← Stats / DAL @ BUF

DAL @ BUF

Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Dallas Stars
5-3-1 · Away
4 – 0
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
4-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
DAL -120 · BUF +100
Puck Line
DAL -1.5 (+180) · BUF +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 DALo5.5 54%
44-38
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
50%
1-1
49%
40-41
BUFo5.5 61%
50-32
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
61%
25-16
50%
1-1
47%
38-43
Puck Line
cover %
 DAL-1.5 27%
22-60
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
27%
11-30
0%
0-2
-19.48u
31-50
BUF+1.5 76%
62-20
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
81%
33-8
100%
2-0
+9.75u
46-35
Moneyline
win %
 DAL fav -120 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
59%
24-17
50%
1-1
+0.67u
39-24
BUF dog +100 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
50%
1-1
+10.78u
23-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 DAL 78%
64-18
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
81%
33-8
100%
2-0
51%
42-40
 1.62 0.88 / 0.74
BUF 92%
75-7
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
93%
38-3
100%
2-0
57%
47-35
 1.96 1.02 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-182/u+144 DAL 84%
69-13
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
81%
33-8
100%
2-0
63%
52-30
 2.05 1.22 / 0.83
BUF 90%
74-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
38-3
100%
2-0
52%
43-39
 2.04 1.16 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+150/u-196 DAL 87%
71-11
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
85%
35-6
50%
1-1
57%
46-35
 2.20 1.16 / 1.04
BUF 88%
72-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
34-7
50%
1-1
46%
36-43
 2.24 1.23 / 1.01
Team Comparison '26-27
DALBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)5-3-14-4-2
Points %61.1%50.0%
Goals for / game2.562.80
Goals against / game1.673.70
Shots for / game25.426.9
Shots against / game22.325.7
Power play %17.4%11.1%
Penalty kill %90.6%66.7%
Faceoff %56.3%47.2%
1st period GF / GA0.44 / 0.560.80 / 1.50
2nd period GF / GA1.11 / 0.560.70 / 1.60
3rd period GF / GA0.78 / 0.441.10 / 0.40
Avg game total4.226.50
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 26 shots · 0 GA · W
14 saves on 18 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
DAL1300181/2
BUF0000260/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
DALPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Robertson G 0.5
o+130
 45% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston G 0.5
o+165
 45% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+195
 33% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Miro Heiskanen G 0.5
o+500
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Justin Hryckowian G 0.5
o+450
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Arttu Hyry G 0.5
o+525
 15% 20% — 0 U
Jamie Benn G 0.5
o+375
 22% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Colin Blackwell G 0.5
o+650
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Esa Lindell G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Roope Hintz G 0.5
o+210
 28% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Sam Steel G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Tyler Myers G 0.5
o+1000
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyler Seguin G 0.5
o+325
 26% 0% — 0 U
Radek Faksa G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Oskar Bäck G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nils Lundkvist G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Harley G 0.5
o+600
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Lian Bichsel G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mikko Rantanen PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 75% 60% 0%0/2 4 O
Roope Hintz PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 62% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Miro Heiskanen PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Jason Robertson PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 68% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Tyler Seguin PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 48% 30% — 0 U
Thomas Harley PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 41% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Esa Lindell PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 64% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Roope Hintz A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Miro Heiskanen A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 51% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Tyler Seguin A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 26% 30% — 0 U
Jason Robertson A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Thomas Harley A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 37% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 38% 30% 0%0/2 3 O
Esa Lindell A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Wyatt Johnston SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 60% 0%0/2 1 U
Roope Hintz SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 68% 50% 0%0/1 6 O
Jason Robertson SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
 46% 50% 50%1/2 4 O
Thomas Harley SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Tyler Seguin SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 33% 30% — 0 U
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 30% 0%0/2 2 U
Miro Heiskanen SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 58% 30% 100%1/1 1 U
Jake Oettinger SV 21.5
o-125 / u-105
 63% 40% 0%0/1 26 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 43% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+250
 20% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+350
 25% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 21% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 25% 30% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+350
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+260
 19% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Louis Crevier G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+350
 24% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% — 0 U
Olen Zellweger G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Justin Danforth G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 61% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 70% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 67% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 32% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 51% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 45% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 25% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 37% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 23% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 60% 100%1/1 6 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 48% 60% 100%1/1 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 35% 60% 50%1/2 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 52% 60% 50%1/2 4 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 21.5
o-120 / u-110
 65% 50% 100%1/1 14 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 15, 2026 at BUF BUF 3–4 SO 1–12–20–0 7 6.5 O DAL
Dec 31, 2025 at DAL BUF 4–1 0–12–02–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Dec 31, 2024 at DAL BUF 2–4 0–01–11–3 6 6 P DAL
Oct 22, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–2 0–02–02–2 6 6 P BUF
Apr 9, 2024 at DAL BUF 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — DAL
Feb 6, 2024 at BUF BUF 1–2 0–11–10–0 3 — DAL
Mar 9, 2023 at BUF BUF 4–10 1–31–22–5 14 — DAL
Jan 23, 2023 at DAL BUF 3–2 OT 1–10–01–1 5 — BUF
Feb 27, 2022 at DAL BUF 2–4 0–11–21–1 6 — DAL
Jan 20, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–5 2–12–20–2 9 — DAL