% | 18%2/11 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+160 |
41% | 30% | 36%4/11 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+525 |
16% | 20% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/10 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+375 |
21% | 20% | 30%3/10 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+400 |
15% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 10% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
9% | 10% | 10%1/10 | 0 U |
| Luke Schenn | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+425 |
28% | 0% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+325 |
18% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
9% | 0% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | G | 0.5 o+500 |
11% | — | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
64% | 60% | 46%5/11 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
66% | 60% | 55%6/11 | 2 O |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
56% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
61% | 50% | 70%7/10 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
42% | 50% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
48% | 50% | 63%5/8 | 2 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
33% | 50% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
50% | 50% | 46%5/11 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
42% | 40% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
48% | 30% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
39% | 30% | 20%2/10 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
44% | 30% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
45% | 20% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-325 |
22% | — | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
41% | 50% | 36%4/11 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
31% | 50% | 50%4/8 | 2 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
27% | 50% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
50% | 40% | 60%6/10 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
32% | 40% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
35% | 30% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
33% | 30% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
35% | 30% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
27% | 20% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
36% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
39% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
32% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
28% | 10% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | A | 0.5 o+425 / u-700 |
22% | — | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
42% | 70% | 27%3/11 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
42% | 60% | 36%4/11 | 4 O |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
54% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | SOG | 0.5 o-220 / u+165 |
69% | 60% | 46%5/11 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o+125 / u-170 |
54% | 50% | 44%4/9 | 1 U |
| Owen Power | SOG | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
71% | 50% | 55%6/11 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
51% | 50% | 64%7/11 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+110 / u-150 |
44% | 40% | 18%2/11 | 2 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
39% | 40% | 63%5/8 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | SOG | 1.5 o+170 / u-230 |
33% | 30% | 30%3/10 | 2 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
34% | 30% | 18%2/11 | 3 O |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 24.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 29 O |
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+400 |
23% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+185 |
30% | 30% | 55%6/11 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+275 |
27% | 30% | 38%3/8 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+450 |
17% | 20% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+475 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+145 |
43% | 20% | 64%7/11 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+475 |
15% | 20% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+425 |
15% | 20% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+180 |
30% | 20% | 46%5/11 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
9% | 10% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
8% | 10% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+600 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+525 |
15% | 0% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+800 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/10 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+700 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/10 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/10 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 0% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+155 |
67% | 80% | 82%9/11 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
31% | 50% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
27% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
31% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
36% | 40% | 57%4/7 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+130 |
66% | 40% | 73%8/11 | 1 O |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
44% | 40% | 50%4/8 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
27% | 40% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
22% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
33% | 30% | 50%5/10 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
55% | 30% | 64%7/11 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
53% | 30% | 57%4/7 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
36% | 20% | 46%5/11 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
42% | 20% | 40%4/10 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 1.5 o+180 / u-250 |
33% | 10% | 64%7/11 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
58% | 60% | 73%8/11 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
62% | 50% | 82%9/11 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
25% | 40% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
15% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-550 |
18% | 30% | 30%3/10 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
21% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
41% | 30% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-600 |
22% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
42% | 30% | 43%3/7 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
12% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
32% | 20% | 40%4/10 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
31% | 10% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+500 / u-800 |
17% | 10% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
23% | 10% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
40% | 10% | 36%4/11 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-110 |
49% | 60% | 55%6/11 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
36% | 50% | 64%7/11 | 2 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
40% | 50% | 75%6/8 | 5 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
46% | 50% | 57%4/7 | 2 O |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+130 / u-170 |
48% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 3 O |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+130 / u-175 |
35% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 3 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
58% | 40% | 60%6/10 | 2 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | SOG | 1.5 o+180 / u-250 |
40% | 40% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-125 |
36% | 40% | 46%5/11 | 5 O |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o+150 / u-200 |
41% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 2 O |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u+115 |
60% | 20% | 36%4/11 | 5 O |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 25.5 o-120 / u-110 |
52% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 19 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | at MTL | MTL 6–2 | 1–1 | 3–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 8, 2026 | at BUF | MTL 5–1 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 6, 2026 | at BUF | MTL 2–4 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–0 | 6 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Jan 31, 2026 | at BUF | MTL 4–2 | 1–0 | 0–2 | 3–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | MTL 2–4 | 0–2 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | MTL 3–5 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 4–2 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 4–3 OT | 3–0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | MTL 4–2 | 0–0 | 3–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 6–1 | 2–0 | 4–1 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |