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WSH @ TBL

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Washington Capitals
5-4-0 · Away
1 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
WSH +160 · TBL -190
Puck Line
WSH +1.5 (-145) · TBL -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 WSHo6.5 42%
34-48
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
46%
19-22
33%
1-2
49%
40-41
TBLo6.5 46%
38-44
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
44%
18-23
33%
1-2
52%
43-39
Puck Line
cover %
 WSH+1.5 73%
60-22
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
66%
27-14
67%
2-1
+9.07u
44-37
TBL-1.5 43%
35-47
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
39%
16-25
33%
1-2
+0.36u
39-43
Moneyline
win %
 WSH dog +160 52%
43-39
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
44%
18-23
33%
1-2
-1.44u
13-17
TBL fav -190 61%
50-32
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
63%
26-15
67%
2-1
-2.21u
42-27
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-158/u+124 WSH 43%
35-47
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
49%
20-21
67%
2-1
43%
35-47
 1.59 0.83 / 0.76
TBL 54%
44-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
54%
22-19
67%
2-1
54%
44-38
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 WSH 62%
51-31
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
63%
26-15
0%
0-3
60%
49-33
 2.09 1.06 / 1.02
TBL 63%
52-30
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
68%
28-13
0%
0-3
59%
48-34
 2.06 1.22 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 WSH 37%
30-52
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
39%
16-25
0%
0-3
50%
41-41
 2.33 1.24 / 1.09
TBL 35%
29-53
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
37%
15-26
0%
0-3
44%
36-45
 2.21 1.23 / 0.98
Team Comparison '26-27
WSHTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)5-4-07-2-0
Points %55.6%77.8%
Goals for / game3.333.44
Goals against / game3.222.56
Shots for / game26.829.8
Shots against / game29.224.2
Power play %20.0%12.9%
Penalty kill %80.0%79.2%
Faceoff %50.7%48.8%
1st period GF / GA1.44 / 1.221.22 / 0.89
2nd period GF / GA1.33 / 0.781.11 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA0.56 / 1.221.00 / 0.44
Avg game total6.566.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · L
20 saves on 21 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
WSH0100210/2
TBL2010300/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+230
 38% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+325
 23% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+275
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+475
 28% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Boone Jenner G 0.5
o+800
 19% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Cole Hutson G 0.5
o+600
 21% 30% — 0 U
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+210
 29% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+900
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+400
 32% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou G 0.5
o+350
 24% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% — 0 U
Timothy Liljegren G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+900
 15% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Vincent Desharnais G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ilya Protas G 0.5
o+525
 25% — — 0 U
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 60% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan Leonard PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 48% 80% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 65% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Jordan Kyrou PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 53% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 38% 60% — 0 U
Cole Hutson PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 57% 60% — 0 U
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-125
 50% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 53% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Ilya Protas PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 50% — — 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 40% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 35% 60% — 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 35% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 33% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 33% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+425 / u-650
 30% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Leonard A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 29% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 35% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Cole Hutson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 36% 30% — 0 U
Ilya Protas A 0.5
o+375 / u-575
 50% — — 0 U
Ryan Leonard SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 68% 100% 33%1/3 3 O
Alex Ovechkin SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-125
 62% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 74% 80% 100%1/1 1 U
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 65% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Cole Hutson SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 50% 60% — 1 U
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 63% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 50% 75%3/4 2 U
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 50% 50% 100%3/3 1 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 49% 20% 67%2/3 2 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 35% 20% — 1 U
Charlie Lindgren SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 40% 40% — 27 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+120
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 40% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+110
 42% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Ilya Mikheyev G 0.5
o+425
 18% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+325
 17% 20% — 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+260
 25% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+400
 16% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+175
 25% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jeffrey Viel G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% — 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+500
 7% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+850
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+350
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+120
 69% 70% 100%3/3 3 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 58% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 57% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 55% 30% — 1 O
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 34% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 42% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+120 / u-155
 53% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 41% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 24% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+230 / u-400
 42% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 45% 10% — 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 31% 0% 100%2/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 60% 0%0/3 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 48% 60% 0%0/3 2 U
John Carlson SOG 2.5
o-145 / u-125
 39% 50% — 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-150 / u-105
 47% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 50% 100%3/3 6 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Gage Goncalves SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 27% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 30% 100%2/2 20 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 22, 2025 at WSH TBL 5–3 4–10–11–1 8 6.5 O TBL
Nov 8, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–2 2–10–11–0 5 5.5 U TBL
Oct 14, 2025 at WSH TBL 2–3 OT 1–00–11–1 5 5.5 U WSH
Mar 1, 2025 at WSH TBL 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Nov 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–5 2–01–21–3 9 6.5 O WSH
Oct 26, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–0 0–01–02–0 3 6.5 U TBL
Apr 13, 2024 at WSH TBL 2–4 2–20–00–2 6 — WSH
Feb 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–21–12–2 8 — WSH
Dec 23, 2023 at WSH TBL 2–1 SO 1–00–10–0 3 — TBL
Mar 30, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–1 2–00–13–0 6 — TBL