← Stats / PHI @ BUF

PHI @ BUF

Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT · KeyBank Center

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Philadelphia Flyers
3-6-3 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
4-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PHI +165 · BUF -200
Puck Line
PHI +1.5 (-145) · BUF -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 PHIo5.5 18%
2-9
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
20%
1-4
100%
3-0
18%
2-9
BUFo5.5 67%
6-3
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
40%
2-3
100%
3-0
67%
6-3
Puck Line
cover %
 PHI+1.5 64%
7-4
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
-1.76u
6-5
BUF-1.5 11%
1-8
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
20%
1-4
67%
2-1
-1.58u
4-5
Moneyline
win %
 PHI dog +165 18%
2-9
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
0%
0-5
33%
1-2
-3.85u
2-7
BUF fav -200 44%
4-5
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
+0.30u
2-1
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-118/u-108 PHI 0%
0-11
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
0%
0-5
33%
1-2
18%
2-9
 1.00 0.36 / 0.64
BUF 56%
5-4
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
78%
7-2
 2.33 0.89 / 1.44
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-174/u+134 PHI 27%
3-8
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
0%
0-5
100%
3-0
46%
5-6
 1.82 0.64 / 1.18
BUF 44%
4-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
40%
2-3
100%
3-0
100%
9-0
 2.44 0.67 / 1.78
3rd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 PHI 9%
1-10
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
20%
1-4
33%
1-2
27%
3-8
 1.73 0.55 / 1.18
BUF 0%
0-9
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
0%
0-5
33%
1-2
0%
0-9
 1.56 1.22 / 0.33
Team Comparison '26-27
PHIBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)3-6-34-4-2
Points %37.5%50.0%
Goals for / game1.672.80
Goals against / game3.083.70
Shots for / game21.826.9
Shots against / game31.925.7
Power play %13.9%11.1%
Penalty kill %83.3%66.7%
Faceoff %50.7%47.2%
1st period GF / GA0.50 / 0.580.80 / 1.50
2nd period GF / GA0.58 / 1.170.70 / 1.60
3rd period GF / GA0.58 / 1.081.10 / 0.40
Avg game total4.756.50
Starting Goalies from the box score
PHI · Dan Vladar
27 saves on 28 shots · 1 GA · W
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PHI2010261/5
BUF0100281/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+230
 46% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+300
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Trevor Zegras G 0.5
o+240
 18% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Alex Bump G 0.5
o+500
 29% 20% — 0 U
Porter Martone G 0.5
o+240
 18% 20% — 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+375
 9% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Bunting G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 DNP
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
David Jiricek G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/1 DNP
Denver Barkey G 0.5
o+300
 0% 0% — 0 U
Jacob Gaucher G 0.5
o+750
 0% — — 0 U
Cole Knuble G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 2 O
Oliver Bonk G 0.5
o+800
 0% — — 0 U
Trevor Zegras PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 46% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Christian Dvorak PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Denver Barkey PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% — 1 O
Travis Sanheim PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Porter Martone PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-150
 18% 20% — 0 U
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 0% 0% 67%2/3 1 O
Denver Barkey A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 38% 40% — 1 O
Trevor Zegras A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Travis Sanheim A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 9% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Porter Martone A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 9% 10% — 0 U
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 0% 0% 67%2/3 1 O
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Michael Bunting SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-175
 43% 40% 50%1/2 DNP
Trevor Zegras SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Christian Dvorak SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-115
 27% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Porter Martone SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 18% 20% — 1 U
Matvei Michkov SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 9% 10% 0%0/3 2 U
Dan Vladar SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 80% 50% 0%0/1 27 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 56% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+195
 44% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 32% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+300
 33% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 11% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+700
 22% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+600
 22% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+240
 22% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Louis Crevier G 0.5
o+800
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Olen Zellweger G 0.5
o+600
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 14% 10% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+210
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+350
 13% 10% — 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+550
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+450
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-260 / u+185
 67% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 56% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 56% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 33% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 22% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 43% 30% — 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-160
 22% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+140 / u-210
 56% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 33% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 29% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 44% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 22% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 20% — 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 22% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 11% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 11% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-135
 78% 80% 0%0/3 3 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 70% 50%1/2 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-145
 83% 60% 33%1/3 4 O
Noah Ostlund SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-120
 44% 50% 0%0/3 4 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 44% 40% 100%3/3 2 O
Zach Benson SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 43% 30% — 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 21.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 40% 0%0/1 23 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 14, 2026 at BUF BUF 5–2 2–02–11–1 7 6.5 O BUF
Dec 18, 2025 at BUF BUF 5–3 1–12–12–1 8 5.5 O BUF
Dec 3, 2025 at PHI BUF 2–5 1–31–20–0 7 6.5 O PHI
Apr 17, 2025 at BUF BUF 5–4 3–11–11–2 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 29, 2025 at PHI BUF 4–7 1–22–21–3 11 6.5 O PHI
Nov 16, 2024 at PHI BUF 2–5 0–20–22–1 7 6 O PHI
Apr 5, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–2 1–02–11–1 6 — BUF
Nov 3, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–5 0–30–11–1 6 — PHI
Nov 1, 2023 at PHI BUF 5–2 2–20–03–0 7 — BUF
Apr 1, 2023 at PHI BUF 6–3 1–14–11–1 9 — BUF