NHL Today
6:30 PM
EDM -140 15-3-3
PHI 5.5 6-10-6
7:00 PM
FLA 5.5 12-7-2
DAL -130 11-6-2
7:00 PM
CGY 6.5 9-10-1
ANA -150 10-9-1
8:00 PM
VAN 6.5 3-17-1
VGK -450 13-5-3
8:00 PM
NSH -170 11-4-5
SJS 6.5 9-11-2
← Models / Points Model — Pick History

Pick History

What's listed

Every over/under pick the points model made, at the Hard Rock line closest to even money, and how it graded. Live picks are the model's last prediction before puck drop. Backtest picks replay past seasons at Hard Rock's closing line, using only information from before each game.

Columns

  • Conf — the model's probability that the pick wins. Book — Hard Rock's de-vigged probability of the same side.
  • Units — result of a flat 1-unit bet at the listed price.

Tiers

Top, strong and lean are confidence bands; a toss-up is a player the model has almost no opinion on. The default view hides toss-ups.

Settlement

Overtime counts, shootouts don't, and a player who doesn't play is a void.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Record
20667-12503
0 void · 0 pending
Accuracy
62.3%
expected 62.2%
Book favorite, same picks
62.3%
always taking Hard Rock's favored side
Units
-1,634.44u
ROI -4.9% · flat 1u
DatePlayerGamePickTierPriceConfBook PointsResultUnits
2026-10-25 MTL @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 61.8% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-10-25 DAL vs NYI OVER 0.5 Strong -185 61.5% 60.9% 2 W +0.54
2026-10-25 VAN vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.3% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-25 FLA @ CHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -200 61.0% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-25 NYI @ DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.9% 58.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-25 NYI @ DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 60.9% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-25 VAN vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.5% 60.9% 0 W +0.54
2026-10-25 MTL @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 60.3% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-25 NYI @ DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 60.2% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-25 MIN @ VAN OVER 0.5 Lean -190 59.7% 61.1% 1 W +0.53
2026-10-25 CHI vs FLA OVER 0.5 Lean -170 59.5% 58.6% 1 W +0.59
2026-10-25 MTL @ WPG OVER 0.5 Lean -175 59.2% 59.4% 1 W +0.57
2026-10-25 MTL @ WPG OVER 0.5 Lean -170 59.0% 59.2% 1 W +0.59
2026-10-25 VAN vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 58.7% 59.2% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-25 NSH vs COL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 58.6% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-25 COL @ NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.5% 56.7% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-25 MTL @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Lean -130 58.3% 53.1% 0 W +0.77
2026-10-25 FLA @ CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -160 58.2% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-25 DAL vs NYI OVER 0.5 Lean -170 57.7% 58.6% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-25 COL @ NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 57.7% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-25 FLA @ CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.4% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-10-25 DAL vs NYI UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 56.6% 55.8% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-25 DAL vs NYI OVER 0.5 Lean -155 56.5% 56.7% 2 W +0.65
2026-10-25 COL @ NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 56.3% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-25 COL @ NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.0% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Top -275 71.1% 68.8% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Top -275 70.8% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-24 WSH vs BUF UNDER 0.5 Top -300 70.6% 70.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Top -300 70.3% 70.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA OVER 0.5 Top -260 69.7% 67.3% 1 W +0.39
2026-10-24 CBJ vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.5% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-24 NYR @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Top -260 69.1% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-24 EDM vs TOR UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.0% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR UNDER 1.5 Top -250 69.0% 67.1% 1 W +0.40
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Top -275 68.3% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Top -250 68.0% 66.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Top -250 67.8% 66.7% 0 W +0.40
2026-10-24 VGK @ CBJ UNDER 1.5 Top -230 67.7% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -240 67.2% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 1.5 Top -230 67.0% 65.3% 1 W +0.44
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL UNDER 0.5 Top -240 66.8% 66.0% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH OVER 0.5 Top -240 66.6% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK UNDER 1.5 Top -230 66.4% 64.9% 1 W +0.44
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -230 66.3% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL UNDER 1.5 Strong -220 65.8% 64.1% 1 W +0.46
2026-10-24 TOR @ EDM OVER 0.5 Strong -210 65.8% 63.3% 1 W +0.48
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.7% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.5% 64.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 65.4% 65.6% 0 W +0.42
2026-10-24 TOR @ EDM UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 65.4% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.3% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA UNDER 1.5 Strong -200 65.3% 62.0% 1 W +0.50
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL OVER 0.5 Strong -210 65.1% 63.3% 1 W +0.48
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.1% 64.6% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.1% 64.1% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 EDM vs TOR UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 65.0% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 65.0% 63.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NYR @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 64.8% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 1.5 Strong -200 64.8% 62.5% 1 W +0.50
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 64.8% 64.7% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL OVER 0.5 Strong -210 64.6% 63.3% 2 W +0.48
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 64.5% 62.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NYR @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 64.4% 64.1% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 64.4% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 CAR @ STL UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 64.4% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 64.3% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL OVER 0.5 Strong -210 64.2% 63.3% 1 W +0.48
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 64.2% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 63.8% 63.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 EDM vs TOR UNDER 1.5 Strong -210 63.8% 63.8% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-24 TOR @ EDM OVER 0.5 Strong -185 63.8% 60.4% 2 W +0.54
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 63.6% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 63.6% 62.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CGY vs DET UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 63.5% 60.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 UTA vs TBL OVER 0.5 Strong -190 63.4% 61.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 63.3% 62.9% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-24 TBL @ UTA UNDER 0.5 Strong -190 62.8% 61.1% 0 W +0.53
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS OVER 0.5 Strong -195 62.7% 61.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 NJD vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 62.7% 62.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA OVER 0.5 Strong -190 62.6% 61.1% 2 W +0.53
2026-10-24 TOR @ EDM UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 62.5% 63.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS OVER 0.5 Strong -195 62.5% 61.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 MIN @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 62.5% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-10-24 LAK @ NJD OVER 0.5 Strong -200 62.5% 62.0% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 62.5% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY OVER 0.5 Strong -195 62.3% 61.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 SJS @ BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -170 62.3% 59.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 CBJ vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 62.2% 61.8% 0 W +0.51
2026-10-24 BOS vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 62.0% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 62.0% 62.0% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 VGK @ CBJ OVER 0.5 Strong -185 61.9% 60.9% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 DET @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 61.9% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.9% 62.0% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.8% 62.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 STL vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.7% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 WSH vs BUF UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 61.6% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-10-24 NSH @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 61.5% 60.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 BUF @ WSH OVER 0.5 Strong -180 61.5% 60.2% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-24 OTT vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Strong -185 61.5% 60.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-24 PIT vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -170 61.4% 59.2% 1 L -1.00
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