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TBL @ NYI

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · Away
5 – 3
FINAL
New York Islanders
5-3-1 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -170 · NYI +140
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+140) · NYI +1.5 (-185)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · NYI +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 61%
50-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
25-16
0%
0-3
52%
43-39
NYIo5.5 50%
41-41
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
54%
22-19
0%
0-3
48%
38-42
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 43%
35-47
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
46%
19-22
0%
0-3
+0.36u
39-43
NYI+1.5 72%
59-23
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
71%
29-12
100%
3-0
-11.36u
41-39
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -170 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
59%
24-17
0%
0-3
-2.21u
42-27
NYI dog +140 52%
43-39
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
54%
22-19
100%
3-0
+13.28u
28-21
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-110/u-116 TBL 54%
44-38
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
22-19
33%
1-2
54%
44-38
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
NYI 49%
40-42
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
59%
24-17
33%
1-2
49%
40-42
 1.60 0.78 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 TBL 63%
52-30
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
59%
24-17
0%
0-3
59%
48-34
 2.06 1.22 / 0.84
NYI 62%
51-31
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
54%
22-19
0%
0-3
61%
50-32
 2.10 1.04 / 1.06
3rd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 65%
53-29
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
63%
26-15
67%
2-1
44%
36-45
 2.21 1.23 / 0.98
NYI 59%
48-34
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
23-18
67%
2-1
37%
30-52
 1.85 0.85 / 1.00
Team Comparison '26-27
TBLNYI
Record (W-L-OTL)7-2-05-3-1
Points %77.8%61.1%
Goals for / game3.443.00
Goals against / game2.562.22
Shots for / game29.824.9
Shots against / game24.225.3
Power play %12.9%17.9%
Penalty kill %79.2%87.5%
Faceoff %48.8%53.8%
1st period GF / GA1.22 / 0.890.89 / 0.67
2nd period GF / GA1.11 / 1.221.22 / 0.67
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 0.440.89 / 0.78
Avg game total6.005.22
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · W
21 saves on 25 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL2120261/4
NYI0300231/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+130
 42% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 46% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+140
 40% 30% 0%0/3 2 O
Ilya Mikheyev G 0.5
o+375
 18% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+500
 7% 20% — 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+180
 25% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% — 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+850
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+400
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 13% 0% — 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+475
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+650
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+375
 12% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 58% 70% 0%0/3 4 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 69% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 57% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 55% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 53% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 34% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 47% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o-115 / u-175
 41% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
John Carlson A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 45% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 31% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 100% 33%1/3 6 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+145
 61% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Ilya Mikheyev SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-155
 51% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 57% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 47% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 30% 100%1/1 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 20% 0%0/1 20 U
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+165
 37% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+350
 24% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Schenn G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+550
 11% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+450
 22% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+400
 20% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Kyle Palmieri G 0.5
o+260
 24% 10% — 0 U
Ondrej Palat G 0.5
o+700
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+425
 22% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+350
 23% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1200
 12% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+375
 18% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Eklund G 0.5
o+450
 0% — — 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 59% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 42% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Kyle Palmieri PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 60% 30% — 0 U
Brayden Schenn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Tony DeAngelo PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 10% 67%2/3 2 O
Victor Eklund PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 100% — — 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 28% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Kyle Palmieri A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 44% 30% — 0 U
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 39% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Brayden Schenn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 29% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Tony DeAngelo A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 33% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
Victor Eklund A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 100% — — 0 U
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 60% 33%1/3 8 O
Kyle Palmieri SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 56% 50% — 0 U
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 50% 50%1/2 3 O
Brayden Schenn SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 20% 0%0/3 2 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 40% 100%3/3 21 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 13, 2025 at NYI NYI 3–2 SO 2–00–10–1 5 5.5 U NYI
Dec 6, 2025 at TBL NYI 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 6.5 U NYI
Dec 2, 2025 at NYI NYI 2–1 0–01–01–1 3 5.5 U NYI
Apr 1, 2025 at NYI NYI 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 6.5 U TBL
Mar 29, 2025 at TBL NYI 3–5 0–30–13–1 8 5.5 O TBL
Feb 1, 2025 at TBL NYI 3–2 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U NYI
Mar 30, 2024 at TBL NYI 1–4 1–20–00–2 5 — TBL
Feb 24, 2024 at NYI NYI 2–4 0–20–12–1 6 — TBL
Feb 8, 2024 at NYI NYI 6–2 3–13–10–0 8 — NYI
Apr 6, 2023 at NYI NYI 6–1 0–04–12–0 7 — NYI