← Stats / MIN @ BUF

MIN @ BUF

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Minnesota Wild
6-2-2 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL / OT
Buffalo Sabres
4-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MIN -110 · BUF -110
Puck Line
MIN +1.5 (-300) · BUF -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MINo6.5 51%
42-40
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
50%
1-1
54%
43-37
BUFo6.5 46%
38-44
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
49%
20-21
50%
1-1
47%
38-43
Puck Line
cover %
 MIN+1.5 77%
63-19
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
76%
31-10
100%
2-0
-6.36u
41-39
BUF-1.5 43%
35-47
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
18-23
0%
0-2
+9.75u
46-35
Moneyline
win %
 MIN dog -110 56%
46-36
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
23-18
50%
1-1
+11.18u
22-14
BUF dog -110 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
50%
1-1
+10.78u
23-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 MIN 81%
66-16
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
76%
31-10
100%
2-0
51%
42-40
 1.72 0.91 / 0.80
BUF 92%
75-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
38-3
100%
2-0
57%
47-35
 1.96 1.02 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 MIN 92%
75-7
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
93%
38-3
50%
1-1
60%
49-33
 1.98 1.10 / 0.88
BUF 90%
74-8
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
93%
38-3
50%
1-1
52%
43-39
 2.04 1.16 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 MIN 90%
74-8
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
37-4
50%
1-1
53%
42-38
 2.22 1.12 / 1.10
BUF 88%
72-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
34-7
50%
1-1
46%
36-43
 2.24 1.23 / 1.01
Team Comparison '26-27
MINBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)6-2-24-4-2
Points %70.0%50.0%
Goals for / game3.102.80
Goals against / game2.503.70
Shots for / game29.826.9
Shots against / game26.125.7
Power play %29.0%11.1%
Penalty kill %81.8%66.7%
Faceoff %52.1%47.2%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.800.80 / 1.50
2nd period GF / GA1.10 / 0.800.70 / 1.60
3rd period GF / GA0.70 / 0.701.10 / 0.40
Avg game total5.606.50
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · OTL
18 saves on 20 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MIN0200201/4
BUF0021280/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+110
 47% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+260
 26% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Blake Coleman G 0.5
o+260
 26% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+125
 45% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Nick Foligno G 0.5
o+575
 7% 20% — 0 U
Marcus Foligno G 0.5
o+600
 11% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Michael McCarron G 0.5
o+700
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+210
 26% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+350
 10% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+400
 15% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov G 0.5
o+425
 9% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Olli Maatta G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+450
 21% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Daemon Hunt G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 51% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Quinn Hughes PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 64% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Blake Coleman PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 41% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+185 / u-250
 31% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 65% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 34% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 61% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 37% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+375 / u-575
 22% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 27% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Blake Coleman A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 19% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-120 / u-150
 41% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Blake Coleman SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-180
 51% 60% 50%1/2 1 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-145 / u-120
 59% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 60% 100%1/1 7 O
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 50% 100%2/2 1 U
Yakov Trenin SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 40% 50%1/2 3 U
Maxim Shabanov SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 41% 30% 0%0/1 2 O
Jesper Wallstedt SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 70% 50% — 25 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+220
 20% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 21% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 43% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+300
 25% 30% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 25% 30% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+525
 16% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 15% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+250
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+475
 11% 20% — 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+500
 9% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Louis Crevier G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 24% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+325
 15% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Olen Zellweger G 0.5
o+850
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Justin Danforth G 0.5
o+700
 0% — — 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 61% 80% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 62% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 67% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 51% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 48% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 41% 50% — 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+130 / u-260
 37% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o-115 / u-195
 40% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-165 / u-115
 52% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 41% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 23% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 35% 70% 50%1/2 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 60% 50%1/2 3 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 52% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 50% 100%2/2 9 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod SOG 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+110
 55% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Colten Ellis SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 64% 60% 0%0/1 18 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 17, 2026 at BUF BUF 4–5 OT 1–23–20–0 9 6.5 O MIN
Nov 29, 2025 at MIN BUF 3–2 SO 1–20–01–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Mar 22, 2025 at MIN BUF 1–4 0–00–31–1 5 5.5 U MIN
Nov 27, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–1 0–10–00–0 1 5.5 U MIN
Feb 17, 2024 at MIN BUF 3–2 OT 0–00–02–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 1–11–01–1 5 — BUF
Jan 28, 2023 at MIN BUF 2–3 SO 1–11–10–0 5 — MIN
Jan 7, 2023 at BUF BUF 6–5 OT 1–03–31–2 11 — BUF
Mar 4, 2022 at BUF BUF 5–4 1–11–03–3 9 — BUF
Dec 16, 2021 at MIN BUF 3–2 SO 0–11–11–0 5 — BUF