NHL Today
6:30 PM
EDM -140 15-3-3
PHI 5.5 6-10-6
7:00 PM
FLA 5.5 12-7-2
DAL -130 11-6-2
7:00 PM
CGY 6.5 9-10-1
ANA -150 10-9-1
8:00 PM
VAN 6.5 3-17-1
VGK -450 13-5-3
8:00 PM
NSH -170 11-4-5
SJS 6.5 9-11-2
← Models / Points Model — Pick History

Pick History

What's listed

Every over/under pick the points model made, at the Hard Rock line closest to even money, and how it graded. Live picks are the model's last prediction before puck drop. Backtest picks replay past seasons at Hard Rock's closing line, using only information from before each game.

Columns

  • Conf — the model's probability that the pick wins. Book — Hard Rock's de-vigged probability of the same side.
  • Units — result of a flat 1-unit bet at the listed price.

Tiers

Top, strong and lean are confidence bands; a toss-up is a player the model has almost no opinion on. The default view hides toss-ups.

Settlement

Overtime counts, shootouts don't, and a player who doesn't play is a void.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Record
20667-12503
0 void · 0 pending
Accuracy
62.3%
expected 62.2%
Book favorite, same picks
62.3%
always taking Hard Rock's favored side
Units
-1,634.44u
ROI -4.9% · flat 1u
DatePlayerGamePickTierPriceConfBook PointsResultUnits
2026-11-07 UTA @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 58.0% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 WSH vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 58.0% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-07 CAR vs CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.9% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-11-07 CAR vs CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.8% 56.3% 2 W +0.67
2026-11-07 NSH vs STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 57.6% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 OTT vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.6% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 WSH vs FLA OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.6% 55.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-07 NYI vs NJD OVER 0.5 Lean -160 57.5% 57.5% 2 W +0.63
2026-11-07 LAK vs PIT OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.5% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-11-07 NYI vs NJD UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 57.2% 56.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-07 OTT vs UTA OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.2% 55.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-07 NJD @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 57.2% 56.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 DAL vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Lean -160 57.1% 57.5% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-07 CHI @ CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -135 57.1% 53.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 EDM vs VAN UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.1% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 DET @ COL OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.0% 56.7% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-07 COL vs DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 56.8% 56.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 DAL vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Lean -155 56.7% 57.2% 1 W +0.65
2026-11-07 CAR vs CHI OVER 0.5 Lean -145 56.7% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-11-07 STL @ NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 56.6% 56.7% 0 W +0.65
2026-11-07 SEA vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 56.5% 56.3% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-07 WSH vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 56.3% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-11-07 SEA vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.1% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-07 NYR @ SEA OVER 0.5 Lean -145 56.1% 55.4% 1 W +0.69
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Top -275 70.5% 68.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Top -300 70.1% 69.9% 0 W +0.33
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Top -240 68.6% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Top -250 68.6% 66.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 SJS @ MIN OVER 0.5 Top -240 67.6% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 1.5 Top -260 67.5% 67.3% 1 W +0.39
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ OVER 0.5 Top -225 67.0% 63.8% 1 W +0.44
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Top -230 67.0% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 65.8% 63.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 65.3% 64.7% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.2% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 64.2% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 64.1% 65.3% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -250 64.0% 66.7% 0 W +0.40
2026-11-06 SJS @ MIN UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 63.9% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Strong -160 63.9% 57.5% 3 L -1.00
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 63.9% 61.3% 0 W +0.51
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS OVER 0.5 Strong -195 63.9% 60.8% 1 W +0.51
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY OVER 0.5 Strong -210 63.0% 63.3% 2 W +0.48
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA OVER 0.5 Strong -190 62.6% 60.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ OVER 0.5 Strong -175 62.3% 59.4% 1 W +0.57
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ OVER 0.5 Strong -180 61.8% 59.1% 2 W +0.56
2026-11-06 SJS @ MIN UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 61.5% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 61.2% 62.9% 0 W +0.48
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Strong -180 61.0% 58.0% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA OVER 0.5 Lean -175 60.9% 59.4% 1 W +0.57
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.5% 59.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY OVER 0.5 Lean -200 60.4% 62.0% 1 W +0.50
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 59.5% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Lean -190 59.4% 59.0% 1 W +0.53
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 59.3% 60.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF OVER 0.5 Lean -170 58.6% 58.6% 1 W +0.59
2026-11-06 CBJ @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 58.5% 57.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.5% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 CGY vs ANA OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.2% 56.7% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-06 BUF vs CBJ UNDER 0.5 Lean -195 58.1% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 57.6% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-11-06 ANA @ CGY OVER 0.5 Lean -165 57.3% 58.4% 2 W +0.61
2026-11-06 SJS @ MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -140 57.0% 54.5% 0 W +0.71
2026-11-06 SJS @ MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -140 56.7% 54.5% 0 W +0.71
2026-11-06 MIN vs SJS UNDER 1.5 Lean -150 56.6% 56.3% 4 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Top -325 75.8% 71.6% 0 W +0.31
2026-11-05 CHI @ TBL UNDER 0.5 Top -230 70.9% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 NSH @ COL UNDER 0.5 Top -300 70.3% 69.9% 0 W +0.33
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 0.5 Top -300 69.7% 69.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CBJ vs DAL UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.6% 68.8% 0 W +0.36
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.5% 68.8% 0 W +0.36
2026-11-05 TBL vs CHI OVER 0.5 Top -240 69.5% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.2% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-11-05 VGK @ DET UNDER 1.5 Top -250 69.2% 67.1% 1 W +0.40
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.1% 68.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH OVER 0.5 Top -260 68.6% 67.3% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NYI vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -275 68.2% 68.8% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 1.5 Top -250 67.9% 66.7% 1 W +0.40
2026-11-05 NYI vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -260 67.8% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Top -260 67.5% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-11-05 NYI vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -230 67.4% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 PHI @ NYR UNDER 0.5 Top -230 67.4% 65.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 NYR vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Top -230 67.0% 65.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 CAR @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -250 66.1% 66.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-11-05 ANA @ EDM UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 66.0% 64.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -260 66.0% 67.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-11-05 WPG vs VAN UNDER 0.5 Strong -260 65.9% 65.3% 0 W +0.39
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ OVER 0.5 Strong -225 65.9% 64.7% 0 L -1.00
2026-11-05 VAN @ WPG UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 65.9% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 UTA @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 65.6% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 ANA @ EDM UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 65.6% 66.0% 1 L -1.00
2026-11-05 COL vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.3% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 65.3% 65.3% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 NSH @ COL UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 65.2% 66.4% 0 W +0.42
2026-11-05 PIT vs BOS UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 65.1% 64.7% 0 W +0.44
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA OVER 0.5 Strong -195 65.1% 61.8% 3 W +0.51
2026-11-05 DAL @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 65.0% 62.5% 0 W +0.50
2026-11-05 DET vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 64.8% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-11-05 MTL vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Strong -240 64.8% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-11-05 STL @ NJD UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 64.6% 64.7% 1 L -1.00
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